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Macroeconomic Factors and Capital Markets. Selected Experiences in Central and Eastern Europe Cover

Macroeconomic Factors and Capital Markets. Selected Experiences in Central and Eastern Europe

Open Access
|Jun 2020

Abstract

The relationship between capital markets and macroeconomic variables is well documented in developed financial markets, but still developing in emerging financial markets. This paper looks at young financial markets from Central and Eastern Europe, focusing on two markets in the region: Romania and Hungary. Capital markets in these countries are analyzed from the perspective of two of their components: stock exchange markets and mutual funds markets and the effects of five macroeconomic variables (population, GDP/capita, inflation, unemployment, and savings) on the two components assessed. From a methodological point of view, the multiple regression analysis is employed for the period 2003-2019. The analysis is conducted in a comparative manner from two viewpoints: comparing stock exchanges with mutual funds markets and the role played by the macro-level determinants in the development of each and comparing the two national financial markets with one another. The study concludes that macroeconomic factors influence more the development of the stock exchanges than the development of mutual funds and that in the analyzed period, in Romania the impact of the macroeconomic factors on capital markets was stronger than in Hungary.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/mdke-2020-0011 | Journal eISSN: 2392-8042 | Journal ISSN: 2286-2668
Language: English
Page range: 159 - 173
Submitted on: Mar 20, 2020
Accepted on: May 15, 2020
Published on: Jun 29, 2020
Published by: Scoala Nationala de Studii Politice si Administrative
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2020 Luminița Nicolescu, published by Scoala Nationala de Studii Politice si Administrative
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.