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![Total emission in the EU in different scenarios [MtCO2eq.]Source: CAKE/KOBiZE own study based on d-PLACE model results](https://sciendo-parsed.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/64726a02215d2f6c89dc7271/j_oszn-2019-0006_fig_003.jpg?X-Amz-Algorithm=AWS4-HMAC-SHA256&X-Amz-Content-Sha256=UNSIGNED-PAYLOAD&X-Amz-Credential=ASIA6AP2G7AKFEN37HDM%2F20260122%2Feu-central-1%2Fs3%2Faws4_request&X-Amz-Date=20260122T085033Z&X-Amz-Expires=3600&X-Amz-Security-Token=IQoJb3JpZ2luX2VjEA8aDGV1LWNlbnRyYWwtMSJIMEYCIQConXzZsMescAW7A79eZiyxDWyQefHVPKlumyMEYMLlXgIhAPGm0HBXCo3a79aEVEKQ6D0ZP4Ue5kysAqoIz13sq9CaKsYFCNn%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2FwEQAhoMOTYzMTM0Mjg5OTQwIgyC%2BQTx2C%2BOXimQUMAqmgVY7oiNflGHYe3WK4bAeQL36uRZogSmd1FAErQsFHSRmUMHtJYicVwcnFqXTv4XvGVrP4VFiLN3hZV5CsFb3dwl1mev%2FAQYQzRC37o4NWKQpsjGLtWuCGFCJWjXNoCCbCEE9QD2dSmJOUaGk7gP5biIeXVp0YAQXF1NASWArmxth7R3C817TZk7yIavYY1Vx2DDEdCylcWQXHcAEbyKES1b5eX2PMXtUVXnGWjYkWtknpWQrzz3qfZGP0dUoO%2BPq4MX5n4NRQkRBi3ZShnitDsRKD%2ByRoS3u1DkQRjBfA5HnlfxjhJzi0LRA8hTLAsviRxt9w3KsC2ULmhmzrTFnvZ93eRmxwZh74bhkV1JqLdxkPWjxGNqUFgfVPvgSYof%2BeVv17PFF%2BenbeBCDYwumEgU9BqsQoq054c%2FyTH5jtIKvZhntBa0QfXjYz7GL7WgCsF87ylX9WQcbPYJEyqkcz5EAC14WjViIX8FVmt0WVqNxkEQz4pEZsmKPVkOODEmYSFhTAXGE0FaXKhTG08df9Adp4xFyp9pDDusN5lu7daOTr3yFY7xt%2FqDQBtjFDK15AAfNlq6Ec%2F4jTKb7yC5vL4VLZUE%2FVdqCHZxmKNUV5qpy%2BUYP12AxfVkNpdJgdTyZZzi5YVY%2FmZ2RH2BS2zEAg8T%2F9jzhftq33o9E51g%2B3BMThuYi4qJLYahfay8PlpA2AYbrRNNNyilXgr9r3YBrpkxeTob%2F3MvVipPID0dtB7ZoEsJ3XplN26fLNhebp9UJf6mHQiqJmntCk1RwTQEgoAX5LfqNiXwm8oWGIXfIto7YAdKIOpEBprEETPr1aX9xo37SoAfRfS2241f9QIddejqcOX3%2B5%2Ff6rw87xTbJU%2FfmPL2mYJOIhb46TMwmaHHywY6sAEb6kteaqxzrpgoEMwFC%2BLiycAVo0%2FmGwzKRj54dJSFuY5xtYTUgLxd%2B4vAcpz0wnYlGEpx6RcxLvODN2D9Svl%2F9G7Lnc5YJjmmBdlHg6F2rbyiV9%2FRG3ShACoqGIO3ny%2FfV9cumSInGGcjogGXbnHIx1BBaRpgmk5j1YGRQsl4vzpijdqs3yyRLCdlFAgHBAnHu2MftR5%2Fuo5C8utGtvPtkHzeDp6Hs2P3sCQhWNL8hQ%3D%3D&X-Amz-Signature=8289bbf3cc6a9ab7a91af0023973d720d5f8dc447e44db3c552986d5135a3b1f&X-Amz-SignedHeaders=host&x-amz-checksum-mode=ENABLED&x-id=GetObject)
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Types of scenarios and models used for analysis
| GHG’s emission reduction target for EU-28 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scenario | Total GHG’s emission reduction in 2030 compared to 1990 | EU ETS in 2030 compared to 2005 | non-ETS in 2030 compared to 2005 | Market Stability Reserve in EU ETS |
| Type I – ‘without energy technical progress’ | ||||
| GHG40 | 40% | 43% | 30% | Not included |
| GHG40/MSR | 40% | 43% | 30% | Included |
| GHG45/MSR | 45% | 48% | 36% | Included |
| Type II – ‘with energy technical progress (ETP) | ||||
| GHG40/ETP | 40% | 43% | 30% | Not included |
| GHG40/MSR/ETP | 40% | 43% | 30% | Included |
| GHG45/MSR/ETP | 45% | 48% | 36% | Included |