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Analysis of Risk Factors for the Development of Femoropopliteal Bypass Graft Occlusions Cover

Analysis of Risk Factors for the Development of Femoropopliteal Bypass Graft Occlusions

Open Access
|Nov 2025

Full Article

INTRODUCTION

Femoropopliteal bypass (FP) is relatively safe and effective technique of limb revascularization surgery for Chronic Critical Limb Ischaemia (CCLI) and disabling intermittent claudication (IC) in patients with peripheral arterial occlusive disease (PAOD). The initial outcome of this procedure is mostly good graft patency and limb preservation1. Although this surgical technique initially prolongs limb salvage, long-term graft patency is one of the major issues facing vascular surgeons1.

The most significant complication of FP bypass is graft occlusion, with frequency of 25 – 35% over a two-year postoperative period1. Graft occlusions are classified in three categories: early (<30 days), intermediate (<2 years) and late (>2 years)2. Limb salvage rate after the graft occlusion is poor, about 50% ± 5% over a two-year postoperative period2.

According to the literature, FP bypass graft occlusion is associated with age3, sex4,5, race3, preoperative hematocrit and hemoglobin values3, clinical stage of disease 2,4,6,7, form of FP bypass2,6, type of graft4,8,9, number of crural recipient arteries patent at angiography6,8,10,11, previous vascular intervention and progression of vascular disease7,12,13,14, and type of anticoagulant (AC) and antiaggregant therapy (AA)6,8,11. On the other hand, there are conflicting published data about relevance of the following factors for the graft occlusion: associated chronic diseases in patients3,15,16,17, drug therapy3,13,15, perioperative blood transfusion, coagulation parameters (aPTT and INR)18, preoperative ankle systolic pressure index (ASPI)19,20,21,22,23, alcohol and nicotine3,7, Finnvastic score24,25, lipid levels and statin therapy 15,26.

The aim of this study was to analyse insufficiently examined potential risk factors and risk factors with conflicting relevance according to prior studies, as well as their mutual interaction (possible synergistic effect of potential risk factors) and determination of their relative importance for FP bypass graft occlusions.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Study design

The study design was of retrospective case-control type. It was conducted in patients with FP bypass graft occlusions which required surgical intervention, while the control group consisted of patients without such outcomes. Data were collected from the medical records of the patients. Risk factors for the occurrence of graft occlusion in patients with FP bypass were analyzed.

Study population

The study population consisted of the patients experiencing FP bypass surgery for advanced lower limb PAOD at Vascular Surgery Unit of the Clinical Centre Kragujevac, from January 2008. to December 2011. The cases were patients with FP bypass graft occlusions which required surgical intervention. The controls were patients without FP bypass graft occlusion after PAOD who were sex and age matched. The allocation ratio of the patients among groups was 1:2 in favor of controls. On the basis of the medical records of both groups it was observed to what extent they were exposed to the observed risk factors. This study did not include patients with incomplete medical records. The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Clinical Centre Kragujevac. The data were collected from the medical records of the patients.

The variables measured in the study

The main outcome of the study were FP bypass graft occlusions. The following potential risk factors for the graft occlusion were followed: age, sex, preoperative levels of hematocrit, hemoglobin, activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) and prothrombine time (PT/INR), clinical stage of disease according to Rutherford, number of angiographically patent crural recipient arteries, form of the FP bypass, type of the graft, previous vascular intervention, other patient's diseases (cardiovascular diseases, diabetes mellitus, chronic renal insufficiency, peptic ulcer disease, malignancy), drug therapy (angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors, alpha and beta blockers, calcium channel blockers, diuretics, metformin, insulin, anticoagulant and antiplatelet therapy), perioperative blood transfusion, smoking, alcohol consumption, and Finnvastic score.

