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18F-FDG PET/CT-based recurrence patterns and survival outcomes in esophageal carcinoma: a single center experience Cover

18F-FDG PET/CT-based recurrence patterns and survival outcomes in esophageal carcinoma: a single center experience

Open Access
|Sep 2026

Figures & Tables

TABLE 1.

Baseline demographic, clinical, and tumor characteristics of patients stratified by 18F-FDG PET/CT group classification

ParameterG1G2G3P
N103433-
Age
Med (range)
61.5 (46-76)63.5 (35-78)63.0 (32-73)0.765
Sex
Male/female
8/229/527/60.894
Histopathology type EAC/ESCC9/112/2219/140.007
CEA
Normal/elevated
8/211/238/250.005
CA19-9
Normal/elevated
5/512/228/250.280
Therapy
Th1/Th2/Th3
6/2/210/17/74/16/130.030*F

1 18F-FDG PET/CT = 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography; CA19-9 = Carbohydrate antigen 19-9; CEA = carcinoembryonic antigen; EAC = esophageal adenocarcinoma; ESCC = esophageal squamous cell carcinoma;

1* F = Fisher’s exact test; G1 = isolated locoregional disease; G2 = metastases without locoregional recurrence; G3 = locoregional disease and metastases; Th1 = surgery only; Th2 = surgery plus chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy; Th3 = chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy without prior surgery

1 P values were calculated using the Chi-square or Fisher’s exact test; age was analyzed using the Kruskal-Wallis test

FIGURE 1.

Representative imaging examples of patients from each study group (G1–G3). (A) Patient from the G1 group on 18F-FDG PET/CT demonstrating isolated locoregional esophageal recurrence. The white arrow indicates the locoregional lesion on the fused 18F-FDG PET/CT image, while the black arrow indicates the locoregional lesion on the MIP image. (B) Patient from the G2 group on 18F-FDG PET/CT demonstrating metastatic sites of esophageal recurrence without locoregional recurrence. The white arrows indicate metastatic lesions on the fused 18F-FDG PET/CT image, while the black arrows indicate metastatic lesions on the MIP image. (C) Patient from the G3 group on 18F-FDG PET/CT demonstrating metastatic sites of esophageal recurrence with locoregional recurrence. The white arrows indicate lesions on the fused 18F-FDG PET/CT images, while the black arrows indicate metastatic lesions on the MIP image.

TABLE 2.

Semiquantitative and quantitative 18F-FDG PET/CT parameters according to group classification

ParameterG1G2G3P
SUVmax5.9 (4.2-33.7)7.8 (1.9-29.3)12.7 (3.6-30.5)0.001
SUVpeak4.3 (3.1-30.1)6.1 (1.3-24.7)9.9 (3.3-23.2)0.001
SUVmean3.1 (2.2-21.5)3.9 (1.6-14.9)6.7 (2.3-20.3)<0.001
MTV8.4 (0.9-313.3)13.2 (0.5-121.0)24.4 (3.8-292.5)0.007
TLG9.7 (3.3-74.4)19.5 (0.7-1768.5)30.1 (2.9-790.5)0.042

1 18F-FDG PET/CT = 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography; G1 = isolated locoregional disease; G2 = metastases without locoregional recurrence; G3 = locoregional disease and metastases; MTV = metabolic tumor volume; SUV = standardized uptake value; TLG = total lesion glycolysis.

1 Continuous variables are expressed as median (range). Differences between groups were assessed using the Kruskal-Wallis test. Post-hoc pairwise comparisons using the Mann–Whitney U test with Holm correction showed significant differences for SUVmax between G2 and G3 (p = 0.002), for SUVpeak between G2 and G3 (p = 0.002), for SUVmean between G1 and G3 (p = 0.008) and between G2 and G3 (p < 0.001), and for MTV between G2 and G3 (p = 0.007). Although TLG differed significantly in the Kruskal–Wallis test, post-hoc pairwise comparisons did not reach statistical significance.

TABLE 3.

