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The Effects of Fiscal Dominance on Monetary Policies in Algeria Amidst COVID-19 Cover

The Effects of Fiscal Dominance on Monetary Policies in Algeria Amidst COVID-19

Open Access
|Dec 2023

Abstract

While the COVID-19 pandemic has triggered the likelihood and intensity of the increased budget deficit affecting the inflation rate, increasing concerns emerge regarding the ability of governments to stabilize the price under the fiscal dominance in oil-exporting countries. This paper examines the viability of a non-Ricardian regime in Algeria under COVID-19 and the consequences of fiscal dominance on monetary policy. The study demonstrated that budget deficit/GDP, official exchange rate, an interest rate of treasury bills, oil prices, and broad money/GDP are all significantly connected to the inflation rate using an ARDL model from 1998 to 2020. Long-term cointegration is present, supporting the legitimacy of the non-Ricardian regime and the importance of fiscal policy. Empirical findings show the substantial role of the budget deficit, particularly during the COVID-19 period, on Algerian inflation, which has implications for the central bank, government.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/zireb-2023-0015 | Journal eISSN: 1849-1162 | Journal ISSN: 1331-5609
Language: English
Page range: 77 - 96
Published on: Dec 6, 2023
Published by: University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics & Business
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 issues per year

© 2023 Benheddi Ikram, Kamel Si Mohammed, published by University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics & Business
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.