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Impact of Adopting the Race/Ethnicity-Free 2021 CKD-EPI Equation on Cardiovascular Risk Stratification in a Multiethnic European Population: Results from the HELIUS Study Cover

Impact of Adopting the Race/Ethnicity-Free 2021 CKD-EPI Equation on Cardiovascular Risk Stratification in a Multiethnic European Population: Results from the HELIUS Study

Open Access
|Aug 2026

Figures & Tables

Graphical abstract
Table 1

Baseline characteristics by ethnic origin.

MEAN (SD)OVERALL (n = 21,617)NON-CORRECTED GROUP (n = 15,127)AFRICAN SURINAMESE (n = 4,151)GHANAIAN (n = 2,339)P-VALUE
Age, years44 (13)43 (13)48 (13)*45 (11)*<0.001
    <50 (%)13,086 (60.5)9,705 (64.2)1,964 (47.3)*1,417 (60.6)*<0.001
    50–69 (%)8,443 (39.1)5,361 (35.4)2,161 (52.1)*921 (39.4)*<0.001
    ≥70 (%)88 (0.4)61 (0.4)26 (0.6)1.0 (0.0)0.005
Male sex (%)9,129 (42)6,608 (44)1,616 (39)*905 (39)*<0.001
BMI, kg/m227.1 (5.0)26.7 (5.2)27.8 (5.5)*28.5 (5.0)*<0.001
ACR, median [IQR], mg/mmol0.28 [0.17–0.54]0.29 [0.17–0.54]0.26 [0.16–0.52]0.25 [0.15–0.53]0.790
Albuminuria ≥3 mg/mmol (%)2,284 (10.6)1,565 (10.3)452 (10.9)267 (11.4)0.239
Smoking (%)5,168 (24)3,755 (25)1,309 (32)*104 (4.4)*<0.001
Diabetes (%)2,334 (11)1,568 (10)494 (12)*272 (12)0.016
Hypertension (%)7,046 (33)3,913 (26)1,905 (46) *1,228 (53) *<0.001
Systolic BP, mmHg127 (17)128 (18)125 (18)*127 (18)<0.001
Total cholesterol, mmol/L4.9 (1.0)4.9 (1.0)4.9 (1.0)4.9 (1.0)<0.001
HDL-cholesterol, mmol/L1.4 (0.4)1.4 (0.4)1.5 (0.4)*1.6 (0.4)*<0.001
Non-HDL, mmol/L3.5 (1.0)3.5 (1.0)3.4 (1.0)*3.3 (1.0)*<0.001
Hypercholesterolemia (%)2,210 (10)1,563 (10)402 (9.7)245 (11)0.040
CVD history (%)3,394 (16)2,401 (16)663 (16)330 (14)*0.027
    Angina pectoris (%)1,326 (6.1)978 (6.5)230 (5.5)118 (5.0)0.016
    Claudication (%)193 (0.9)115 (0.8)42 (1.0)36 (2.0)*0.001
    Possible infarction (%)1,858 (8.6)1,348 (8.9)351 (8.5)159 (7.0)*0.014
    Cerebrovascular (%)1,119 (5.2)763 (5.0)261 (6.3)*95 (4.1)<0.001
Level of education
    None or elementary (%)3,818 (18)2,927 (19)231 (5.6) *660 (28)*<0.001

[i] Note: Values for categorical variables are given as a number (percentage); for continuous variables as mean (standard deviation). Non-corrected group includes participants of Dutch, South-Asian Surinamese, Turkish, and Moroccan origin, where application of a race coefficient is not advised.

Abbreviations: ACR, urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio; BMI, body mass index; BP, blood pressure; CVD history, history of cardiovascular disease (i.e., claudication intermittens, angina pectoris, myocardial infarction, and cerebrovascular accident); HDL, high-density lipoprotein; IQR, interquartile range.

Post hoc analysis: *P < 0.001 vs. non-corrected; P < 0.001 vs. African Surinamese.

Table 2

eGFR and CKD prevalence by equation by ethnic group.

2009 CKD-EPI2009 CKD-EPI WITHOUT RACE CORRECTION2021 CKD-EPI
OVERALLNON-CORRECTEDAFRICAN SURINAMESEGHANAIANP-VALUEOVERALLNON-CORRECTEDAFRICAN SURINAMESEGHANAIANP-VALUEOVERALLNON-CORRECTEDAFRICAN SURINAMESEGHANAIANP-VALUE
eGFR estimates, mL/min/1.73 m2102 (18)102 (17)103 (19)104 (20)*<0.00198 (18)NA89 (17)*90 (17)*†‡<0.001101 (17)104 (16)92 (16)*93 (17)*<0.001
eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, n (%)275 (1.2)176 (1.2)56 (1.3)32 (1.4)0.249429 (1.9)NA147 (3.5)*95 (4.1)*<0.001297 (1.3)125 (0.8)97 (2.3)*67 (2.9)*<0.001
CKD, n (%)2,335 (10.5)1,565 (10.3)452 (10.9)267 (11.4)0.2392,460 (11.1)NA523 (12.6)*321 (13.7)*<0.0012,351 (10.6)1,526 (10.1)480 (11.6)*295 (12.6)*<0.001

[i] Note: Values for categorical variables are given as number (percentage); for continuous variables as mean (SD/standard deviation).

