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Impacts of 150 Years of Modernization Policies on the Management of Common Forests in Japan: A Statistical Analysis of Micro Census Data Cover

Impacts of 150 Years of Modernization Policies on the Management of Common Forests in Japan: A Statistical Analysis of Micro Census Data

Open Access
|Oct 2019

Figures & Tables

Table 1

Descriptive statistics for the selected group forest holdings (N = 19690).

No.DescriptionAverageS.D.MinimumMaximum
v1New planting area/Total plantation area0.00640.062101
v2Weeding area/Total plantation area0.06650.187501
v3Thinning area/Total plantation area0.04020.136201
v4Harvesting area/Total plantation area0.00180.028101
v5Timber sales volume of standing trees (m3)/Total holding area (ha)0.47738.38460466.7
v6Total holding area (ha)74.7284393.57921029649
v7Total plantation area/Total holding area0.65010.35510.00051
v8Customary common holdings*0.48160.499701

[i] * Dummy variables. If “yes”, the value is one.

Table 2

Correlation matrix among variables (N = 19690).

v1v2v3v4v5v6v7v8
New plantingWeedingThinningHarvestingTimber salesHolding areaPlantation ratioCustomary
New plantingv11.00000.16570.00070.08460.0111–0.0054–0.0647–0.0067
Weedingv20.16571.00000.10880.0375–0.0017–0.0112–0.11580.0389
Thinningv30.00070.10881.00000.04270.0484–0.0084–0.00230.0173
Harvestingv40.08460.03750.04271.00000.06070.0031–0.0293–0.0037
Timber salesv50.0111–0.00170.04840.06071.0000–0.00290.0200–0.0155
Holding areav6–0.0054–0.0112–0.00840.0031–0.00291.0000–0.08010.0252
Plantation ratiov7–0.0647–0.1158–0.0023–0.02930.0200–0.08011.0000–0.1175
Customaryv8–0.00670.03890.0173–0.0037–0.01550.0252–0.11751.0000
Table 3

Comparison table of forest holdings based on controlling size.

SizeNNew plantingWeedingThinningHarvestingTimber sales
Customary0–25%20550.6%  9.7%      5.2%    0.2%0.44  
 25–50%23350.6%  7.4%      4.2%    0.1%0.22  
 50–75%27000.8%  6.8%      4.3%    0.2%0.36  
 75–100%23920.3%  6.2%      3.5%    0.2%0.36  
Non-customary0–25%32690.7%  6.4%      3.8%    0.1%0.62  
 25–50%28580.6%  5.8%      3.8%    0.1%0.69  
 50–75%23920.8%  5.9%      3.7%    0.3%0.27  
 75–100%16890.6%  5.4%      3.9%    0.3%0.89  
 (All)19690
Diff. Custom-Non-custom0–25%–0.1%  3.3%***1.4%**0.0%–0.18  
 25–50%0.1%  1.5%**  0.4%    0.0%–0.47/
 50–75%0.0%  0.9%/    0.6%    –0.1%0.09  
 75–100%–0.2%*0.8%      –0.4%    0.0%–0.54/

[i] /: 10%, * : 5%, ** : 1%, *** : 0.1% significance levels.

Diff. indicates non-modernized minus modernized holdings. New planting, Weeding, Thinning, and Harvesting are the ratios of areas receiving such treatments to the total plantation areas in one year before February 2000 (for Okinawa, December 1999). Timber sales are the sales volumes (in cubic meters) sold as standing trees (not as harvested logs) per a hectare of holding areas in one year before February 2000 (for Okinawa, December 1999). Size indicates into which size category holdings fall.

Table 4

Comparison table of forest holdings based on controlling regions.

RegionNNew plantingWeedingThinningHarvestingTimber sales
CustomaryHokkaido160.0%6.7%      0.6%  6.3%      2.20    
 Tohoku17850.5%7.6%      4.7%  0.2%      0.74    
 Hokuriku6650.7%13.2%      2.7%  0.0%      0.05    
 Kanto/Tozan12620.5%5.1%      3.1%  0.1%      0.13    
 Tokai9970.3%6.1%      5.2%  0.1%      0.22    
 Kinki18640.4%6.0%      4.2%  0.2%      0.24    
 Chugoku12081.1%8.0%      2.9%  0.2%      0.44    
 Shikoku2970.4%3.2%      5.8%  0.4%      0.21    
 Kyusyu13870.7%9.8%      5.8%  0.2%      0.32    
Non-customaryHokkaido4471.2%6.8%      6.2%  0.3%      0.22    
 Tohoku29850.7%6.8%      3.7%  0.2%      0.71    
 Hokuriku3930.5%10.6%      2.7%  0.0%      0.03    
 Kanto/Tozan13800.5%5.1%      3.9%  0.2%      1.14    
 Tokai9390.5%4.7%      3.7%  0.1%      0.47    
 Kinki8210.6%4.4%      3.3%  0.2%      0.16    
 Chugoku10881.2%5.8%      2.4%  0.0%      0.26    
 Shikoku6570.5%3.3%      4.0%  0.1%      0.40    
 Kyusyu14980.6%6.4%      4.6%  0.3%      0.83    
 (All)19689
Diff. Custom-Non-customHokkaido–1.2%–0.1%      –5.6%  5.9%***1.97**
 Tohoku–0.2%0.8%      0.9%*0.0%      0.03    
 Hokuriku0.2%2.7%/    0.0%  0.0%      0.02    
 Kanto/Tozan0.1%0.0%      –0.8%  –0.2%/    –1.01*  
 Tokai–0.2%1.4%/    1.5%*0.1%      –0.25    
 Kinki–0.1%1.6%*    0.9%/0.0%      0.07    
 Chugoku–0.1%2.2%**  0.5%  0.1%      0.17    
 Shikoku–0.1%0.0%      1.8%/0.3%      –0.19    
 Kyusyu0.1%3.4%***1.2%*–0.1%      –0.51    

[i] /: 10%, * : 5%, ** : 1%, *** : 0.1% significance levels.

