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Only a Sith Deals in Absolutes: A Jedi Uses Likelihood Ratios Cover

Only a Sith Deals in Absolutes: A Jedi Uses Likelihood Ratios

Open Access
|Apr 2026

Abstract

This article explores the paradigm shift in forensic science from the use of definitive absolute conclusions to the application of Likelihood Ratios (LR). It discusses the advantages of LR, including fostering expert collaboration, upgrading the decision-making process, and integrating contradictory evidence. The paper argues that LR, similar to the Jedi approach, embraces complexity and uncertainty, providing a more nuanced and equitable framework for forensic analysis. In addition, we explore specific examples related to forensic handwriting examination to illustrate how LR can clarify and quantify the weight of handwriting comparisons, signature authenticity evaluations, and the examination of questioned documents.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.69525/jasqde.309 | Journal eISSN: 1524-7287
Language: English
Page range: 3 - 3
Submitted on: Sep 5, 2025
Accepted on: Nov 25, 2025
Published on: Apr 2, 2026
Published by: American Society of Questioned Document Examiners
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2026 Mathieu Arès, R. Brent Ostrum, published by American Society of Questioned Document Examiners
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.