Table 1
Descriptive Statistics (N = 1,554), Weighted.
| PROPORTION OR MEAN | STD. DEV. | MIN | MAX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | ||||
| Adopted Atheistic Worldview Between Wave 2 and 4 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | |
| Focal Predictors (Plausibility Structures) | ||||
| Non-religious friends percentage (Wave 2) | 22.77 | 29.64 | 0 | 100 |
| Non-religious friends majority (Wave 2) | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | |
| Non-religious friends 100% (Wave 2) | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | |
| Religious youth group friends percentage (Wave 2) | 29.39 | 32.56 | 0 | 100 |
| Religious youth group friends majority (Wave 2) | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | |
| Religious youth group friends 100% (Wave 2) | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | |
| Controls | ||||
| Number of friends nominated (Wave 2) | 4.93 | 0.39 | 1 | 5 |
| Gender (Wave 2) | ||||
| Male | 0.45 | 0 | 1 | |
| Female | 0.55 | 0 | 1 | |
| Age (Wave 2) | 17.76 | 1.35 | 16 | 20 |
| Household Income (Wave 4) | 4.34 | 2.36 | 1 | 16 |
| College attendance (Wave 2) | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | |
| Race/ethnicity (Wave 1) | ||||
| Non-Hispanic White | 0.73 | 0 | 1 | |
| Non-Hispanic Black | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | |
| Hispanic | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | |
| Non-Hispanic Asian | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | |
| Islander, Native American, and Other | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | |
| Mixed | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | |
| Region of Residence (Wave 2) | ||||
| Northeast | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | |
| Midwest | 0.22 | 0 | 1 | |
| South | 0.38 | 0 | 1 | |
| West | 0.23 | 0 | 1 | |
| Religious Service Attend (Wave 2) | 2.85 | 2.21 | 0 | 6 |
| Religious Tradition (Wave 2) | ||||
| Conservative Protestant | 0.28 | 0 | 1 | |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | |
| Black Protestant | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | |
| Catholic | 0.22 | 0 | 1 | |
| Jewish | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | |
| Mormon/LDS | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | |
| No affiliation | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | |
| Other Religion | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | |
| Indeterminate | 0.15 | 0 | 1 |
Table 2
Percentage of Respondents Adopting an Atheistic Worldview, Overall and by Select Variables.
| Overall | 9.00% |
|---|---|
| Focal Predictors | |
| Majority of friends not religious | 17.28% |
| 100% of friends not religious | 22.50% |
| Majority of friends relig youth group | 5.23% |
| 100% of friends relig youth group | 2.19% |
| Religious Tradition | |
| Conservative Protestant | 4.41% |
| Mainline Protestant | 16.32% |
| Black Protestant | 4.10% |
| Catholic | 6.82% |
| Jewish | 19.67% |
| Mormon/LDS | 5.36% |
| No affiliation | 19.71% |
| Other religion | 16.78% |
| Indeterminate | 5.40% |
| Gender | |
| Male | 11.41% |
| Female | 6.60% |
| Race/ethnicity | |
| Non-Hispanic White | 10.61% |
| Non-Hispanic Black | 1.11% |
| Hispanic | 4.70% |
| Non-Hispanic Asian | 12.54% |
| Islander, Native American, and Other | 4.53% |
| Mixed | 9.07% |
| Education | |
| Less than some college education | 7.91% |
| Some college education | 11.37% |
| Region | |
| Northeast | 9.96% |
| Midwest | 12.12% |
| South | 5.63% |
| West | 9.79% |
Table 3
Logistic Regression Models Predicting Adopting an Atheistic Worldview.
