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The sensitivity of characteristics of cyclone activity to identification procedures in tracking algorithms Cover

The sensitivity of characteristics of cyclone activity to identification procedures in tracking algorithms

Open Access
|Dec 2014

Figures & Tables

Table 1. DJF number of tracks that (K) had at least one point over 1500 m in Central Asia (30–55 N, 70–110°E), (K h ) were observed only over the elevated area, (K 0) were removed after topographic filtering even though they had some points below 1500 m, (K z ) remained in the list of tracks after topographic filtering

M06M09M12M16M22
K14056521103624335875K h 73538144259913882K0498222731910191679K z 179448320441320
Fig. 1

Normalised annual histograms of (left column) the minimum central pressure (hPa) and (right column) the maximum cyclone deepening rate (hPa/6 h) for continental systems over regions where the topographic elevation is less than 1500 m (grey bars) and their deviations from the distribution for all continental cyclones when no elimination is applied (shown in colour). Note the scale difference between the climatological (right) and anomaly (left) axes.

Fig. 2

DJF maps of characteristics of cyclones in M09 (left) and M12 (right) that had at least one point over the mountains in Central Asia: (a) cyclogenesis, (b) cyclolysis, (c) location of minimum SLP, (d) location of maximum deepening rate, (e) averaged deepening rate for all DJF cyclones (hPa/6 h). Counts in a–d show the number of systems per season in a circle of radius 2 deg. lat. The red line shows the 1500-m topography isoline.

Fig. 3

Annual anomalies in the number of tracks that were reduced by 12 hours from the climatological number of tracks. The counts show the number of tracks per year in a circle of radius 2 deg. lat.

Fig. 4

(Left panel) Annual relative anomalies in the number of cyclones averaged across the schemes and (middle and right panel) two most contrasting examples after the first 12 hours of each track were removed. The counts show the number of tracks per year in a circle of radius 2 deg. lat. The red contour lines in the left panel show the standard deviation.

Fig. 5

Normalised annual climatological histograms of the maximum cyclone deepening rate (hPa/6 h) (Hdrclim; grey bars) along with the magnitudes of deviations of histograms implied by the truncation of the first 12 hours of cyclone tracks (Hdrtrun) from the original ones ( Hdranom ; colour bars). Hdranom = Hdrtrun Hdrclim .

Table 2. Average duration of tracks before (LT) and after (LT12) the removal of the first 12 hours of each track (days) and difference between them (absolute, D LT , and normalised by LT, R LT )

LTLT12DLTRLT (%)
M023.633.45−0.19−5M062.162.250.094M072.372.420.052M092.662.830.166M102.522.570.052M124.073.98−0.09−2M143.663.730.072M152.822.860.042M162.933.060.145M183.543.35−0.19−5M202.712.850.145M212.482.650.187M222.652.790.145

Table 3. Number of RICs per scheme per 30-year period

M02M06M09M10M12M16M18M20M22
RIC18 781 (24.7)10 127 (10.7)14 370 (14.1)8495 (16.7)14 563 (21.5)11 959 (18.5)10 573 (14.9)19 142 (20.5)10 295 (17.0)RIC16405 (8.4)2716 (2.9)5667 (5.6)2716 (5.4)4869 (7.2)3865 (6.0)3333 (4.7)6611 (7.1)3872 (6.4)RIC23949 (5.2)1779 (1.9)2640 (2.61)2740 (5.4)3053 (4.5)2276 (3.5)1405 (2.0)3632 (3.9)2395 (3.9)RIC38427 (11.1)5632 (6.0)6063 (6.0)3039 (6.0)6641 (9.8)5818 (9.0)5835 (8.2)8899 (9.5)4028 (6.6)

[i] RIC1 – cyclones that were rapidly intensifying only within the first 12 hours; RIC2 – cyclones that were rapidly intensifying within the first 12 hours and at least once later; RIC3 – RIC, that did not show rapid intensification within the first 12 hours of their development. Absolute numbers are shown in regular font and italic is used to show the relative values normalised by total number of tracks.

Fig. 6

Distribution of (a) average and (b) maximum propagation speed of a cyclone centre.

