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Modeling Gas Prices in Poland with an Application of the Vector Autoregression Method (VAR) Cover

Modeling Gas Prices in Poland with an Application of the Vector Autoregression Method (VAR)

By: Grzegorz Mentel  
Open Access
|Jul 2013

Abstract

The paper presents examples of gas prices modeling in Poland by means of the VAR model (AutoRegression Vector Model). For comparison, the predictions are made for the models estimated by different variations of the generalized least squares method.

The analysis is based on gas prices set by the Carpathian Gas Company after 2000 for the tariffs applied for individual customers. Thus, value forecasts were presented for this type of energy for the “ordinary” customers in the light of the existing regulations.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/v10031-012-0029-2 | Journal eISSN: 1898-0198 | Journal ISSN: 1730-4237
Language: English
Page range: 46 - 57
Published on: Jul 30, 2013
Published by: University of Szczecin
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 issues per year
Keywords:

© 2013 Grzegorz Mentel, published by University of Szczecin
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons License.