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Measures of Downside Risk Under Conditions of Downturn in the Real Estate Market Cover

Measures of Downside Risk Under Conditions of Downturn in the Real Estate Market

By: Rafał Wolski  
Open Access
|Oct 2013

Abstract

Some authors suggest that the use of standard deviation as a measure of total risk for returns on real estate leads to risk overestimation, as the classical Markowitz model does not account for the skewness of financial data, thus making the results unreliable. According to the available literature, risk calculated on the basis of standard semideviation may actually better reflect the nature of property investment. However, in this context, the question of whether or not this measure will lead to risk underestimation at a time of a downturn in the real estate market, resulting in inadequate investment decisions aggravating investor losses arises. Therefore, the present paper presents portfolios constructed using either classical risk measures or measures based on “downside deviations” of rates of return. The results of investment in these portfolios are analyzed.

Language: English
Page range: 81 - 87
Published on: Oct 8, 2013
Published by: Real Estate Management and Valuation
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2013 Rafał Wolski, published by Real Estate Management and Valuation
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons License.