18F-FDG PET/CT metabolic parameters by histopathology and treatment groups

ParameterEAC med (range)ESCC med (range)PTh1 med (range)Th2 med (range)Th3 med (range)P
N4037-203522-
SUVmax10.2 (1.9-33.7)9.9 (3.6-29.3)1.00011.2 (4.2-33.7)7.6 (1.9-23.7)11.9 (4.2-30.5)0.124
SUVpeak8.3 (1.3-30.1)8.2 (2.4-24.7)0.9438.7 (3.1-30.1)6.4 (1.3-20.1)9.4 (3.6-23.2)0.089
SUVmean5.3 (1.6-21.5)5.4 (1.9-14.9)0.8745.9 (1.9-21.5)4.2 (1.6-14.5)6.5 (2.8-20.3)0.889
MTV16.8 (0.5-313.3)15.5 (1.5-118.8)0.98416.7 (0.9-118.3)14.2 (0.5-121.0)21.8 (1.5-313.3)0.417
TLG26.1 (0.7-1768.5)25. 9(5.1-900.1)0.91528.7 (3.3-900.1)21.7 (0.7-1768.5)25.4 (2.9-70.5)0.853

1 18F-FDG PET/CT = 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography; EAC = esophageal adenocarcinoma; ESCC = esophageal squamous cell carcinoma; MTV = metabolic tumor volume; SUV = standardized uptake value; TLG = total lesion glycolysis; Th1 = therapeutic group 1 (surgical resection only); Th2 = therapeutic group 2 (surgical resection plus chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy); Th3 = therapeutic group 3 (chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy without prior surgical resection).

1 Continuous variables are presented as median (range). Differences between histopathological groups (EAC and ESCC) were assessed using the Mann-Whitney U test. Differences between therapeutic groups (Th1–Th3) were assessed using the Kruskal-Wallis test.

TABLE 4.

Distribution of metastatic sites in G2 and G3 groups

Site of metastasisG2 (n=34)G3 (n=33)
Supradiaphragmatic lymph node1110
Lungs/pleura83
Abdominal solid organs66
Infradiaphragmatic lymph nodes36
Bones55
Small intenstine/large intestine12
Peritoneum-1

1 18F-FDG PET/CT = 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography; G2 = metastases without locoregional recurrence; G3 = locoregional disease and metastases

TABLE 5.

Clinical outcomes according to 18F-FDG PET/CT groups

OutcomeG1G2G3P
N103230-
Progression
Yes/No
3/727/525/50.001
Mortality
Yes/No
3/720/1220/100.112
PFS median (range)18.0 (7-105)11.0 (6-125)10.0 (6-116)0.190
OS median (range)21.0 (10-105)18.5 (6-132)15.5 (6-126)0.707

1 18F-FDG PET/CT = 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography; G1 = isolated locoregional disease; G2 = metastases without locoregional recurrence; G3 = locoregional disease and metastases; OS = overall survival; PFS = progression-free survival

1 P values were calculated using the Chi-square test for categorical variables. Continuous variables (PFS and OS) were analyzed using the Kruskal-Wallis test. Pairwise post hoc comparisons are not presented when the overall P value was not statistically significant.

FIGURE 2.

Kaplan–Meier survival curves showing progression-free survival (A-E) and overall survival (F-J) according to the median values of SUVmax, SUVpeak, SUVmean, metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) (high vs. low). The median values used as cut-offs for stratification were: SUVmax = [9.9], SUVpeak = [8.2], SUVmean = [5.4], MTV = [16.5], and TLG = [25.9].

TABLE 6.

Median progression-free and overall survival times according to low and high 18F-FDG PET/CT parameters

ParameterCut-off (median)Median PFS Low vs. high (months)Median OS Low vs. high (months)
SUVmax9.98.5 vs. 16.015.0 vs. 33.0
SUVpeak8.210.0 vs. 16.015.0 vs. 30.0
SUVmean5.49.0 vs. 16.015.0 vs. 30.0
MTV16.58.5 vs. 19.015.0 vs. 30.0
TLG25.99.5 vs. 14.022.0 vs. 30.0

1 18F-FDG PET/CT = 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography; MTV = metabolic tumor volume; OS = overall survival; PFS = progression-free survival; SUV = standardized uptake value; TLG = total lesion glycolysis

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/raon-2026-0047 | Journal eISSN: 1581-3207 | Journal ISSN: 1318-2099
Language: English
Page range: 346 - 355
Submitted on: Jun 7, 2026
Accepted on: Jul 26, 2026
Published on: Sep 7, 2026
Published by: Association of Radiology and Oncology
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2026 Milica Kotur, Strahinja Odalovic, Jelena Petrovic, Nikola Pantic, Isidora Grozdic Milojevic, Dragana Sobic Saranovic, Predrag Sabljak, Vera Artiko, published by Association of Radiology and Oncology
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.