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Tax Compliance among Managers: Evidence from Randomized Audits1 Cover

Tax Compliance among Managers: Evidence from Randomized Audits1

By: Thomas Lange and  Anne May Melsom  
Open Access
|May 2025

Figures & Tables

Figure A1:

GA model fitness function.
Note: Fitness is adjusted for R-squared on all variables.
GA model fitness function. Note: Fitness is adjusted for R-squared on all variables.

GA model results_

(1)(2)(3)
Ltd. company0.132*** (0.030)0.145*** (0.029)0.103*** (0.022)
Salary system0.085** (0.025)0.108*** (0.029)0.103*** (0.029)
Work training0.037+ (0.020)0.028+ (0.017)0.024 (0.017)
External accountant0.129*** (0.018)0.115*** (0.020)0.111*** (0.021)
Job advertisement0.024* (0.010)0.024** (0.009)0.019+ (0.010)
Timesheet0.003 (0.005)0.000 (0.006)0.003 (0.007)
Terms0.022*** (0.003)0.023*** (0.003)0.021*** (0.003)
Conflict employees–0.126** (0.047)–0.094* (0.041)–0.119* (0.048)
Constant0.390*** (0.078)
Observations1,8971,8721,864
R-squared0.1540.2830.313
Romano–Wolf bootstrap p-valuesOriginalRomano–Wolf
Ltd. company0.0000.000
Salary system0.0000.000
Work training0.0000.000
External accountant0.0000.000
Job advertisement0.0000.000
Timesheet0.4790.475
Terms0.0000.000
Conflict employees0.0420.050

Descriptive statistics_

Independent VariablesNorwegian (N=1,580)Foreign (N=394)tp > |t|
Female0.1610.224–2.9360.003
Age50.92644.23710.9510.000
Residence time51.51517.61253.6520.000
Conflict0.0000.378–25.4220.000
CPI score15.75049.139–52.2780.000
External accountant0.7860.873–3.8890.000
Conflict employees0.0500.202–16.3980.000
Ltd. company0.8330.843–0.4650.642
Salary system0.7000.6830.6670.505
Work training0.1090.112–0.1800.857
Job advertisement0.2160.1552.7150.007
Timesheet0.4770.531–0.8190.413
Terms10.28810.2510.2010.840
Audit employees3.9254.225–4.6070.000
Self-employed0.1630.13711.9330.000
Dependent Variable (2017)
Firm compliance0.8950.8582.0840.037
Tax deduction0.9500.9212.2200.026
Payroll accounts0.9650.967–0.1770.860
Monthly reporting0.9660.9640.1320.895
General accounts0.9970.9970.0020.998

Results from the OLS and fixed effects models_

(1)(2)(3)
Female0.029 (0.020)0.033+ (0.019)0.014 (0.021)
Age–0.002*** (0.001)–0.003*** (0.000)–0.003*** (0.000)
Foreign–0.043+ (0.024)–0.045+ (0.024)–0.050* (0.023)
<5–0.121 (0.086)–0.166 (0.101)–0.165+ (0.095)
5–10–0.025 (0.040)–0.035 (0.037)–0.039 (0.036)
Conflict–0.005 (0.030)0.053* (0.026)0.056* (0.027)
CPI score0.001 (0.001)0.000 (0.000)–0.000 (0.000)
External accountant0.096*** (0.021)0.092*** (0.022)0.092*** (0.023)
Conflict employees–0.108 (0.086)–0.125 (0.075)–0.152* (0.066)
Constant0.938*** (0.027)
Observations1,9591,9361,928
R-squared0.0290.1660.236
Romano–Wolf bootstrap p-valuesOriginalRomano–Wolf
Female0.0690.079
Age0.0010.000
Foreign0.0370.050
Residence time0.0690.069
Conflict0.2530.228
CPI score0.4900.446
External accountant0.0000.000
Conflict employees0.0420.040

