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Breast cancer risk assessment and risk distribution in 3,491 Slovenian women invited for screening at the age of 50; a population-based cross-sectional study Cover

Breast cancer risk assessment and risk distribution in 3,491 Slovenian women invited for screening at the age of 50; a population-based cross-sectional study

Open Access
|Sep 2023

Figures & Tables

FIGURE 1.

10-year breast cancer risk distribution in Slovenian women, aged 50 years, by using S-IBIS without breast density data and with breast density data. Clopper-Pearson 95% confidence intervals are shown.
10-year breast cancer risk distribution in Slovenian women, aged 50 years, by using S-IBIS without breast density data and with breast density data. Clopper-Pearson 95% confidence intervals are shown.

Questionnaire content used for Slovenian International Breast Cancer Intervention Study (S-IBIS) evaluation tool score calculation

Factors affecting levels of endogenous hormones (menarche, menopause, first birth age).
Exogenous hormone intake (menopause hormone replacement therapy).
Anthropometric characteristics (height, weight).
Breast biopsy (done, not done, presence of atypia, atypical hyperplasia).
Family history of breast and ovarium cancer (mother, sisters, half-sisters, daughters, grandmothers, aunts, male relatives).
Ovarian cancer of the participants.

Number of screening mammographies among 3,491 women through their whole screening period (aged 50–69 years) in case of different screening scenarios

Risk categoryLifetime breast cancer risk10-year breast cancer risk

Age-based screening (current screening)17Slovenian risk-based screening18Age-based screening (current screening)17PROCAS risk-based screening27
Low risk11,8604,744
Population risk34,13034,13021,72015,204
Moderately increased risk7701,5401,1901,190
High risk1020140280
Total34,91035,69034,91021,418

10-year and lifetime breast cancer risk frequencies in the study group (risk calculated with the Slovenian International Breast Cancer Intervention Study (S-IBIS) evaluation tool, breast density information included) (N = 3,491)

Risk categoryFrequency (N)Per cent (%)
10-year breast cancer risk
  low1,18634.0
  population2,17262.2
  moderately increased1193.4
  high140.4
Lifetime breast cancer risk
  population3,41397.8
  moderately increased772.2
  high10.03

Characteristics of study participants (n = 3,491)

Frequency (N)Per cent (%)
Family history: first-degree relatives with breast/ovarian cancer (mother, father, sisters, daughters)
  positive (1 relative)3269.3
  positive (2 or more relatives)280.8
  negative2,85481.8
  unknown2838.1
Family history: second-degree relatives with breast/ovarian cancer (aunts, uncles, grandmothers, half-sisters)
  positive (1 relative)43712.5
  positive (2 or more relatives)1484.2
  negative2,55273.1
  unknown35410.1
Age (years) at menarche
  < 131,13832.6
  1394026.9
  > 131,33938.4
  unknown742.1
Age (years) at first birth
  < 251,57045.0
  25–2873621.1
  29–3465918.9
  351915.5
  nulliparous3359.6
  unknown00.0
Menopausal status
  premenopausal1,39239.9
  perimenopausal63218.1
  postmenopausal63118.1
  unknown83623.9
HRT usage
  yes2868.2
  no3,12389.5
  unknown822.3
Breast biopsy
  no biopsy3,12389.5
  biopsy (hyperplasia, atypical hyperplasia, LCIS)210.6
  biopsy (else)441.3
  biopsy (unknown result)2567.3
  unknown if biopsy done471.3
Breast density
  BI-RADS a2156.2
  BI-RADS b1,80251.6
  BI-RADS c1,41040.4
  BI-RADS d341.0
  unknown (no screening mammography)300.9
BMI
  < 19481.4
  19–251,16533.4
  > 251,33638.3
  unknown94227.0

Breast cancer risk categories for Slovenian women at the age of 50 and risk-based screening scenarios according to different protocols18,24,26

Breast cancer risk categoryLifetime risk10-year riskSlovenian risk-based screening guidelines18,25PROCAS study protocol27
Low risk (%)**< 1.3**5-year mammography screening interval
Population risk (%)< 161.3–3.92-year mammography screening interval3-year mammography screening interval
Moderately increased risk (%)16–304.0–6.51-year mammography screening interval2-year mammography screening interval
High risk (%)> 30> 6.51-year mammography screening interval1-year mammography screening interval
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/raon-2023-0039 | Journal eISSN: 1581-3207 | Journal ISSN: 1318-2099
Language: English
Page range: 337 - 347
Submitted on: Jun 1, 2023
Accepted on: Jul 6, 2023
Published on: Sep 4, 2023
Published by: Association of Radiology and Oncology
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2023 Katja Jarm, Vesna Zadnik, Mojca Birk, Milos Vrhovec, Kristijana Hertl, Zan Klanecek, Andrej Studen, Cveto Sval, Mateja Krajc, published by Association of Radiology and Oncology
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.