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System Dynamics Approaches in Managing Real Estate Development Crises: Conceptual versus Scenario-Based Cover

System Dynamics Approaches in Managing Real Estate Development Crises: Conceptual versus Scenario-Based

Open Access
|Sep 2019

Abstract

Real Estate development organizations are vulnerable to crises' events due to the complexity of the external environment, internal structure, and operation systems. This paper aims to present, analyze, and compare between two proposed approaches for managing development crises based on system dynamics methodology. Twenty crises' scenarios are identified in order to be utilized in the analysis process of two approaches. These approaches are the conceptual approach and the scenario-based approach. The conceptual approach provides a framework to manage crises in a broad manner using Mitroff's model. The scenario-based approach uses crisis event characteristics to specify its containment policy. The crises' characteristics are identified by analyzing courses with time, classifying attributes, and specifying archetypes. The outcome of the analysis process for both approaches should guide developers and upgrade the quality of their decision in selecting adequate containment policies.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.25019/mdke/7.3.07 | Journal eISSN: 2392-8042 | Journal ISSN: 2286-2668
Language: English
Page range: 381 - 407
Submitted on: May 31, 2019
Accepted on: Aug 9, 2019
Published on: Sep 30, 2019
Published by: Scoala Nationala de Studii Politice si Administrative
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2019 Amr Abdel-Latif, Ahmed Saad-Eldien, Mohamed Marzouk, published by Scoala Nationala de Studii Politice si Administrative
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.