| PREDICTORS | OUTCOME: ADOPTED AN ATHEISTIC WORLDVIEW BETWEEN WAVE 2 AND WAVE 4 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MODEL 1 | MODEL 2 | MODEL 3 | ||||
| ODDS RATIO | 95% CONFIDENCE INTERVAL | ODDS RATIO | 95% CONFIDENCE INTERVAL | ODDS RATIO | 95% CONFIDENCE INTERVAL | |
| Plausibility Structure | ||||||
| Non-religious friends percentage | 1.01*** | [1.01, 1.02] | – | – | 1.01*** | [1.01, 1.02] |
| Youth group friends percentage | 1.0 | [0.99, 1.00] | – | – | 1.01 | [1.00, 1.02] |
| Controls | ||||||
| Number of friends nominated | 1.11 | [0.67, 1.85] | 1.22 | [0.72, 2.05] | ||
| Gender | ||||||
| Male (referent) | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Female | – | – | 0.55** | [0.36, 0.84] | 0.57** | [0.37, 0.86] |
| Age | – | – | 0.97 | [0.78, 1.2] | 0.96 | [0.77, 1.2] |
| Household Income | – | – | 0.92 | [0.81, 1.04] | 0.91 | [0.8, 1.05] |
| College Attendance | – | – | 1.64 | [0.85, 3.15] | 1.91 | [0.98, 3.72] |
| Race/ethnicity | ||||||
| Non-Hispanic White (referent) | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Non-Hispanic Black | – | – | 0.03* | [0, 0.79] | 0.04* | [0, 0.82] |
| Hispanic | – | – | 0.44 | [0.2, 1.00] | 0.49 | [0.22, 1.08] |
| Non-Hispanic Asian | – | – | 0.73 | [0.14, 3.85] | 0.9 | [0.2, 4.04] |
| Islander, Native American and Other | – | – | 0.33 | [0.08, 1.40] | 0.29 | [0.06, 1.39] |
| Mixed | – | – | 0.78 | [0.14, 4.39] | 0.84 | [0.18, 3.87] |
| Region of Residence | ||||||
| South (referent) | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Northeast | – | – | 1.54 | [0.79, 3.00] | 1.34 | [0.7, 2.61] |
| Midwest | – | – | 1.78 | [1.00, 3.17] | 1.73 | [0.97, 3.10] |
| West | – | – | 1.69 | [0.87, 3.29] | 1.58 | [0.81, 3.1] |
| Religious Service Attendance | – | – | 0.75*** | [0.64, 0.88] | 0.74*** | [0.63, 0.87] |
| Religious Tradition | ||||||
| Conservative Protestant (referent) | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Mainline Protestant | – | – | 3.24** | [1.45, 7.26] | 3.9** | [1.72, 8.73] |
| Black Protestant | – | – | 11.48 | [0.59, 224.23] | 10.59 | [0.54, 207.32] |
| Catholic | 0.98 | [0.44, 2.20] | 1.18 | [0.52, 2.67] | ||
| Jewish | 2.02 | [0.52, 7.88] | 1.83 | [0.48, 6.97] | ||
| Mormon/LDS | – | – | 1.00 | [0.21, 4.74] | 0.87 | [0.21, 3.59] |
| No affiliation | – | – | 1.60 | [0.69, 3.7] | 1.2 | [0.5, 2.87] |
| Other religion | – | – | 3.75* | [1.03, 13.67] | 3.96* | [1.09, 14.35] |
| Indeterminate | – | – | 0.69 | [0.25, 1.91] | 0.65 | [0.23, 1.83] |
| N 1,554 | ||||||
Table 4
Logistic Regression Models Predicting Adopting an Atheistic Worldview.