Diff. indicates non-modernized minus modernized holdings.

The total number of sample is 19,689 since one case from Okinawa was omitted.

Table 5

Comparison table of forest holdings based on controlling regional groups according to their advances in terms of modernization.

Regional types by modernizationNNew plantingWeedingThinningHarvestingTimber sales
CustomaryAdvanced36150.7%8.4%      4.4%      0.1%      0.38    
 Middle39110.6%7.1%      4.0%      0.2%      0.33    
 Remaining19390.4%6.1%      4.4%      0.1%      0.28    
 Hokkaido, Okinawa170.0%6.3%      0.6%      5.9%      2.07    
Non-customaryAdvanced40740.7%5.8%      4.3%      0.2%      0.54    
 Middle31100.6%6.1%      3.5%      0.1%      0.52    
 Remaining25770.7%5.9%      3.0%      0.3%      0.87    
 Hokkaido, Okinawa4471.2%6.8%      6.2%      0.3%      0.22    
 (All)19690
Diff. Custom-Non-customAdvanced0.0%2.6%***0.2%      0.0%      –0.16    
 Middle0.0%1.1%*    0.6%*    0.1%      –0.19    
 Remaining–0.3%0.2%      1.4%***–0.1%      –0.58*  
 Hokkaido, Okinawa–1.2%–0.5%      –5.6%      5.6%***1.85**

[i] /: 10%, * : 5%, ** : 1%, *** : 0.1% significance levels.

Table 6

Summary of comparison tables (statistically significant differences).

Table No.New plantingWeedingThinningHarvestingTimber sales
+++++
C > Non-CC < Non-CC > Non-CC < Non-CC > Non-CC < Non-CC > Non-CC < Non-CC > Non-CC < Non-C
Sizes30130100002
Regions40050501111
Regional groups50020201011
Total01100802124

[i] Numbers indicate how many differences are statistically significant according to t-tests, by signs of differences. “C > Non-C” indicated the mean for customary holdings is larger than the one for non-customary holdings. “C < Non-C” indicated the mean for customary holdings is smaller than the one for non-customary holdings.

Table 7

Tobit regression (Customary) analyses results (N = 19690).

New plantingWeedingThinningHarvestingTimber sales
Estimated Coefficientt-valueEstimated Coefficientt-valueEstimated Coefficientt-valueEstimated Coefficientt-valueEstimated Coefficientt-value
Intercept–0.6107–8.99      –0.2563–9.43***–0.3792–11.38***–0.6682–11.19***–145.0108–8.08***
Holding area0.00001.84      0.00001.51      0.00001.44      0.00002.50*    0.00772.06*    
Plantation ratio–0.0849–2.61**  –0.1096–8.55***0.06705.34***–0.0382–1.00      6.65301.74      
Customary0.01360.94      0.087516.10***0.08078.09***–0.0099–0.63      –0.1335–0.05      
(Agricultural regions, Hokkaido and Okinawa cases are the base-line)
Tohoku–0.1635–9.64***–0.0001–0.02      –0.0700–16.25***–0.0850–7.19***10.97137.46***
Hokuriku–0.1639–7.79***0.113912.91***–0.1328–14.29***–0.2298–7.01***–17.1531–5.69***
Kanto/Tozan–0.1269–10.98***–0.0208–5.18***–0.0472      –10.09***–0.0960–7.72***9.67007.44***
Tokai–0.1198–11.44***–0.0095–1.98*    –0.0245–4.43***–0.0616–6.16***11.57346.81***
Kinki–0.1628–8.58***–0.0377–7.21***–0.0095–1.53      –0.0660–3.92***–0.0773–0.04      
Chugoku–0.1182–7.64***–0.0451–13.57***–0.1639–17.78***–0.1730–7.25***–5.8549–3.27***
Shikoku–0.2309–10.52***–0.1589–31.70***–0.0636–13.61***–0.0576–9.73***–0.3828–0.66      
Kyushu–0.0840–14.13***0.07399.34***–0.0157–2.18*    –0.0115–2.11*    10.88847.26***
Log likelihood–2805.6–9649.1–7687.8–1260.4–4757.3
Pseudo R squared0.01180.02190.01960.02140.0062

[i] * 5%, ** 1%, *** 0.1% significance levels.

Heteroscedasticity robust standard errors clustered by prefecture were employed.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/ijc.936 | Journal eISSN: 1875-0281
Language: English
Submitted on: Sep 28, 2018
Accepted on: Jun 30, 2019
Published on: Oct 30, 2019
Published by: Ubiquity Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2019 Takuya Takahashi, Koji Matsushita, Yoshio Yoshida, Tetsuji Senda, published by Ubiquity Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.