Results from the OLS fixed effects models on four dependent variables_

(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)
Female0.013 (0.011)0.015 (0.010)–0.005 (0.012)0.022* (0.009)0.022+ (0.012)0.020 (0.014)–0.001 (0.010)0.001 (0.010)0.003 (0.011)0.003* (0.001)0.003+ (0.002)0.003 (0.002)
Age–0.001* (0.000)–0.001** (0.000)–0.001* (0.001)–0.001*** (0.000)–0.001** (0.000)–0.001** (0.000)–0.001+ (0.000)–0.001* (0.000)–0.001* (0.000)–0.000 (0.000)–0.000 (0.000)–0.000 (0.000)
Foreign=1–0.031 (0.026)–0.032 (0.031)–0.034 (0.028)0.018* (0.009)0.022** (0.008)0.026** (0.009)–0.015 (0.020)–0.018 (0.016)–0.025 (0.015)–0.002 (0.004)–0.003 (0.005)–0.002 (0.005)
<5–0.014 (0.066)–0.034 (0.073)–0.043 (0.068)–0.112+ (0.066)–0.127* (0.063)–0.126* (0.060)–0.003 (0.034)–0.021 (0.038)–0.017 (0.040)–0.036 (0.033)–0.028 (0.037)–0.030 (0.039)
5–10–0.027 (0.030)–0.032 (0.031)–0.036 (0.029)–0.005 (0.015)–0.015 (0.021)–0.012 (0.023)–0.019 (0.029)–0.025 (0.025)–0.025 (0.025)0.001 (0.001)–0.000 (0.002)–0.001 (0.002)
Conflict0.085** (0.027)0.103** (0.034)0.099** (0.028)–0.038+ (0.022)–0.004 (0.021)–0.003 (0.022)–0.030 (0.022)–0.022 (0.023)–0.011 (0.024)–0.004 (0.003)–0.003+ (0.002)–0.003+ (0.001)
CPI score–0.000 (0.000)–0.001 (0.000)–0.001+ (0.000)0.000 (0.000)–0.000 (0.000)–0.000 (0.000)0.001 (0.000)0.001* (0.000)0.001+ (0.000)0.000 (0.000)0.000 (0.000)0.000 (0.000)
External accountant0.018 (0.012)0.021+ (0.012)0.025+ (0.013)0.004 (0.009)0.011 (0.010)0.010 (0.010)0.083*** (0.016)0.072*** (0.016)0.070*** (0.016)0.013* (0.006)0.012* (0.006)0.013* (0.006)
Conflict employees–0.122+ (0.071)–0.128* (0.062)–0.149** (0.055)–0.002 (0.026)–0.005 (0.024)–0.005 (0.022)–0.009 (0.028)–0.014 (0.031)–0.024 (0.033)0.003 (0.002)0.004 (0.003)0.007+ (0.004)
Constant1.007*** (0.018) 1.030*** (0.016) 0.920*** (0.021) 0.990*** (0.007)
Observations1,9591,9361,9281,9591,9361,9281,9591,9361,9281,9591,9361,928
R-squared0.0130.1390.2230.0150.2110.2400.0350.1710.2030.0190.0850.095

Results from the OLS fixed effects models on CPI score and conflict_

(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)
CPI score–0.000 (0.000) 0.000(0.001)–0.000 (0.000) –0.000 (0.000)–0.001 (0.000) –0.001+ (0.000)
Conflict –0.031 (0.027)–0.047 (0.043) –0.007 (0.029)0.003(0.030) –0.026 (0.027)0.003 (0.025)
Constant0.896*** (0.012)0.890*** (0.007)0.886*** (0.014)
Observations1,9591,9741,9591,9361,9511,9361,9281,9431,928
R-squared0.0000.0010.0010.1390.1350.1390.2110.2060.211

Descriptive statistics by compliance_

Independent VariablesNoncompliant (N=222)Compliant (N=1,752)tp >|t|
Female0.1290.179–1.8180.069
Age52.05549.3303.4520.001
Foreign0.2520.1932.0840.037
Residence time46.00044.8260.9390.348
Conflict0.0950.0731.1440.252
CPI score22.97322.1140.6900.490
External accountant0.6670.821–5.4440.000
Conflict employees0.1020.0772.0350.042
Ltd. company0.5500.871–12.1520.000
Salary system0.4370.729–8.9310.000
Work training0.0360.119–3.6930.000
Job advertisement0.0950.218–4.2990.000
Timesheet0.4300.494–0.7080.479
Terms6.97710.699–17.3170.000
Audit employees3.5164.037–4.6070.000
Self-employed0.4320.12311.9330.000

The population of businesses_

Criterion
  • Total revenue in 2017 > NOK 100,000

  • If not 1, then total revenue in 2016 ≥ NOK 200,000

  • Mean active work relations per month is ≤ 20

  • Mean active employees per month is ≥ 5

  • If not 4, then registered > NOK 100,000 on subcontracts and/or foreign services in 2016

  • Private limited companies (AS) self-employed (ENK) and Norwegian foreign-registered enterprises (NUF)