| PREDICTORS | OUTCOME: ADOPTED AN ATHEISTIC WORLDVIEWBETWEEN WAVE 2 AND WAVE 4 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MODEL 1 | MODEL 2 | |||
| ODDS RATIO | 95% CONFIDENCE INTERVAL | ODDS RATIO | 95% CONFIDENCE INTERVAL | |
| Plausibility Structure | ||||
| Non-religious friends majority | 2.07** | [1.25, 3.44] | – | – |
| Youth group friends majority | 1.2 | [0.63, 2.31] | – | – |
| Non-religious friends 100% | – | – | 2.87** | [1.51, 5.42] |
| Youth group friends 100% | – | – | 0.49 | [0.08, 2.93] |
| Controls | ||||
| Number of friends nominated | 1.16 | [0.70, 1.93] | 1.23 | [0.72, 2.10] |
| Gender | ||||
| Male (referent) | – | – | – | – |
| Female | 0.57** | [0.37, 0.86] | 0.56** | [0.37, 0.85] |
| Age | 0.96 | [0.77, 1.19] | 0.93 | [0.75, 1.16] |
| Household Income | 0.91 | [0.80, 1.04] | 0.92 | [0.81, 1.04] |
| Grade completed | 1.82 | [0.94, 3.51] | 1.81 | [0.94, 3.48] |
| Race/ethnicity | ||||
| Non-Hispanic White (referent) | – | – | – | – |
| Non-Hispanic Black | 0.03* | [0, 0.91] | 0.03* | [0, 0.69] |
| Hispanic | 0.47 | [0.21, 1.06] | 0.45 | [0.2, 1.02] |
| Non-Hispanic Asian | 0.82 | [0.17, 4.08] | 0.72 | [0.15, 3.58] |
| Islander, Native American and Other | 0.31 | [0.07, 1.47] | 0.30 | [0.07, 1.33] |
| Mixed | 0.85 | [0.16, 4.38] | 0.80 | [0.15, 4.20] |
| Region of Residence | ||||
| South (referent) | – | – | – | – |
| Northeast | 1.37 | [0.70, 2.7] | 1.44 | [0.73, 2.83] |
| Midwest | 1.72 | [0.97, 3.05] | 1.71 | [0.94, 3.09] |
| West | 1.58 | [0.81, 3.08] | 1.63 | [0.82, 3.25] |
| Religious Service Attendance | 0.75*** | [0.64, 0.88] | 0.77** | [0.66, 0.89] |
| Religious Tradition | ||||
| Conservative Protestant (referent) | – | – | – | – |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.46** | [1.54, 7.80] | 3.33** | [1.49, 7.45] |
| Black Protestant | 12.40 | [0.50, 308.82] | 10.36 | [0.55, 195.65] |
| Catholic | 1.07 | [0.47, 2.43] | 0.97 | [0.44, 2.15] |
| Jewish | 1.95 | [0.51, 7.39] | 1.55 | [0.41, 5.82] |
| Mormon/LDS | 0.97 | [0.22, 4.24] | 0.90 | [0.21, 3.76] |
| No affiliation | 1.35 | [0.57, 3.21] | 1.38 | [0.59, 3.24] |
| Other religion | 3.77* | [1.03, 13.72] | 3.84* | [1.08, 13.68] |
| Indeterminate | 0.67 | [0.24, 1.88] | 0.68 | [0.24, 1.89] |
| N 1,554 | ||||
Table 5
Predicted Probabilities for Adopting an Atheistic Worldview.
| TABLE 3, MODEL 3, NON-RELIGIOUS FRIENDS PERCENTAGE | ||
|---|---|---|
| Predicted Probability | 95% CI | |
| 0% | 0.03 | [0.02, 0.05] |
| 20% | 0.05 | [0.03, 0.06] |
| 40% | 0.06 | [0.04, 0.08] |
| 60% | 0.08 | [0.05, 0.11] |
| 80% | 0.11 | [0.06, 0.15] |
| 100% | 0.14 | [0.07, 0.21] |
| TABLE 4, MODEL 1, NON-RELIGIOUS FRIENDS MAJORITY | ||
| Predicted Probability | 95% CI | |
| 0 | 0.04 | [0.03, 0.06] |
| 1 | 0.09 | [0.05, 0.13] |
| TABLE 4, MODEL 2, NON-RELIGIOUS FRIENDS 100% | ||
| Predicted Probability | 95% CI | |
| 0 | 0.05 | [0.03, 0.06] |
| 1 | 0.12 | [0.05, 0.19] |