Abbreviations: CKD, chronic kidney disease; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate.

Post hoc analysis: *P < 0.001 vs. non-corrected group; P < 0.001 vs. African Surinamese; P < 0.001 vs. 2009 CKD-EPI.

Figure 1

Internal consistency between CKD-EPI 2009 and 2021 in detecting CKD (y/n) per ethnic group.

Note: Excellent internal consistency of CKD between the 2009 CKD-EPI equation and the 2021 CKD-EPI equation.

Abbreviations: CKD, chronic kidney disease; n, no; y, yes.

Figure 2

C-statistic per ethnic group per equation for detecting CKD with the traditional screening approach.*

Note: C-statistics with 95% confidence interval (CI). Dotted line at 0.5: low diagnostic accuracy. Dotted line at 0.8: moderate diagnostic accuracy. Dotted line at 0.9: excellent diagnostic accuracy.

No significant differences were found.

Abbreviations: CKD, chronic kidney disease; uc, uncorrected.

*Screening participants with hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and/or cardiovascular (CV) history.

Table 3

Risk scores according to SCORE2, SCORE2 Add-on eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, SCORE2 Add-on CKD.

OVERALL (n = 18,833)NON-CORRECTEDGROUP (n = 12,691)AFRICAN SURINAMESE (n = 3,425)GHANAIAN (n = 2,265)P-VALUE
SCORE20.93
(0.29–2.34)
0.90
(0.27–2.36)
1.24
(0.42–2.89)*
0.67
(0.24–1.55)*
<0.001
    <50 years0.39
(0.15–0.96)
0.41
(0.14–1.02)
0.41
(0.17–0.95)
0.31
(0.14–0.65)*
<0.001
    50–69 years2.44
(1.37–4.16)
2.66
(1.51–4.46)
2.49
(1.35–4.14)*
1.66
(0.97–2.66)*
<0.001
SCORE2 + eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 20090.93
(0.29–2.35)
0.90
(0.27–2.37)
1.24
(0.42–2.90)*
0.67
(0.24–1.57)*
<0.001
    <50 years0.39
(0.15–0.96)
0.41
(0.14–1.02)
0.41
(0.17–0.96)
0.31
(0.14–0.65)*
<0.001
    50–69 years2.45
(1.38–4.19)
2.66
(1.51–4.51)
2.50
(1.35–4.19)*
1.67
(0.97–2.67)*
<0.001
SCORE2 + eGFR<60 mL/min/1.73 m2 20210.93
(0.29–2.35)
0.91
(0.27–2.37)
1.24
(0.42–2.91)*
0.67
(0.24–1.58)*†‡
<0.001
    <50 years0.39
(0.15–0.96)
0.41
(0.14–1.02)
0.41
(0.17–0.96)
0.31
(0.14–0.65)*
<0.001
    50–69 years2.46
(1.38–4.19)
2.66
(1.51–4.50)
2.50
(1.35–4.21)*
1.68
(0.98–2.70)*
<0.001
SCORE2 + CKD 20090.95
(0.30–2.39)
0.92
(0.28–2.40)
1.26
(0.43–2.97)*
0.68
(0.25–1.60)*
<0.001
    <50 years0.40
(0.15–0.98)
0.42
(0.15–1.04)
0.41
(0.17–0.97)
0.32
(0.14–0.65)*
<0.001
    50–69 years2.50
(1.41–4.27)
2.69
(1.54–4.59)
2.54
(1.39–4.29)*
1.69
(0.98–2.72)*
<0.001
SCORE2 + CKD 20210.95
(0.30–2.39)
0.92
(0.28–2.40)
1.26
(0.43–2.98)*
0.68
(0.25–1.61)*†‡
<0.001
    <50 years0.40
(0.15–0.98)
0.42
(0.15–1.04)
0.41
(0.17–0.97)
0.32
(0.14–0.65)*
<0.001
    50–69 years2.50
(1.41–4.27)
2.69
(1.54–4.58)
2.54
(1.39–4.30)*
1.71
(0.98–2.73)*
<0.001

[i] Note: Median scores (IQR) for SCORE2, SCORE2 with add-on eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and SCORE2 with add-on CKD, stratified by ethnicity and age group.

Abbreviations: CKD, chronic kidney disease; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; IQR, interquartile range.

Post hoc analysis: *P < 0.001 vs, non-corrected; P < 0.001 vs. African Surinamese; P < 0.001 vs. 2009 CKD-EPI.

Table 4

Risk groups according to SCORE2 Add-on eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and CKD by CKD-EPI 2009 and 2021.