Statistical analysis

In statistical data analysis continuous variables are presented as mean ± standard deviation (SD) in the text and tables, and categorical variables are presented as proportion of examined subjects with a particular outcome. Student's t-test was used for comparison of the mean values of continuous variables for small independent samples, and alternative non-parametric tests were used if the results did not follow normal distribution, based on the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Chi-squared (χ2) test was used to compare differences in the frequencies of categorical variables, and Fisher's exact test was used if the frequency of categories was low. The influence of a number of variables on the examined dichotomous outcome (graft occlusions after FP bypass surgery), as well as the mutual interaction of potential predictor variables, were examined using binary logistic regression, and the results were presented as Adjusted Odds Ratio with corresponding 95% confidence intervals. All results where the probability of the null hypothesis being true was less than 5% (p <0.05) were considered statistically significant. Statistical analysis was performed using a standard statistical software package (SPSS software V.18.0).

RESULTS

Basic characteristics of cases and controls and the differences between them are shown in Table I. There were no significant differences between cases and controls in terms of: sex, age, preoperative values of aPTT and INR, perioperative blood transfusion, ACE inhibitors, alpha and beta blockers, diuretics, calcium-channel blockers, metformin, insulin, diabetes, chronic renal insufficiency, peptic ulcer, malignancies, aorto-iliac occlusive disease, number of angiographically patent crural recipient arteries, the administration and type of antiaggregants and anticoagulants, alcohol consumption, duration of nicotine consumption, and Finnvastic score.

Table I.

Baseline characteristics of cases and controls

VariableCases (n=35)Controls (n=70)Test value and significance of null hypothesisCrude odds ratios with confidence intervals (1.96*SE)
Sex(M/F)27/8 (77%/23%)53/17 (76%/24%)χ2 = 0.261.08 (0.41, 2.83)
p = 0.871
Age (years, mean ± SD)65.00 ± 7.9263.79 ± 10.02T = 0.6261.01 (0.97, 1.06)
p = 0.533
Clinical stage of disease according to RutherfordI0      0%7      10%χ2 = 25.8482.82 (1.77, 4.48)
II0      0%16    22%p < 0.001*
III6     17%21    30%
IV11    31%13    19%
V15    43%13    19%
VI3      9%0      0%
Duration of smoking (years, mean ± SD)28.03 ± 16.0826.51 ± 17.03U=1213,0001.01 (0.98, 1.03)
p = 0.934
Alcohol consumption8/27 (23%/77%)18/52 (26%/74%)χ2 = 0.1020.86 (0.33, 2.22)
p = 0.749
Form of femoropopliteal bypass (below-knee vs above-knee)25/10 (71%,29%)22/48 (31%, 69%)χ2 = 15.0995.45 (2.24, 13.28)
p < 0.001*
Anticoagulant(AC) and Antiaggregant (AA) therapyAC+AA    23    66%AC+AA    34    49%χ2 =4.0010.58 (0.31, 1.11)
AC           11     31%AC           29     41%p = 0.261
AA             0       0%AA             4       6%
withoutwithout
AA/AC      3       3%AA I AC     3       4%
Type of heparinSH           28      80%S              54      77%χ2 = 0.2740.85 (0.42, 1.71)
LMWH      5      14%LMWH    10      14%p = 0.872
S+LMWH  2      6%S+LMWH  6      9%
Preoperative levels of haemoglobin128.91 ± 20.85133.67 ± 19.98T = −1.1340.99 (0.97, 1.01)
p = 0.260
Preoperative levels of aPTT28.12 ± 5.1127.92 ± 6.27U = 1157.5001.01 (0.94, 1.08)
p = 0.646
Preoperative levels of INR1.14 ± 0.301.08 ± 0.38U = 1067.0001.57 (0.51, 4.89)
p = 0.283
Preoperative levels of hematocrit38.57 ± 6.3640.18 ± 5.67T = −1.3230.95 (0.891, 1.023)
p = 0.189
Aortoiliac stenosis6/29 (17%/83%)18/52 (26%/74%)χ2 = 0.9720.60 (0.21, 1.67)
p = 0.324
Previous vascular intervention9/26 (26%/74%)13/57 (19%/81%)χ2 = 0.7191.52 (0.58, 4.00)
p = 0.397
Angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors24/11 (69%/31%)50/19 (71%/29%)χ2 = 0.6770.80 (0.33, 1.94)
p = 0.713
Beta blockers16/19 (46%/54%)28/42 (40%/60%)χ2 = 0.3131.26 (0.56, 2.86)
p = 0.576
Diuretics11/24 (31%/69%)24/46 (34%/66%)χ2 = 0.0860.88 (0.37, 2.09)
p = 0.770
Calcium channel blockers6/29 (17%/83%)17/53 (24%/76%)χ2 = 0.6960.64 (0.23, 1.82)
p = 0.404
Metformin2/33 (6%/94%)14/56 (20%/80%)χ2 = 3.6870.24 (0.05, 1.13)
p = 0.055
Insulin5/30 (14%/86%)9/61 (13%/87%)χ2 = 0.0411.13 (0.35, 3.67)
p = 0.839
Type of graft (artificially vs venous)32/3 (91%/9%)61/9 (87%/13%)χ2 = 0.4231.57 (0.40, 6.22)
p = 0.515
Finnvastic score5/30 (14%/86%)5/65 (7%/93%)χ2 = 1.3822.17 (0.58, 8.05)
p = 0.295
Cardiovascular diseases20/1526/44χ2 = 3.7912.26 (0.98, 5.16)
57%/43%37%/63%p = 0.052
Chronic renal insufficiency5/304/66χ2 = 2.1882.75 (0.69, 10.97)
14%/86%6%/94%p = 0.156
Peptic ulcer disease5/305/65χ2 = 1.3822.17 (0.58, 8.05)
14%/86%7%/93%p = 0.295
Number of angiographically passable crural recipient arteries16/9/815/28/21χ2 = 6.3591.75 (1.01, 3.06)
48,5%/27,3%/24,2%32,8%/43,8%/23,4%p = 0.042*
1/2/3
Diabetes11/2423/47χ2 = 0.0220.94(0.39, 2.24)
31%/69%33%/67%p = 0.883
Malignancy0/355/65χ2 = 2.6250.00
0%/100%7%/93%p = 0.167
Perioperative blood transfusion6/299/61χ2 = 0.3501.40 (0.46, 4.31)
17%/83%13%/87%p = 0.554
Alpha blockers2/332/68χ2 = 0.5202.06 (0.28, 15.28)
6%/94%3%/97%p = 0.471

