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Model analysis of long-term trends of aerosol concentrations and direct radiative forcings over East Asia Cover

Model analysis of long-term trends of aerosol concentrations and direct radiative forcings over East Asia

By: ,   and    
Open Access
|Jan 2013

Figures & Tables

Fig. 1

The study domain, locations of landmarks, EANET sites (open squares, see Table 1), China sites (open triangles, see Table 2) and AERONET sites (close circles, 1: Beijing, 2: Xianghe, 3: Taihu, 4: Xinglong, 5: Hong Kong PolyU, 6: Shirahama). Area I is defined as eastern China (ECHN, 20°–42°N, 100°–123°E), Area II is defined as western China (WCHN, 35°–48°N, 75°–100°E).

Fig. 2

East Asia (solid dot), eastern China (ECHN, solid square), western China (WCHN, solid cross) and global (dash circle) emissions (anthropogenic+biomass burning) of SO2 and BC derived from IPCC AR5 (global emissions are scaled by 1/10).

Table 1. Comparisons of annual mean inorganic components between observations and simulations at EANET sites (units: µg m−3)

LocationsSO42-NO3-NH4+Sites(°E)(°N)TypesTimeObsModObsModObsModHongwena118.124.5Urban201014.110.611.79.16.76.0Kanghwab126.337.7Rural20106.29.63.54.42.93.8Chejub126.233.3Remote20103.84.10.71.91.31.3Imsilb127.235.6Rural20105.06.73.84.92.53.2Primorskayc132.143.7Rural20104.04.50.81.20.80.9Rishirid141.245.1Remote20102.72.40.80.40.50.5Tappid141.441.3Remote20104.13.31.20.60.71.0Sado-sekid138.438.3Remote20103.23.20.80.80.50.9Okid133.236.3Remote20104.43.41.51.00.91.0Hedod128.326.9Remote20103.52.31.10.80.40.6Tokyod139.835.7Urban20104.34.03.82.71.72.0Average5.04.92.72.51.71.9

[i] ain China.

[ii] bin Republic of Korea.

[iii] cin Russia.

[iv] din Japan.

Table 2. Comparisons of observed and simulated aerosol components in China (units: µg m−3)a

LocationsTimes (yyyy.mm)SO42-NO3-NH4+BCOCSites(°E)(°N)TypesObsModObsModObsModObsModObsModObsModReferenceBeijing116.439.9Urban1989.5–1990.5199012.013.816.42.817.46.9 Chen et al. (1994)Beijing116.539.8Urban1999.7–2000.9200014.313.910.14.96.46.59.42.625.36.7 He et al. (2001)Qingdao120.536.1Rural1997–2000200013.08.54.55.75.84.8 Hu et al. (2002)Shanghai121.531.3Urban1999.3–2000.3200014.013.96.04.65.96.46.52.314.95.8 Ye et al. (2003)Nanjing118.832.1Urban2001.2–12200016.313.77.56.59.57.1 Wang et al. (2003)NJUb118.832.1Urban2001.22000.214.012.98.18.98.47.33.32.415.65.6 Yang et al. (2005)2001.92000.911.513.23.27.23.66.94.01.610.85.3Hok Tsuic114.222.2Rural2000.11–2001.1020009.38.70.61.92.33.71.72.34.03.4 Louie et al. (2005)Shangdianzid117.140.7Rural13.712.612.16.34.56.0 Zhao et al. (2011) Baoliane116.339.9Urban19.119.120.59.06.49.4Tianjin117.239.1Urban 2009.4.7.10; 2010.1201024.716.718.610.87.69.2Shijiazhuang114.438.0Urban35.120.229.810.79.210.4Chengde117.941.0Rural12.98.05.85.44.04.2PKUf116.340.0Urban13.615.111.37.66.97.45.02.917.07.2Zhang et al. (2013)Average16.013.610.66.96.26.96.62.415.05.8

[i] aobserved particle sizes are PM2.5 and simulations are fine mode aerosols.

[ii] bNanjing University.

[iii] cin Hong Kong.

[iv] da regional background site located in northeast rural Beijing.

[v] ein downtown Beijing.

[vi] fPeking University.

Fig. 3

MODIS retrieved (a, c) and simulated (b, d) annual mean AOD at 550 nm at 10:30 LST in 2000 (a, b) and 2010 (c, d). Simulated AOD was sampled according to MODIS daily values.

