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A Risk Metric Assessment of Scenario-Based Market Risk Measures for Volatility and Risk Estimation: Evidence from Emerging Markets Cover

A Risk Metric Assessment of Scenario-Based Market Risk Measures for Volatility and Risk Estimation: Evidence from Emerging Markets

Open Access
|Mar 2015

Abstract

The study evaluated the sensitivity of the Value- at- Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfalls (ES) with respect to portfolio allocation in emerging markets with an index portfolio of a developed market. This study utilised different models for VaR and ES techniques using various scenario-based models such as Covariance Methods, Historical Simulation and the GARCH (1, 1) for the predictive ability of these models in both relatively stable market conditions and extreme market conditions. The results showed that Expected Shortfall has less risk tolerance than VaR based on the same scenario-based market risk measures

Language: English
Page range: 21 - 32
Published on: Mar 13, 2015
Published by: University of Sarajevo
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 issues per year

© 2015 Innocent Sitima, Clifford K. Hlatywayo, published by University of Sarajevo
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.