* Significant difference

SD= Standard Deviation

AC =Anticoagulants

AA = Antiaggregant

SH = Standard heparin

LMWH = Low molecular weight heparin

aPTT = Activated Partial Thromboplastin Time;

INR = international Normalized Ratio;

ACE = Angiotensin Converting Enzyme;

Statistically significant effects for the occurrence of FP bypass graft occlusion were found in the form of FP bypass (below-knee vs above-knee) (ORadjusted 115.34; 95% confidence interval 4.02,3306.55; p=0.006), graft type (artificial vs venous) (ORadjusted 81.62; 95% confidence interval 1.03,6486.32; p=0.049), associated cardiovascular diseases (ORadjusted 55.64; 95% confidence Interval 2.63,1176.94; p=0.010), previous vascular procedures (ORadjusted 51.61; 95% confidence interval 1.10,2425.14; p= 0.045), pre-operative disease stage according to Rutherford (ORadjusted 22.21; 95% confidence interval 2.62,188.39; p= 0.004), preoperative haemoglobin levels (ORadjusted 1.33; 95% confidence interval 1.01,1.74; p= 0.040) and preoperative hematocrit levels (ORadjusted 0.34; 95% confidence interval 0.13,0.89; p=0.028).

The results of logistic regression analysis (Coh & Snell R square 0.534, Nagelkerke R square 0.740, Hosmer-Lemeshow Chi-squared 4.713, df=8, p = 0.788) with adjustment for potential confounders are shown in Table II.

Table II.

