The North Atlantic Oscillation in the Atlantic-European SLP*

An analysis of the signature of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) in the Atlantic-European sea level pressure (SLP) is presented for observed (German Weather Service) and ECMWF T21 model data. The former time series consists of 1881–1984 January to December fields and the latter of 42 monthly fields from 3 permanent January simulations. The NAO is shown to be one of the dominant eigenmodes of SLP for all calendar months. A very similar NAO anomaly pattern is filtered from the T21 model data, whereby the correspondence between model and reality is far better than for the mean states. Typical extreme states of the NAO, i.e. high- and low-index situations are reconstructed from the EOF (empirical orthogonal functions) and the mean fields. The annual cycle of these states and the differences between observed and simulated January extremes of the NAO are discussed.