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Stochastically driven transitions between climate attractors Cover

Stochastically driven transitions between climate attractors

Open Access
|Dec 2014

Figures & Tables

Fig. 1

Zones of equilibria.

Fig. 2

Bifurcation diagram: y-coordinates of stable equilibria (thin solid lines), unstable equilibria (dashed lines), extrema of stable cycles (thick solid lines) and extrema of unstable cycles (dash-dotted lines).

Fig. 3

Cycles of the deterministic system for b=2.

Fig. 4

Phase portraits of the deterministic system with b=2 for (a) a=1.5, (b) a=0.8, (c) a=0.76, (d) a=0.715, (e) a=0.7, (f) a=0.5 Stable cycles (thick solid black lines), unstable cycles (dashed red lines), stable equilibria (filled circles), unstable equilibria (empty circles) and phase trajectories (thin blue solid lines).

Fig. 5

Random states (grey) of stochastic attractors and confidence domains (dashed lines): (a) confidence ellipse around the equilibrium M 2 for a=0.5, ɛ=0.01; (b) confidence band around the limit cycle for a=1.1, ɛ=0.05.

Fig. 6

Stochastic sensitivity of attractors: (a) plots m(t) for cycles; (b) plots λ1(a),λ2(a) for equilibria and M(a) for cycles.

Fig. 7

Stochastic trajectories for a=0.76 and (a) ɛ=0.05; (b) ɛ=0.1; (c) ɛ=0.2.

Fig. 8

Stochastic trajectories for a=0.82 and (a) ɛ=0.05; (b) ɛ=0.1.

Fig. 9

Probability density function for ɛ=0.2 and (a) a=0.76; (b) a=0.82; (c) a=0.86.

Fig. 10

Stochastic trajectories for a=0.7 and (a) ɛ=0.1; (b) ɛ=0.2; (c) ɛ=0.3.

Fig. 11

Plot of k(ɛ).

Fig. 12

Probability density function for a=0.7 and (a) ɛ=0.1; (b) ɛ=0.3; (c) ɛ=0.5.

Fig. 13

Stochastic trajectories for a=1.1 and (a) ɛ=0.2; (b) ɛ=1.

Fig. 14

Plot of k(ɛ).

Fig. 15

Probability density function for a=1.1 and (a) ɛ=0.2; (b) ɛ=1.

Language: English
Page range: 23454 - 23454
Submitted on: Nov 27, 2013
Accepted on: Mar 25, 2014
Published on: Dec 1, 2014
Published by: Stockholm University Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2014 Dmitri V. Alexandrov, Irina A. Bashkirtseva, Lev B. Ryashko, published by Stockholm University Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.