Crude and adjusted odds ratios of the risk factors for femoropopliteal bypass graft occlusions*

Risk factorsCrude OR (95% CI)Adjusted OR (95% CI)
Form of femoropopliteal bypass (below-knee vs above-knee)5.45(2.24, 13.28)115.34(4.02, 3306.55)
Type of graft (artificially vs venous)1.57(0.40, 6.22)81.62(1.03, 6486.32)
Cardiovascular diseases2.26(0.98, 5.16)55.64(2.63, 1176.94)
Previous vascular intervention1.52(0.58, 4.00)51.61(1.10, 2425.14)
Clinical stage of disease according to Rutherford2.82(1.77, 4.48)22.21(2.62, 188.39)
Preoperative levels of haemoglobin0.99(0.97, 1.01)1.33(1.01, 1.74)
Preoperative levels of hematocrit0.95(0.89, 1.02)0.34 (0.13, 0.98)

* For the sake of clarity only significant associations are shown in the table (95% CI of adjusted OR does not include value of 1)

OR = Odds Ratio;

CI = Confidence Intervals

After examination of interaction between risk factors a significant synergistic effect was found for the combination of form of FP bypass and type of the graft (ORadjusted 140.95; 95%Confidence Interval 5.47,3632.14; p=0.003), type of the graft and previous vascular procedures (ORadjusted 75.96; 95%Confidence Interval 1.14, 5060.94; p=0.043), form of FP bypass and associated cardiovascular diseases (ORadjusted 68.03; 95% confidence interval 3.14,1472.69; p=0.007), type of graft and associated cardiovascular disease (ORadjusted 25.71; 95%Confidence Interval 1.69,391.30; p=0.019), type of graft and preoperative clinical stage of the disease according to Rutherford (ORadjusted 2.83; 95% Confidence Interval 1.28,6.24; p=0.010), form of FP bypass and preoperative clinical stage of the disease according to Rutherford (ORadjusted 2.58; 95 % confidence interval 1.47,4.51; p=0.001) (Table III).

Table III.

Synergistic effects of risk factors for the femoropopliteal bypass graft occlusions

Risk factorsCrude OR (95% CI)Adjusted OR (95% CI)
Form of femoropopliteal bypass (below-knee vs above-knee)5.45(2.24, 13.28)115.34(4.02, 3306.55)
Type of graft (artificially vs venous)1.57(0.40, 6.22)81.62(1.03, 6486.32)
Cardiovascular diseases2.26(0.98, 5.16)55.64(2.63, 1176.94)
Previous vascular intervention1.52(0.58, 4.00)51.61(1.10, 2425.14)
Clinical stage of disease according to Rutherford2.82(1.77, 4.48)22.21(2.62,188.39)
Preoperative levels of haemoglobin0.99(0.97, 1.01)1.33(1.01, 1.74)
Preoperative levels of hematocrit0.95 (0.89, 1.02)0.34 (0.13, 0.98)
Form of femoropopliteal bypass(below-knee vs above-knee) by Type of graft (artificially vs venous)5.54(2.30,13.35)140.95(5.47, 3632.14)*
p=0.003
Type of graft (artificially vs venous) by Previous vascular intervention1.50(0.52,4.35)75.96(1.14, 5060.94)*
p=0.043
Cardiovascular diseases by Form of femoropopliteal bypass(below-knee vs above-knee)4.50(1.75,11.60)68.03(3.14, 1472.69)*
p=0.007
Type of graft (artificially vs venous) by Cardiovascular diseases2.03(0.89,4.64)25.71(1.69, 391.30)*
p=0.019
Previous vascular intervention by Form of femoropopliteal bypass(below-knee vs above-knee)2.70(0.76,9.53)4.22(0.20, 90.46)
p=0.357
Type of graft (artificially vs venous) by Clinical stage of disease according to Rutherford1.86(1.39,2.61)2.83 (1.28, 6.24)*
p=0.010
Clinical stage of disease according to Rutherford by Form of femoropopliteal bypass(below-knee vs above-knee)1.65(1.32,2.05)2.58(1.47, 4.51)*
p=0.001
Preoperative levels of haemoglobin by Form of femoropopliteal bypass(below-knee vs above-knee)1.01(1.01,1.02)1.02(1.01,1.04)
p=0.008
Preoperative levels of hematocrit by Form of femoropopliteal bypass(below-knee vs above-knee)1.04(1.02,1.06)1.06(1.02,1.12)
p=0.009
Preoperative levels of haemoglobin by Preoperative levels of hematocrit1.00(1.00–1.00)1.00(0.99,1.00)
p=0.381

* Clinically significant interaction

OR = Odds Ratio

CI = Confidence Interval

DISCUSSION

Each year about 220 new cases of CCLI per million are reported worldwide16. Revascularization procedures are necessary in approximately 50% of patients and FP bypass is usually performed16. A major complication after FP bypass surgery is graft occlusion with a frequency of 25 – 35% over a two-year postoperative period1.