Fig. 7

(a) Tail of annual distribution of maximum propagation speed of a cyclone centre for tracks prior to orographic filtering and (b) spatial distribution of the number of tracking schemes that demonstrate a cyclone speed of 170 km/h and more. The counts show the number of tracking schemes in a circle of radius 2 deg. lat.

Table 4. Number of tracks (N) per scheme before splitting and the number of tracks that remained unchanged (R)

M02M06M07M09M10M12M14M15M16M18M20M21M22
N84 110130 18853 408125 68062 92878 54846 87373 72379 09285 564118 03943 68272 436R55 333 (65.8)124 754 (95.8)45 521 (85.2)98 507 (78.4)58 796 (93.4)43 670 (55.6)38 361 (81.8)64 900 (88.0)59 283 (75.0)77 361 (90.4)98 164 (83.2)37 783 (86.5)45 988 (63.5)N->29015 (10.7)1064 (0.8)1876 (3.5)5596 (4.4)1377 (2.2)13 770 (17.5)2872 (6.1)1994 (2.7)4674 (5.9)2740 (3.2)4316 (3.7)1529 (3.5)6516 (9.0)N->118 247 (21.7)3018 (2.3)4850 (9.1)15 881 (12.6)2292 (3.6)17 093 (21.8)4509 (9.6)5625 (7.6)11 772 (14.9)4507 (5.3)12 584 (10.7)3524 (8.3)14 723 (20.3)N->01515 (1.8)1352 (1.0)1161 (2.2)5696 (4.5)463 (0.7)4015 (5.1)1131 (2.4)1204 (1.6)3363 (4.3)956 (1.1)2975 (2.5)746 (1.7)5209 (7.2)

[i] Tracks that were split into two tracks (N→2); were split, but only one part of the track remained in the dataset (N→1) or tracks that disappeared completely after splitting (N→0). Absolute numbers are shown in regular font, and italic is used to show the relative values normalised by N.

Fig. 8

Annual anomalies of the number of tracks that were split at their maximum propagation time step from the climatological number of tracks. The counts show the number of tracks per year in a circle of 2 deg. lat.

Fig. 9

DJF maps of (a) maximum deepening rate (hPa/6 h), (b) average deepening rate (hPa/6 h) and (c) average central pressure of cyclones (hPa). The left panels show average between the methods and middle and right panels show the two most contrasting schemes. The red contour lines show the STD.

Fig. 10

DJF map of average central pressure of cyclones (hPa) for M02 and M10.

Fig. 11

(a) DJF and (b) JJA cumulative distribution for the number of tracks per season as a function of cyclone intensity (minimal central pressure). The plots are built using 10-hPa wide bins, and the dots are placed in the centre of the bins. (c) DJF and (d) JJA number of 200 most intense cyclone tracks averaged across the algorithms per each season (in colour). The counts show the number of tracks per year in a circle of 2 deg. lat. Red contour lines show STD.

Table 5. The percentage of the total number of cyclones per season (DJF and JJA) which fall into the ‘200 most intense cyclones’ category (P 200) and the average SLP (hPa) in the centre of the 200th most intense cyclone in a season at the moment of its maximum intensity (SLP 200)

DJFJJA

P200SLP200P200SLP200
M022798030996M061998517997M092598914994M103798639998M124499223995M163698925994M182498632998M202498917994M223999026994

Table A1. Code numbers for the tracking methods used in this study, the main references for method descriptions and figures in which each method was used

Main references for method descriptionFigures
Code1234567891011
M021991), Pinto et al. (2005)✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓M061997), Hewson and Titley (2010)✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓M07Flaounas et al. (2014)✓✓✓✓M091995), Wang et al. (2006)✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓M101991), Simmonds et al. (2003)✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓M122002), Rudeva and Gulev (2007)✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓M14Kew et al. (2010)✓✓✓✓M151997), Raible et al. (2008)✓✓✓✓M162002)✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓M181994, 1997)✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓M202006)✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓M212009)✓✓✓✓M222005), Akperov et al. (2007)✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓
Language: English
Page range: 24961 - 24961
Submitted on: May 18, 2014
Accepted on: Oct 22, 2014
Published on: Dec 1, 2014
Published by: Stockholm University Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2014 Irina Rudeva, Sergey K. Gulev, Ian Simmonds, Natalia Tilinina, published by Stockholm University Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.