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Are Capital Ratios Procyclical? Evidence from Turkish Banking Data Cover

Are Capital Ratios Procyclical? Evidence from Turkish Banking Data

Open Access
|Sep 2018

Abstract

This paper contributes to the literature by providing recent empirical evidence about the positioning of the capital adequacy ratios (Basel II capital adequacy ratio and leverage ratio as proposed by Basel III) of Turkish banks and the business cycle. As in many emerging countries, the Turkish real sector is highly dependent on the banking loans for financing, and consequently, the macroeconomic system is vulnerable to the supply of bank loans. The results reveal that the Basel II capital adequacy ratio of Turkish banks is procyclical at a statistical significance in normal and crisis times. The results of cyclicality tests of the leverage ratio are mixed: if nominal GDP growth is taken as a business cycle indicator, it is procyclical; however, the credit-to-GDP gap signals countercyclical leverage ratios in normal times. In crisis times, the leverage ratio of the Turkish banking system is determined to be countercyclical.

Language: English
Page range: 159 - 180
Submitted on: Jul 15, 2017
Accepted on: Oct 6, 2017
Published on: Sep 10, 2018
Published by: Central Bank of Montenegro
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 3 issues per year

© 2018 Turguttopbas Neslihan Topbaş, published by Central Bank of Montenegro
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.