N (%)OVERALL (n = 18,833)NON-CORRECTEDGROUP (n = 12,691)AFRICAN SURINAMESE (n = 3,425)GHANAIAN (n = 2,265)P-VALUE
SCORE2, <50 years
    Low to moderate (<2.5%)10,671 (79.9)7,605 (78.4)1,536 (78.2)1,332 (94)*<0.001
    High (2.5% to <7.5%)688 (5.2)552 (5.7)95 (4.8)23 (1.6)*<0.001
    Very high (≥7.5%)20 (0.1)19 (0.2)0.061
SCORE2, 50–69 years
    Low to moderate (<5%)6,116 (70.1)3,578 (66.7)1,477 (68.3)862 (93.6)*<0.001
    High (5 to <10%)1,118 (12.8)782 (14.6)266 (12.3)*43 (4.7)*<0.001
    Very high (≥10)143 (1.6)104 (1.9)28 (1.3)4 (0.4)0.460
+eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 2009, <50 years
    Low to moderate (<2.5%)10,650 (79.8)7,593 (78.2)1,534 (78.1)1,326 (93.6)*<0.001
    High (2.5% to <7.5%)706 (5.3)562 (5.8)96 (4.3)26 (1.8)*<0.001
    Very high (≥7.5%)23 (0.2)21 (0.2)1.0 (0.1)0.054
+eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 2009, 50–69 years
    Low to moderate (<5%)5,979 (68.5)3,497 (65.2)1,448 (67.0)840 (91.2)*<0.001
    High risk (5 to <10%)1,203 (13.8)823 (15.4)288 (13.3)*62 (6.7)*<0.001
    Very high (≥10)195 (2.2)144 (2.7)35 (1.6)7 (0.8)0.143
+ eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 2021, <50 years
    Low to moderate (<2.5%)10,641 (79.7)7,596 (78.3)1,528 (77.8)1,320 (93.2)*†‡<0.001
    High (2.5% to <7.5%)715 (5.4)559 (5.8)102 (5.2)35 (2.5)*†‡<0.001
    Very high (≥7.5%)23 (0.2)21 (0.2)1.0 (0.1)0.061
+ eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 2021, 50–69 years
    Low to moderate (<5%)5,960 (68.3)3,523 (65.7)1,429 (66.1)812 (88.2)*†‡<0.001
    High risk (5 to <10%)1,227 (14.1)809 (15.1)301 (13.9)*89 (9.7)*†‡<0.001
    Very high (≥10)190 (2.2)132 (2.4)41 (1.9)8 (0.9)0.207
+ CKD 2009, <50 years
    Low to moderate (<2.5%)9,653 (72.3)6,907 (71.2)1,391 (70.8)1,172 (82.7)*<0.001
    High (2.5% to <7.5%)1,638 (12.3)1,197 (12.3)228 (11.6)182 (12.8)*<0.001
    Very high (≥7.5%)88 (0.7)72 (0.7)12 (0.6)1.0 (0.1)0.054
+ CKD 2009, 50–69 years
    Low to moderate (<2.5%)5,458 (62.5)3,192 (59.5)1,309 (60.6)777 (84.4)*<0.001
    High (2.5% to <7.5%)1,591 (18.2)1,036 (19.3)394 (18.2)*119 (12.9)*<0.001
    Very high (≥10)328 (3.8)236 (4.4)68 (3.1)13 (1.4)0.402
+ CKD 2021, <50 years
    Low to moderate (<2.5%)9,646 (72.3)6,909 (71.2)1,388 (70.7)1,166 (82.3)*†‡<0.001
    High (2.5% to <7.5%)1,645 (12.3)1,195 (12.3)231 (11.8)188 (13.3)*†‡<0.001
    Very high (≥7.5%)88 (0.7)72 (0.7)12 (0.6)1.0 (0.1)0.054
+ CKD 2021, 50–69 years
    Low to moderate (<2.5%)5,446 (62.4)3,213 (59.9)1,297 (60.0)755 (82.0)*†‡<0.001
    High (2.5% to <7.5%)1,607 (18.4)1,023 (19.1)402 (18.6)*141 (15.3)*†‡<0.001
    Very high (≥10)324 (3.7)228 (4.3)72 (3.3)13 (1.4)0.426

[i] Note: Distribution of risk categories for SCORE2 algorithms by age group and ethnicity.

Abbreviations: CKD, chronic kidney disease; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate.

Post hoc analysis: *P < 0.001 vs. non-corrected; P < 0.001 vs. African Surinamese; P < 0.001 vs. 2009 CKD-EPI.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/gh.1579 | Journal eISSN: 2211-8179
Language: English
Page range: 62 - 62
Submitted on: Feb 3, 2026
Accepted on: Aug 3, 2026
Published on: Aug 21, 2026
Published by: Ubiquity Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2026 Brechje J. M. V. Huisman, Taryn G. Vosters, Charles Agyemang, Bert-Jan H. van den Born, Irene G. M. van Valkengoed, Liffert Vogt, published by Ubiquity Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.