Development dynamics of health and social infrastructure for the long-term care – The case of the Posavje region

[i] ¹At the same standard of number of nurses per population

²Note that demand is more than 50% higher than existing capacity today in nursing homes- NHs

³Waiting line in LAG Pri dobrih ljudeh and LAG Prlekija is registered in LAG Goričko

⁴The calculations by authors based on the European population projection 2018 data – no migration scenario.

⁵Estimate of demand by 2050 (number of persons) assuming the same structure of applicants: 1/4 of the care recipients in the cohort 65-79 and 3/4 among the population 80+ (based on the no migration scenario)

[i] *According to the currently valid norms of homecare (see (3) and (22-23)).

**Possible reduction also in the case of the category of care III with the partial help of relatives and volunteers. A high percentage of relatives and volunteers are willing to participate (3).

*** We assume that all patients are members of the health insurance scheme. From the expected structure of care categories and norms in DSO, we summarize the minimum requirements: 1 nurse and two medical technicians, each in their 8-hour shift.

**** Well-organized integrated care with partial help from relatives and norms in the NH for health-insured patients: a: morning; b: afternoon; c: night: a/b/c.

[i] Notation

U-users

adFH-homecare

OS-sheltered-assisted living housing

GH-greenhouses and daily living-assisted living

DSO-Nursing home organised as today

NH-Nursing hospital for long-stay there

[i] *The calculated values are derived from the expected structure of categories of care as given in the studied LAGs. Source: ZZZS [18]

[i] * Limit is 30 apartments with one or two beds. We consider that in each group, there are at least 10% of those with two beds (married couples)

**Article 8 of PRAV10060 stipulates that the maximum possible number of care recipients in one unit is 24.

***Max. for 20 hours weekly/U