  • No termination date registered

  • Sectors in public service, defense and public social security are excluded

LASSO variable selection results_

VariableTrainingValidation
Ltd. company1.103e-011.131e-011.360e-019.652e-02
Self-employed–1.215e-021.151e-01–1.750e-029.861e-02
Salary system8.072e-02 ***1.966e-021.088e-01 ***2.040e-02
Work training5.962e-10 **1.973e-10–4.186e-111.656e-10
External accountant9.407e-02 ***2.297e-021.619e-01 ***2.291e-02
Audit employees–3.997e-035.409e-034.075e-035.717e-03
Timesheet3.997e-035.409e-03–4.075e-035.717e-03
Terms2.454e-02 ***3.286e-032.394e-02 ***3.313e-03
Conflict employees–1.169e-01 **4.006e-02–8.007e-02 +4.351e-02
Constant4.448e-01 ***1.203e-013.147e-01 **1.023e-01

Results from the LASSO models on four dependent variables

(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)
Ltd. company0.099 (0.093)0.115 (0.092)0.124 (0.093)–0.025* (0.012)–0.009 (0.012)–0.000 (0.012)0.022 (0.076)0.024 (0.058)0.026 (0.061)–0.007* (0.003)–0.004 (0.003)–0.003 (0.003)
Self-employed–0.063 (0.095)–0.043 (0.095)0.005 (0.097)–0.023 (0.014)–0.011 (0.019)–0.000 (0.020)0.011 (0.079)0.011 (0.063)0.023 (0.066)–0.006 (0.004)–0.003 (0.003)–0.002 (0.005)
Salary system0.027 (0.019)0.029 (0.020)0.027 (0.020)0.063*** (0.010)0.094*** (0.015)0.094*** (0.015)0.023* (0.011)0.029+ (0.016)0.027+ (0.016)0.002 (0.003)0.002 (0.005)0.001 (0.005)
Work training0.018 (0.015)0.010 (0.012)0.006 (0.013)0.010 (0.007)–0.004 (0.006)–0.007 (0.007)0.015 (0.009)0.023** (0.008)0.022* (0.009)–0.004 (0.004)–0.004 (0.004)–0.003 (0.004)
External accountant0.042** (0.013)0.034* (0.014)0.037* (0.015)0.020** (0.007)0.026** (0.009)0.026** (0.009)0.089*** (0.019)0.079*** (0.018)0.076*** (0.018)0.014* (0.006)0.014* (0.006)0.015* (0.006)
Audit employees0.006 (0.003)0.008* (0.004)0.010* (0.005)0.006** (0.002)0.006** (0.002)0.007*** (0.002)–0.004+ (0.002)–0.004 (0.003)–0.002 (0.003)0.001 (0.001)0.001 (0.001)0.001 (0.001)
Timesheet0.002 (0.004)0.000 (0.005)0.000 (0.005)0.002 (0.002)0.000 (0.002)–0.001 (0.002)0.002 (0.003)–0.001 (0.003)0.001 (0.003)–0.000 (0.000)0.000 (0.001)0.000 (0.001)
Terms w/benefits0.015*** (0.004)0.016*** (0.003)0.014*** (0.003)0.010*** (0.003)0.008** (0.002)0.007** (0.002)0.003+ (0.002)0.004* (0.002)0.004+ (0.002)0.001 (0.001)0.001 (0.001)0.001 (0.001)
Conflict employees–0.068** (0.025)–0.059* (0.024)–0.076** (0.024)–0.053* (0.023)–0.029 (0.022)–0.027 (0.023)–0.017 (0.022)–0.010 (0.023)–0.017 (0.029)0.004* (0.002)0.004 (0.005)0.009+ (0.006)
Constant0.642*** (0.096) 0.820*** (0.033) 0.843*** (0.072) 0.977*** (0.013)
Observations1,8971,8721,8641,8971,8721,8641,8971,8721,8641,8971,8721,864
R-squared0.1620.2630.2890.1050.3370.3530.0420.1870.2200.0160.0870.098

GA variable selection results_

VariableTrainingValidation
Ltd. company1.159e-01 ***2.480e-021.541e-01 ***2.680e-02
Salary system7.969e-02 ***1.958e-021.093e-01 ***2.039e-02
Work training5.897e-10 **1.964e-10–4.568e-111.655e-10
External accountant1.059e-01 ***2.295e-021.608e-01 ***2.282e-02
Job advertisement6.206e-02 **2.289e-02–6.847e-032.250e-02
Timesheet1.710e-10 **5.556e-111.339e-10 **5.012e-11
Terms2.301e-02 ***3.226e-032.447e-02 ***3.282e-03
Conflict employees–1.115e-01 **3.992e-02–8.199e-02 +4.341e-02
Constant4.193e-01 ***4.358e-023.078e-01 ***4.094e-02