Since previous studies demonstrated the impact of gender4,5,7 and age3 on the occurrence of graft occlusions, we matched our patients by sex and age in order to discover influences of other variables. According to our research main risk factors for graft occlusion are the form of FP bypass, type of graft, associated cardiovascular disease, previous vascular procedures and preoperative clinical stage of the disease according to Rutherford.

Below-knee FP bypass was a significant risk factor for graft occlusion in our study, and these results are consistent with other studies3,7. In addition, below-knee FP bypass is a significant factor affecting the limb salvage duration2.

Type of graft, i.e. synthetic graft, is an important risk factor for graft occlusion according to the results of our study, which corresponds with the literature explaining a clear benefit for autologous vein when compared to synthetic materials4,7,8,9,13,27. Also, limb ischaemia resulting from graft occlusion seemed to cause more severe effects in artificial graft compared with venous graft8,27. Autogenous saphenous vein is considered to be the best material for FP bypass. A synthetic graft is considered only as an acceptable alternative. There is a significantly increased rate of occlusion in artificial graft compared to venous graft (48% versus 18%; p =0.005)8.

Interaction between the type of graft and form of bypass showed highly significant association with graft occlusion and these results also correspond to previous research3. According to these results synthetic peripheral FP bypass seemed to have the highest rate of graft occlusion, as shown in other studies, where early graft occlusion was around 8.2% in artificial graft and 4.7% in vein graft3.

However, according to previous studies impact of patients’ chronic diseases on graft occlusion is a conflicting issue15,28. We found a significant impact of associated cardiovascular diseases on graft occlusion. It is logical, since coronary artery disease and cerebrovascular disease often appear along with PAOD as a manifestation of generalized atherosclerosis. Approximately 40–60% of patients with PAOD also have associated cardiovascular disease16. In patients with cardiovascular disease peripheral perfusion is reduced due to heart failure and left ventricular relaxation. Consequently, in patients with PAOD and related cardiovascular diseases graft occlusions occur more frequently. On the contrary, in some studies patients with diabetes have a lower incidence of graft occlusion, and better results after FP bypass procedures if compared with patients without diabetes3. There is also an inverse association between diabetes and graft occlusion after FP bypass, but without statistical significance3. The rate of early occlusion in non-diabetic patients was 5.5%, in insulin-dependent diabetic patients 4.4%, and in patients with insulin-independent diabetes 4.0%3. The occurrence of early occlusion was 28% less likely in patients who take insulin than in those who take oral antidiabetics3. However, in our study we did not find significant effect of diabetes and type of antidiabetic drug on graft occlusion. This is not surprising, since in patients with diabetic PAOD is more aggressive, with early major blood vessels involvement and more rapid disease progression.

There is also controversy over significance of the impact of chronic renal insufficiency (HRI) in patients with PAOD on graft occlusion after FP bypass. Some authors state that HRI has no effect on graft occlusion, which corresponds to our results17. There are also dissenting opinions13. Since the mortality rate of these patients is already high, it is important to identify the subset of patients who demonstrate benefit and improve the quality of life after revascularization.

Our results also showed statistical significance of previous vascular and endovascular intervention in relation with graft occlusion. They indicate generalized atherosclerosis and more advanced stages of the disease. According to some studies previous aortobifemoral bypass, contralateral amputation, ipsilateral FP bypass, grafting revision, and endovascular procedures are significant risk factors for graft occlusion13,14.

Advanced clinical stage of disease according to Rutherford as a manifestation of advanced limb atherosclerosis and advanced vascular ischaemia, according to our results, significantly affect the occurrence of graft occlusion, which corresponds with the results of other studies2,6,7. In patients who underwent FP bypass for claudication, pain at rest or tissue loss, we found significantly lower limb preservation rates2.

