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Bridging Stochastic, Robust, and Neutrosophic Paradigms for Hurricane Evacuation Under Compound Uncertainty: A Six–Layer Methodological Synthesis Cover

Bridging Stochastic, Robust, and Neutrosophic Paradigms for Hurricane Evacuation Under Compound Uncertainty: A Six–Layer Methodological Synthesis

Open Access
|Sep 2026

Abstract

Hurricane evacuation planning under uncertainty requires integrating decisions across multiple spatial and temporal scales, yet the literature addresses demand stochasticity, temporal robustness, and computational tractability largely in isolation. This paper develops a unified optimization framework organized around six progressive layers: meteorological scenario generation, deterministic and stochastic network flow planning, vehicle scheduling with origin-based decomposition, classical robust temporal protection, neutrosophic adaptive robust optimization with scenario-anchored uncertainty sets, and computational complexity characterization. An integrated critical review of 337 Scopus-indexed publications (2022–2026) identifies persistent methodological gaps that motivate each architectural layer. The framework couples two-stage stochastic programming with budget-constrained robust optimization, affine decision rules, and neutrosophic indeterminacy calibration within a single operational pipeline. Validation on a georeferenced Caribbean network demonstrates a 94% reduction in binary variables through origin-based decomposition and end-to-end execution in under four minutes, with a sensitivity analysis showing that neutrosophic budget calibration reduces the price of robustness from 24.8% to 2.8%.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.61822/amcs-2026-0034 | Journal eISSN: 2083-8492 | Journal ISSN: 1641-876X
Language: English
Page range: 527 - 542
Submitted on: Feb 17, 2026
Accepted on: May 15, 2026
Published on: Sep 19, 2026
Published by: University of Zielona Góra
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2026 Yasmany Fernández-Fernández, Sira M. Allende Alonso, Ridelio Miranda Pérez, Gemayqzel Bouza Allende, published by University of Zielona Góra
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.