A Probabilistic Approach to Assessing Passenger Survival in Aircraft Accidents Near an Airport Area

Emergency situation (i)	1	2	…	…	i	i+1	…	…	i-1	i
P_i – probability of passenger survival in situation i	P₁	P₂	…	…	P_i	P_i+1	…	…	P_n-1	P_n
N_i - probability of occurrence of situation i	N₁	N₂	…	…	N_i	N_i+1	…	…	N_n-1	N_n

level of destruction of aircraft	Remoteness from an airport
	at an airport i = 1	near an airport i = 2	far from an airport i = 3
Small, j = 1	P₁₁	P₁₂	P₁₃
Middle, j = 2	P₂₁	P₂₂	P₂₃
Considerable, j = 3	P₃₁	P₃₂	P₃₃

Type of emergency situation (•)	I	II	III
Probability I(•) of occurrence of emergency situation (•)	N_I	N_II	N_III
Probability of passenger survival P(•) in emergency situation (•)	P_I	P_II	P_III

Language: English

Page range: 77 - 85

Submitted on: Nov 2, 2022

Accepted on: Jun 20, 2024

Published on: Sep 11, 2024

Published by: ŁUKASIEWICZ RESEARCH NETWORK – INSTITUTE OF AVIATION

In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

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© 2024 Julija Soldatova, Leonid Vinogradov, Vladimir Shestakov, published by ŁUKASIEWICZ RESEARCH NETWORK – INSTITUTE OF AVIATION
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.