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Nowcasting Austrian Short Term Statistics Cover
Open Access
|Jun 2018

Abstract

Early estimates for Austrian short term indices were produced using multivariate time-series models. The article presents a simulation study with different models (vector error correction models, vector autoregressive models in levels – both with unadjusted and seasonally adjusted time-series) used for estimating total turnover, production, etc. In a preliminary step, before time-series were provided for nowcasting, the data had to undergo an editing process. In this case a time-series approach was selected for data-editing as well, because of the very specific structure of Austrian enterprises. For this task basically the seasonal adjustment program X13Arima-Seats was used for identifying and replacing outlying observations, imputation of missing values and generating univariate forecasts for every single time series.

Language: English
Page range: 503 - 522
Submitted on: Nov 1, 2016
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Accepted on: Jan 1, 2018
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Published on: Jun 7, 2018
Published by: Sciendo
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2018 Markus Fröhlich, published by Sciendo
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.