Results from the GA models on four dependent variables

(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)
Ltd. company0.160*** (0.029)0.157*** (0.026)0.123*** (0.023)–0.002 (0.010)0.003 (0.011)0.004 (0.014)0.009 (0.011)0.011 (0.010)0.004 (0.012)–0.001 (0.004)–0.001 (0.003)–0.001 (0.005)
Salary system0.027 (0.019)0.030 (0.020)0.029 (0.020)0.064*** (0.010)0.095*** (0.015)0.096*** (0.015)0.023+ (0.011)0.029+ (0.016)0.026+ (0.016)0.002 (0.003)0.002 (0.005)0.001 (0.006)
Work training0.019 (0.014)0.010 (0.012)0.008 (0.013)0.010+ (0.006)–0.003 (0.005)–0.006 (0.006)0.012 (0.010)0.021* (0.009)0.019* (0.009)–0.004 (0.004)–0.004 (0.004)–0.004 (0.004)
External accountant0.041** (0.013)0.033* (0.013)0.034* (0.014)0.019** (0.007)0.025** (0.009)0.024* (0.009)0.091*** (0.018)0.080*** (0.018)0.078*** (0.018)0.014* (0.006)0.014* (0.006)0.015* (0.006)
Job advertisement0.012* (0.006)0.014* (0.006)0.003 (0.005)0.009+ (0.005)0.009 (0.005)0.007 (0.005)0.007 (0.008)0.003 (0.007)0.012 (0.008)0.004+ (0.002)0.006* (0.002)0.006* (0.003)
Timesheet0.003 (0.005)0.002 (0.006)0.002 (0.006)0.003+ (0.002)0.002 (0.002)0.001 (0.002)0.001 (0.003)–0.002 (0.003)0.001 (0.003)–0.000 (0.000)0.001 (0.001)0.000 (0.001)
Terms0.016*** (0.003)0.016*** (0.004)0.015*** (0.003)0.010*** (0.003)0.009*** (0.002)0.008*** (0.002)0.002 (0.001)0.003* (0.002)0.003 (0.002)0.001 (0.001)0.001 (0.001)0.001 (0.001)
Conflict employees–0.066* (0.026)–0.056* (0.025)–0.074** (0.025)–0.051* (0.023)–0.026 (0.022)–0.025 (0.023)–0.018 (0.022)–0.011 (0.023)–0.017 (0.029)0.004* (0.002)0.005 (0.005)0.010+ (0.006)
Constant0.594*** (0.076) 0.812*** (0.030) 0.843*** (0.025) 0.974*** (0.014)
Observations1,8971,8721,8641,8971,8721,8641,8971,8721,8641,8971,8721,864
R-squared0.1610.2610.2860.1030.3350.3500.0410.1870.2200.0160.0880.099

Model performance comparison_

ModelMSEAdjusted R2
GA OLS0.07480.1501
GA auditor0.07050.2833
GA auditor NACE0.06990.2146
LASSSO OLS0.07490.1490
LASSO auditor0.07060.2041
LASSO auditor NACE0.06980.2157

Represented sectors by NACE codes_

NACEDescription
H49.3.9Other passenger land transport n.e.c.
BMining and quarrying
G47Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles
D35.3Steam and air conditioning supply
A3Fishing and aquaculture
NAdministrative and support service activities, excl. N81.2 - Cleaning activities
S96.0.2Hairdressing and other beauty treatment
S96.0.4Physical well-being activities
QHuman health and social work activities
CManufacturing
JInformation and communication
A1Crop and animal production, hunting, and related service activities
RArts, entertainment, and recreation
H49General land transport (mainly freight)
F43.341Paints, coatings (other finishing without carpentry)
F41Construction of buildings
F42Civil engineering
I55Accommodation
M69.2Accounting, bookkeeping, and auditing activities; tax consultancy
N81.2Cleaning activities
I56Food and beverage service activities
F43.3.2Joinery installation
HTransport and storage excluding land transport
EWater supply; sewerage; waste management and remediation activities
G45.2Maintenance and repair of motor vehicles
Missing NACE code

LASSO model results_

(1)(2)(3)
Ltd. company0.108 (0.113)0.131 (0.104)0.145 (0.103)
Self-employed–0.026 (0.118)–0.014 (0.108)0.050 (0.107)
Salary system0.085** (0.025)0.107*** (0.029)0.102*** (0.029)
Work training0.039+ (0.020)0.030+ (0.016)0.024 (0.017)
External accountant0.128*** (0.019)0.115*** (0.021)0.113*** (0.023)
Audit employees0.003 (0.004)0.005 (0.004)0.010* (0.004)
Timesheet0.003 (0.005)–0.001 (0.006)0.001 (0.006)
Terms0.022*** (0.004)0.022*** (0.003)0.020*** (0.003)
Conflict employees–0.127** (0.046)–0.096* (0.040)–0.124* (0.047)
Constant0.408*** (0.112)
Observations1,8971,8721,864
R-squared0.1530.2830.314
Romano–Wolf bootstrap p-valuesOriginalRomano–Wolf
Ltd. company0.0000.000
Self-employed0.0000.000
Salary system0.0000.000
Work training0.0000.000
External accountant0.0000.000
Audit employees0.0000.000
Timesheet0.4790.495
Terms0.0000.000
Conflict employees0.0420.040

