Correlation of prices with area, yield, production, and income of sugarcane crop in Haryana
| Periods | Area | Yield | Production | Income |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First period (from 1982/83 to 1991/92) | 0.28 | 0.75* | 0.73* | 0.96* |
| Second period (from 1992/93 to 2001/02) | 0.07 | 0.43 | 0.26 | 0.98* |
| Third period (from 2002/03 to 2011/12) | −0.89* | 0.81* | −0.80* | 0.99* |
| Fourth period (from 2012/13 to 2021/22) | 0.25 | 0.74* | 0.53 | 0.93* |
| Overall study period (from 1982/83 to 2021/22) | −0.70* | 0.93* | 0.21 | 0.99* |
Contribution of price and yield in per hectare income of sugarcane
| Periods | Change in income (ΔI) | Price effect (Y0ΔP) | Yield effect (P0ΔY) | Interaction effect (ΔPΔY) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First period (from 1982/83 to 1991/92) | 14,558.06 (100%) | 7,698.78 (52.88%) | 3,069.52 (21.08%) | 3,789.76 (26.03%) |
| Second period (from 1992/93 to 2001/02) | 30,624.13 (100%) | 22,476.29 (73.39%) | 4,033.11 (13.17%) | 4,114.73 (13.44%) |
| Third period (from 2002/03 to 2011/12) | 151,851.52 (100%) | 107,001.89 (70.46%) | 12,872.50 (8.48%) | 31,977.14 (21.06%) |
| Fourth period (from 2012/13 to 2021/22) | 81,521.73 (100%) | 42,791.58 (52.49%) | 31,976.61 (39.22%) | 6,753.53 (8.28%) |
| Overall study period (from 1982/83 to 2021/22) | 277,895.60 (100%) | 117,489.34 (42.28%) | 8,084.34 (2.91%) | 152,321.92 (54.81%) |
Growth behavior of area, prices, yield, production, and income of sugarcane crop in Haryana
| Periods/Variables | Area | Price | Yield | Production | Income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First period (from 1982/83 to 1991/92) | 2.00* | 9.30* | 3.50* | 5.60* | 13.10* |
| Second period (from 1992/93 to 2001/02) | 2.00* | 6.80* | 0.70* | 2.70* | 7.50* |
| Third period (from 2002/03 to 2011/12) | −8.30* | 15.20* | 2.50* | −6.00* | 18.10* |
| Fourth period (from 2012/13 to 2021/22) | 0.70* | 1.40* | 1.60* | 2.30* | 3.10* |
| Overall study period (from 1982/83 to 2021/22) | −1.00* | 8.10* | 1.70* | 0.80* | 10.00* |
Variability in area, prices, yield, production, and income of sugarcane in Haryana
| Periods | Variables | Minimum | Maximum | Mean | Standard deviation | Coefficient of variation (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First period (from 1982/83 to 1991/92) | Area | 104.20 | 161.9 | 134.52 | 16.72 | 12.43 |
| Prices | 166.55 | 388.37 | 283.55 | 76.03 | 26.81 | |
| Yield | 36.91 | 55.87 | 47.62 | 7.04 | 14.79 | |
| Production | 4,844.16 | 9,045.35 | 6,416.58 | 1,357.87 | 21.16 | |
| Income | 6,235.63 | 20,793.70 | 13,864.62 | 5,246.49 | 37.84 | |
| Second period (from 1992/93 to 2001/02) | Area | 111.80 | 161.90 | 138.47 | 16.07 | 11.60 |
| Prices | 452.65 | 914.46 | 736.78 | 160.92 | 21.84 | |
| Yield | 48.67 | 58.49 | 55.51 | 2.86 | 5.16 | |
| Production | 6,449.74 | 9,270.38 | 7,681.44 | 949.78 | 12.36 | |
| Income | 22,030.48 | 52,654.61 | 41,082.52 | 9,668.73 | 23.53 | |
| Third period (from 2002/03 to 2011/12) | Area | 79.20 | 189.00 | 124.15 | 36.11 | 29.09 |
| Prices | 764.40 | 2,663.28 | 1,576.38 | 727.37 | 46.14 | |
| Yield | 56.35 | 73.19 | 64.60 | 6.37 | 9.85 | |
| Production | 5,176.60 | 10,650.15 | 7,884.35 | 1,837.90 | 23.31 | |
| Income | 43,073.94 | 194,925.50 | 105,236.40 | 57,534.98 | 54.67 | |
| Fourth period (from 2012/13 to 2021/22) | Area | 93.50 | 114.90 | 102.12 | 6.50 | 6.36 |
| Prices | 2,728.38 | 3,304.62 | 2,937.01 | 156.38 | 5.32 | |
| Yield | 73.90 | 85.98 | 79.06 | 4.59 | 5.81 | |
| Production | 6,909.65 | 9,709.05 | 8,090.75 | 895.89 | 11.07 | |
| Income | 202,609.50 | 284,131.20 | 232,678.80 | 24,555.48 | 10.55 | |
| Overall study period (from 1982/83 to 2021/22) | Area | 79.20 | 189.00 | 124.82 | 25.28 | 20.25 |
| Prices | 166.55 | 3,304.62 | 1,383.43 | 1,086.68 | 78.55 | |
| Yield | 36.91 | 85.98 | 61.70 | 12.95 | 20.99 | |
| Production | 4,844.16 | 10,650.15 | 7,518.28 | 1,426.47 | 18.97 | |
| Income | 6,235.63 | 284,131.20 | 98,215.57 | 90,779.73 | 92.43 |
Impact of lagged year yield, price of sugarcane, lagged year price, and yield of sugarcane on current year area of sugarcane in Haryana
| Regression Coefficients | First period (from 1982/83 to 1991/92) | Second period (from1992/93 to 2001/02) | Third period (from 2002/03 to 2011/12) | Fourth period (from 2012/13 to 2021/22) | Overall study period (from 1982/83 to 2021/22) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constant | −1.50 | −3.49 | 0.38 | 0.83 | 0.19 |
| Area of sugarcane lagged by one year | 1.29 | 0.58 | 1.39 | −0.46 | 0.90 |
| Price of sugarcane lagged by one year | 0.72 | 0.02 | 1.10 | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| Yield of sugarcane lagged by one year | 0.33 | 1.57 | 0.18 | 2.05 | 0.71 |
| Price of paddy lagged by one year | −0.91 | 0.08 | −1.15 | −0.47 | −0.46 |
| Yield of paddy lagged by one year | −0.18 | −0.44 | −1.03 | −0.32 | −0.59 |
| Coefficient of determination (R2) | 0.87 | 0.85 | 0.98 | 0.73 | 0.81 |
| Coefficient of adjustment | 0.71 | 0.68 | 0.96 | 0.41 | 0.78 |
| Standard error of the estimate | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.09 |