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Monetary Policy after the Great Moderation Cover
By: Guillermo Peña  
Open Access
|Sep 2020

Abstract

The interferences among some financial, economic and monetary variables are checked as an indicator of economic performance in the long run and for the monetary policy applied between the Great Moderation (GM) of 1987-2001 and the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2009. For achieving this target, some Granger causality tests are applied to GDP growth, credit growth, and lending interest of 36 countries of the EU and the OECD for the full sample of 1987-2012 and the sub-sample of 2002-2007. Results corroborate the interferences among these variables for the discretionary monetary policy applied immediately after the GM, within the “Ad Hoc Era” or “lax period”, and independence when monetary policy was correctly applied and rules-based.

Language: English
Page range: 5 - 26
Submitted on: Apr 28, 2019
Accepted on: Aug 14, 2019
Published on: Sep 18, 2020
Published by: Central Bank of Montenegro
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 3 issues per year

© 2020 Guillermo Peña, published by Central Bank of Montenegro
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.