According to the literature average hematocrit level in the examined patients is 38%. In patients with higher hematocrit level the risk of graft occlusion is lower if compared to those with lower hematocrit levels3. The decrease by 1% below 38% hematocrit level increases the rate of occlusion for 2%3. Our results indicate that hematocrit levels are inversely proportional to occurrence of occlusion, which corresponds to the results of other authors3. However, although statistically significant, hematocrit level may not be clinically relevant.

According to most authors number of patent crural recipient arteries significantly affects the occlusion1.10. We did not find a number of patent crural recipient arteries to be statistically significant factor, which was also found by some authors22.

Nicotine consumption is an influential factor. A number of authors emphasize that smoking is significant factor in the development of graft occlusion7, while others dispute it as a statistically significant effect3. We did not find that duration of nicotine consumption influences graft occlusion.

The results obtained in our study did not show significant impact of AA and AC therapy on the occurrence of graft occlusion, which corresponds to previous results8. The prevention of postoperative graft occlusion by AC and AA, or by combination therapy (AA and AC) is a routine measure. In prevention of polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE) graft occlusion there was a slight but not statistically significant decrease in the frequency of occlusion using AC and AA therapy if compared to AA (39.3% versus 47.2%; p = 0.62)8. Two-fold increase in risk of severe ischemia without the use of AC vitamin K antagonist (VKA) indicated that, even not statistically significant, AC VKA and AA therapy was useful in PTFE graft8. Given the increased risk of bleeding and costly treatment, PTFE graft may be considered inappropriate for FP bypass, if great saphenous vein is available8.

Some authors state that AC VKA may be useful for FP bypass with low graft flow (midgraft velocity ≤ 45 cm/s). Given the low incidence of high-flow bypass occlusion, the use of AC therapy was not significant for either popliteal or femoral bypass6. Although not statistically significant, AC therapy is justified considering the two-fold lower risk of severe limb ischaemia8. Aspirin has a slight effect on the patency of the graft, but such effect was significantly lower in venous graft when compared to artificial graft11.

Curi and associates show reduced long-term graft patency in patients with hypercoagulable states18. They are usually at young age. We have not found a significant effect of preoperative coagulation factors on graft occlusion.

The main drawback of this study were its limitation to one centre and its retrospective design. Although we used some of the useful strategies for minimizing potential subjectivity in sampling and measuring the outcomes, such as matching of cases with controls, a lot of patients were not included due to incomplete patient files, and true randomization of matched controls was not possible. These circumstances hampered our ability to analyze the impact of some potentially important factors on the occurrence of graft occlusion after FP bypass, such as body mass index, blood lipid parameters and hypolipemic therapy, primarily statins, and color duplex scan verified postoperative graft blood flow velocity.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of our study suggest that previous and concomitant cardiovascular diseases and severity of the vascular disease itself should always be taken into account together with type of the graft and type of the operative procedure when planning femoropopliteal bypass in a patient with lower extremity vascular disease. Adequate indications for surgery, preoperative assessment and preparation of patients with chronic conditions, selecting the form of bypass and type of graft and dealing with preventable risk factors significantly should reduce the rate of graft occlusions, limb amputations and disabled patients. This study may also suggest some hypotheses for future research, in which well known risk factors of graft occlusion after femoropopliteal bypass may be combined with the certain factors identified in this survey as significant predictors of the graft occlusion.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

This study was partially financed by the grant No 175007 given by the Serbian Ministry of Education and by the grant No 01-404 given by the Ministry of Science, Montenegro.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/sjecr-2021-0085 | Journal eISSN: 2956-2090 (formerly 2335-075X, 2956-0454) | Journal ISSN: 2956-0454 (formerly 1820-8665)
Language: English
Submitted on: May 27, 2021
Accepted on: May 27, 2021
Published on: Nov 5, 2025
Published by: University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Medical Sciences
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2025 Nikola Mirkovic, Srdjan Stefanovic, Snezana Sretenovic, Slobodan Jankovic, published by University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Medical Sciences
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.