Fixed effects results from OLS, GA, and LASSO model runs_

(1)(2)(3)
Female0.014 (0.021)
Age–0.003*** (0.000)
Foreign–0.050* (0.023)
<5–0.165+ (0.095)
5–10–0.039 (0.036)
Conflict0.056* (0.027)
CPI score–0.000 (0.000)
External accountant0.092*** (0.023)0.111*** (0.021)0.113*** (0.023)
Conflict employees–0.152* (0.066)–0.119* (0.048)–0.124* (0.047)
Ltd. company 0.103***0.145
Salary system (0.022) 0.103***(0.103) 0.102***
Work training (0.029) 0.024(0.029) 0.024
Job advertisement (0.017) 0.019+ (0.010)(0.017)
Self-employed 0.050 (0.107)
Audit employees 0.010* (0.004)
Timesheet 0.0030.001
Terms (0.007) 0.021***(0.006) 0.020***
Observations1,928(0.003) 1,864(0.003) 1,864
R-squared0.2360.3130.314

CPI score sample statistics_

CountryMinMaxMeanMedianSTDN
Afghanistan82716166.66217
Algeria233629294.85120
Armenia254335354.05416
Australia778982823.53025
Austria699781769.73025
Belarus204832328.50521
Bosnia and Herzegovina254232326.32720
Bulgaria294337414.75417
Canada739282815.17125
Chile507965677.96319
China225338396.08522
Colombia224036373.76123
Croatia275246496.04022
Czech Republic1859414812.77522
Denmark8710093933.51025
Egypt263731323.03319
El Salvador223932355.96418
Eritrea183023233.49120
Estonia578071736.04122
Ethiopia173727286.44620
Finland8510092914.32825
France517266695.98724
Germany789084824.23125
Ghana274836347.03422
Greece265438388.01925
Hong Kong708778773.93325
Hungary355544446.46825
Iceland769382825.04722
India264734354.92424
Iran253628282.67817
Iraq162219181.88617
Ireland698675754.26025
Italy305745455.95125
Kazakhstan203425253.67921
Korea, South345946477.59125
Kosovo323934341.98720
Latvia2771576011.41122
Lebanon213026272.97120
Libya142820203.77420
Lithuania386051536.69421
Montenegro415347483.83820
Morocco334337372.64122
Netherlands829286872.96025
New Zealand879693942.63325
Nigeria72820246.16823
Norway849489893.33125
Pakistan103326275.08719
Philippines233832344.16518
Poland426557606.18616
Romania306347478.98620
Russia162924243.92921
Saudi Arabia395548493.88920
Serbia244233376.66018
Slovakia355145464.66622
Spain437661617.01225
Sri Lanka254033376.05415
Sweden849591923.17125
Switzerland799187862.21025
Syria133422247.21517
Thailand193828306.80125
Turkey295037366.51722
Ukraine223227262.44918
United Kingdom748883854.40325
United States of America637872733.60725
Vietnam253732333.24722

Conflict frequency_

CountryFreq.%Cum.
Turkey2114.0914.09
Pakistan1711.4125.50
Iraq128.0533.56
China106.7140.27
Serbia106.7146.98
India96.0453.02
Iran85.3758.39
Sri Lanka85.3763.76
Vietnam85.3769.13
Thailand74.7073.83
US44.7078.52
Ethiopia32.6881.21
Afghanistan32.0183.22
Lebanon32.0185.23
Macedonia32.0187.25
UK32.0189.26
Eritrea21.3490.60
Morocco21.3491.95
Russia21.3493.29
Algeria10.6793.96
Australia10.6794.63
Columbia10.6795.30
Egypt10.6795.97
El Salvador10.6796.64
Philippines10.6797.32
Libya10.6797.99
Niger10.6798.66
Syria10.6799.33
Ukraine10.67100.00
Language: English
Page range: 1 - 29
Submitted on: Oct 24, 2022
Accepted on: Apr 11, 2024
Published on: May 20, 2025
Published by: DJØF Publishing, Nordic Tax Research Council
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

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