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Factors predicting mortality of elderly patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding Cover

Abstract

Background

Acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a common gastrointestinal disease emergency and a cause of morbidity and mortality.

Objectives

To assess the clinical outcomes and explore predictive factors for mortality of elderly patients with acute UGIB.

Methods

During the study period from January 2010 to September 2011, we prospectively enrolled 981 patients presenting with UGIB from 11 hospitals (mean age ± standard deviation (SD), 59.4 ± 14.9 years; range, 17–94 years; including 661 men). Of these 981 patients, 499 (50.9%) were elderly. Basic demographic data and clinical findings, and Rockall scores were collected and calculated.

Results

We studied 499 elderly patients. Their mean age ± SD was 71.63 ± 7.65 years. The 30-day mortality rate was 9% and rebleeding was just 1%. Regression analysis showed a pulse rate >100 beats per min at first visit, red blood in a nasogastric aspiration, comorbidity with coronary artery disease, and creatinine >1.5 mg/dL were independent predictive factors of 30-day mortality.

Conclusions

Peptic ulcer bleeding is a major cause of acute UGBI in the elderly. We recommend patients with predictive factors of mortality, pulse rate >100 beats per min at first visit, red blood in nasogastric aspiration, comorbidity with coronary artery disease, and creatinine >1.5 mg/dL be closely monitored and treated promptly. Reducing mortality from peptic ulcer bleeding should focus on preventing peptic ulcer occurrence as a result of ulcerogenic medications.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5372/1905-7415.1002.471 | Journal eISSN: 1875-855X | Journal ISSN: 1905-7415
Language: English
Page range: 115 - 122
Published on: Jan 31, 2017
Published by: Chulalongkorn University
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 6 issues per year

© 2017 Thirada Thongbai, Kessarin Thanapirom, Wiriyaporn Ridtitid, Rungsun Rerknimitr, Rattikorn Thungsuk, Phadet Noophun, Chatchawan Wongjitrat, Somchai Luangjaru, Padet Vedkijkul, Comson Lertkupinit, Swangphong Poonsab, Thawee Ratanachu-ek, Piyathida Hansomburana, Bubpha Pornthisarn, Varocha Mahachai, Sombat Treeprasertsuk, published by Chulalongkorn University
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.