Table 3. Statistics of comparison for hourly AOD at AERONET sites for 2010

SitesSampleObs.ModelRMBEaRMSEbNMBcBeijing20070.570.410.62−0.160.50−28.1Xianghe15250.570.380.61−0.190.51−33.3Taihu5930.610.540.48−0.070.40−11.5Xinglong17030.280.290.530.010.323.6Hong Kong PolyU9750.370.320.47−0.050.28−13.5Shirahama7690.220.200.55−0.020.15−9.1Total75710.440.350.60−0.090.41−20.4

[i] amean bias error.

[ii] broot-mean-square error.

[iii] cnormalized mean bias.

Fig. 4

Annual mean near-surface concentrations of (a) inorganic aerosol (sulphate+nitrate+ammonium) and (b) carbonaceous aerosol (BC+OC) (units: µg m−3) from the model. White shadings indicate concentrations in between 0–5 µg m−3 for inorganic aerosol and 0–2 µg m−3 for carbonaceous aerosol.

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Table 4. Domain and annual mean burdens of aerosols (units: mg m−2)

Region185019701980199020002010Inorganic aerosolEA0.814.716.918.718.618.1ECHN0.818.623.027.327.532.9WCHN0.810.712.611.511.67.3SulphateEA0.58.99.49.710.19.4ECHN0.59.511.212.413.114.4WCHN0.68.710.18.98.75.2NitrateEA0.12.73.54.64.14.5ECHN0.14.76.28.37.610.8WCHN0.10.20.30.40.50.5AmmoniumEA0.23.24.04.54.54.2ECHN0.24.35.66.76.77.7WCHN0.21.82.22.22.41.6Carbonaceous aerosolEA2.54.75.24.94.94.6ECHN3.16.47.07.17.06.7WCHN1.32.42.62.02.11.7BCEA0.20.60.70.70.70.8ECHN0.20.70.91.11.11.2WCHN0.20.40.40.30.30.3OCEA2.34.14.54.24.23.8ECHN2.95.76.16.06.05.5WCHN1.12.12.21.71.81.4DustEA220.3222.7137.6153.1179.7191.0ECHN305.5330.5210.5217.8257.4252.9WCHN431.6357.4315.3344.7438.8519.7

[i] EA: East Asia; ECHN: eastern China (20°–42°N, 100°–123°E); WCHN: western China (35°–48°N, 75°–100°E).

Fig. 5

Annual mean (a) AOD, (b) ADRFSRF (W m−2) and (c) ADRFTOA (W m−2) from the model.

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Table 5. Domain and annual mean AOD (unitless), and all-sky aerosol direct radiative forcings at surface (ADRFSRF) and at top of the atmosphere (ADRFTOA) (units: W m−2)

Region185019701980199020002010AODEA0.060.160.160.170.180.20ECHN0.070.220.230.280.280.35WCHN0.090.120.130.120.150.14ADRFSRFEA−7.9−11.8−10.4−11.2−11.9−11.5ECHN−10.5−15.7−14.3−15.7−16.8−17.5WCHN−12.1−13.2−12.5−12.8−15.2−15.1ADRFTOAEA0.4−2.1−2.6−2.9−2.8−2.2ECHN0.0−2.5−3.4−4.0−4.1−4.8WCHN1.8−0.6−0.9−0.8−0.41.2

[i] EA: East Asia; ECHN: eastern China (20°–42°N, 100°–123°E); WCHN: western China (35°–48°N, 75°–100°E).

Table 6. Comparison of base simulations and sensitivity simulationa

Case ACase BCase C10 m wind speed (m s−1)3.94.13.9Annual rain (cm grid−1)130.8134.2130.3Concentrationb (µg m−3)12.621.822.6AOD0.280.350.37

[i] Case A is with emission and meteorology of 2000.

[ii] Case B is with emission and meteorology of 2010.

[iii] Case C is with emission of 2010 but meteorology of 2000.

[iv] aValues are averaged over ECHN (see Fig. 1).

[v] bNear-surface inorganic aerosol concentration.

Language: English
Page range: 20410 - 20410
Submitted on: Jan 11, 2013
Accepted on: Aug 8, 2013
Published on: Jan 1, 2013
Published by: Stockholm University Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2013 Jiawei Li, Zhiwei Han, Zuxin Xie, published by Stockholm University Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.