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Effective assimilation of global precipitation: simulation experiments Cover

Effective assimilation of global precipitation: simulation experiments

Open Access
|Dec 2013

Figures & Tables

Fig. 1

The PDF and CDF of (a, c) the original precipitation and (b, d) the transformed precipitation at a grid point near Maryland (38.967°N, 78.75°W) in winter season (December–February) based on the 10-yr nature run. The procedure of the GT is from (a) to (c), to (d), and to (b) as indicated by the arrows.

PDF = probability density function; CDF = cumulative distribution function; GT = Gaussian transformation.

Fig. 2

The spatial distribution of conventional rawinsonde observations (open circle) and global precipitation observations (plus sign) used in the OSSEs.

OSSE = observing system simulation experiments.

Table 1

The observation errors for the simulated observations

VariablesObservation errorU1.0 m s−1V1.0 m s−1T1.0 KQ (specific humidity)1.0×10−3 kg kg−1Ps (surface pressure)1.0 hPaPP (previous 6-h accumulated precipitation)20% or 50% (in different experiments)
Table 2

Design of all experiments

Observations
Experiment Raobs. Prcp. Gaussian transf.Criteria for prcp. assimilationObs. error of prcp. obs. (%)Loc. lengths of prcp. obs.RAOBSXPP_CTRLXXXPrcp. members≥10201L (=500 km)QonlyXX (only updating Q)XPrcp. members≥10201LnoGTXXPrcp. members≥10201LObsRXXXObs. prcp.>0.1 mm 6h−1201L50%errXXXPrcp. members≥10501L50%err_noGTXXPrcp. members≥10501L1mRXXXPrcp. members≥1201L5mRXXXPrcp. members≥5201L15mRXXXPrcp. members≥15201L0.5LXXXPrcp. members≥10200.5L0.3LXXXPrcp. members≥10200.3L
Fig. 3

The global RMS (a) analysis and (b) forecast errors (verified against the nature run) of u-winds in experiments RAOBS, PP_CTRL, and Qonly. For the analysis errors, the evolution over 1 yr is shown. Different scales on the time axis are used for the spin-up period (the first month) and the remaining 11 months. For the forecast errors, the 11-month (after the spin-up) average values are shown versus the forecast time.

RMS = root-mean-square.

Table 3

Impact of precipitation assimilation on the last 11-month averaged analysis errors of u-wind

Last 11-month averaged RMSE of U (m s−1) (percentage changes relative to RAOBS)
ExperimentsGlobeNHTRSHRAOBS1.580.671.642.03PP_CTRL1.15 (−27.2%)0.53 (−20.6%)1.45 (−11.2%)0.91 (−55.2%)Qonly1.37 (−13.6%)0.58 (−13.1%)1.51 (−7.4%)1.59 (−21.8%)

[i] NH = Northern Hemisphere; SH = Southern Hemisphere; TR = tropics.

Fig. 4

As in Fig. 3b, but for precipitation forecast errors.

Fig. 5

As in Fig. 3a, but for experiments RAOBS, PP_CTRL, noGT, and ObsR.

Table 4

Impact of the Gaussian transformation (GT) and accuracy of precipitation observations

Last 11-month averaged RMSE of U (m s−1) (percentage changes relative to RAOBS)ExperimentsGlobeNHTRSHRAOBS1.580.671.642.03PP_CTRL (20%err)1.15 (−27.2%)0.53 (−20.6%)1.45 (−11.2%)0.91 (−55.2%)noGT (20%err)1.17 (−26.1%)0.52 (−22.0%)1.47 (−10.3%)0.95 (−53.0%)50%err1.28 (−19.2%)0.59 (−12.5%)1.52 (−6.9%)1.26 (−38.1%)50%err_noGT1.87 (+17.8%)0.79 (+18.2%)2.00 (+22.0%)2.29 (+12.9%)

[i] NH = Northern Hemisphere; SH = Southern Hemisphere; TR = tropics.

Table 5

Impact of assimilation criteria of precipitation observations

Last 11-month averaged RMSE of U (m s−1) (percentage changes relative to RAOBS)
ExperimentsGlobeNHTRSHRAOBS1.580.671.642.03ObsR1.58 (−0.3%)0.69 ( +3.4%)1.94 (+18.7%)1.40 (−31.0%)1mR1.29 (−18.6%)0.57 (−14.3%)1.62 (−0.9%)1.04 (−48.6%)5mR1.19 (−25.2%)0.52 (−22.3%)1.50 (−8.5%)0.94 (−53.6%)PP_CTRL (10mR)1.15 (−27.2%)0.53 (−20.6%)1.45 (−11.2%)0.91 (−55.2%)15mR1.13 (−28.9%)0.52 (−23.0%)1.42 (−13.4%)0.89 (−56.0%)

[i] NH = Northern Hemisphere; SH = Southern Hemisphere; TR = tropics.

Table 6

The average numbers and percentages (in parentheses) of observations in four classes in terms of the observation-based criterion and the model background-based criterion in PP_CTRL experiment after the spin-up

Observed precipitation rate < 0.1 mm 6 h−1Observed precipitation rate ≥ 0.1 mm 6 h−1Background precipitation members < 10493.7 (49.0%)134.5 (13.3%)Background precipitation members≥1048.9 (4.9%)330.9 (32.8%)

[i] Classes in bold are assimilated into the model and the others are rejected. The total number of observations is 1008 at every cycle.

Fig. 6

As in Fig. 3b, but the RMS forecast errors are calculated separately for the NH extratropics (30–90N; NH), the tropics (30S–30N; TR), and the SH extratropics (30–90S; SH), indicated by different marks on the lines.

Table 7

Impact of horizontal localization lengths of precipitation observations

Last 11-month averaged RMSE of U (m s−1) (percentage changes relative to RAOBS)
ExperimentsGlobeNHTRSHRAOBS1.580.671.642.03PP_CTRL (1L)1.15 (−27.2%)0.53 (−20.6%)1.45 (−11.2%)0.91 (−55.2%)0.5L1.07 (−32.7%)0.48 (−28.0%)1.31 (−20.0%)0.95 (−53.4%)0.3L1.14 (−27.8%)0.53 (−20.2%)1.37 (−16.2%)1.08 (−46.6%)

[i] NH=Northern Hemisphere; SH=Southern Hemisphere; TR=tropics.

Fig. 7

The global map of RMS 72-h forecast errors of the vorticity at σ=0.51 during the 11 months after the spin-up in RAOBS (brown contour) and the corresponding error reduction from PP_CTRL to RAOBS (shading). The rawinsonde observation locations are also shown in blue open circles.

RMS=root-mean-square.

Fig. 8

As in Fig. 3a, but for experiments RAOBS, PP_CTRL, 50%err and 50%err_noGT.

Language: English
Page range: 19915 - 19915
Submitted on: Oct 24, 2012
Accepted on: Jun 6, 2013
Published on: Dec 1, 2013
Published by: Stockholm University Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2013 Guo-Yuan Lien, Eugenia Kalnay, Takemasa Miyoshi, published by Stockholm University Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.