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Price Stickiness in US-Corn Market: Evidence from Dsge-Var Simulation Cover

Price Stickiness in US-Corn Market: Evidence from Dsge-Var Simulation

Open Access
|May 2021

Abstract

This study examines price stickiness in the United States (US) corn market using annual series data, on the dollar price of corn per bushel, obtained from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) and Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis (FRED), between 1930 and 2017. The study implemented the Calvo price stick model based on an agent in a general equilibrium and New Keynesian type, simulated using DSGE-VAR. The approach permits the indexing formula to include expected corn inflation rather than lagged inflation. The results show that corn price inflation only persists by 2% every trading year, resulting from changes in the immediate future corn-price inflation and output-gap, respectively. The shock to stochastic term only causes a partial decline in the corn price, converging at a future date with its long-run equilibrium. The experiment confirmed that corn price fluctuations are beyond the purview of the domestic economy, and any attempt to impose price policies will offset the price setting, creating further distortions and a wider gap in the corn yield. The study provides fresh insight into the Calvo price stick model of the New Keynesian type and its use to forecast agricultural outcomes.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/sues-2021-0008 | Journal eISSN: 2285-3065 | Journal ISSN: 1584-2339
Language: English
Page range: 45 - 63
Submitted on: Dec 1, 2020
Accepted on: Feb 1, 2021
Published on: May 21, 2021
Published by: Vasile Goldis Western University of Arad
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2021 Olatunji A. Shobande, Oladimeji Tomiwa Shodipe, published by Vasile Goldis Western University of Arad
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.