Markov processes, dynamic entropies and the statistical prediction of mesoscale weather regimes
By: C. Nicolis, W. Ebeling and C. Baraldi
References
-
Barry
, R. G.and Perry, A. H. 1973. Synoptic climatology: methods and applications. Methuen and Co. Ltd., -
Cheng
, X.and Wallace, J.M. 1993. Cluster analysis of the Northern Hemisphere wintertime 500 h Pa height field: Spatial patterns.. 50, 2647– 2696. -
De Swart
, H. E.and Grasman, J. 1987. Effect of stochastic perturbations on a low-order spectral model of atmospheric circulation. Tellus, 10– 24. -
Ebeling
, W.and Nicolis, G. 1992. Word frequency and entropy of symbolic sequences: a dynamical Perspective. Chaos, Solitons and Fractals, 635– 650. -
Ebeling
, W., Engel, A.and Feistel, R. 1990. Physik der Evolutionprozesse . Akademie-Verlag, Berlin. -
Ebeling
, W., Pöschel, T.and Albrecht, K.-F. 1995. Entropy, transinformation and word distribution of information-carrying sequences. Bifurcation and Chaos, 51– 61. -
Fraedrich
, K.and Müller, K. 1982. On single station forecasting: sunshine and rainfall Markov chains. Beitr. Phys. Atmosph. 56, 108– 134. -
Gillespie
, D.T. 1992. Markov processes . Academic Press, San Diego. -
Hess
, P.and Brezowsky, H.. 113, 39 pp. -
MacKernan
, D. 1996. Statistical aspects of deterministic chaos. PhD dissertation , University of Brussels, Belgium. -
Molteni
, F.and Tibaldi, S. 1990. Regimes in the wintertime circulation over northern extratropics. Part II: Consequences for dynamical predictability. Q. J. Meteorol. Soc. 116, 1263– 1288. -
Nicolis
, C. 1990. Chaotic dynamics, Markov processes and climate predictability. Tellus, 401– 412. -
Nicolis
, G.and Nicolis, C. 1988. Master equation approach to deterministic chaos. Phys. Re. 438, 427– 433. -
Pöschel
, T., Ebeling, W.and Rosé, H. 1995. Guessing probability distributions from small samples. J. Stat. Phys. 80, 1443– 1451. -
Schüepp
, M. 1979. Witterungsklimatologie . Beiheft zu der Annalen des Schweizerischen Meteorologischen Anstalt, Zürich. -
Spekat
, A., Heller-Schulze, B.and Lutz, M. 1983. Über Grosswetterlagen und Markov-Ketten. Met. Tdsch. 36, 243– 248. -
Toth
, Z. 1992. Quasi-stationary and transient periods in the northern hemisphere circulation series. J. Climate, 1235– 1247. -
Toth
, Z. 1993. Preferred and unpreferred circulation types in the northern hemisphere wintertime phase space.. 50, 2868– 2888. -
Tsironis
, G.P.and Van den Broeck, C. 1988. First-passage times for nonlinear evolution in the presence of dichotomous noise. Phys. Re. A38, 4362– 4364.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v49i1.12215 | Journal eISSN: 3035-9554
Language: English
Page range: 108 - 118
Submitted on: Jan 12, 1996
Accepted on: Apr 18, 1996
Published on: Jan 1, 1997
Published by: Stockholm University Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
© 1997 C. Nicolis, W. Ebeling, C. Baraldi, published by Stockholm University Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.