Table 1
Selected summary statistics by treatment status
| Mean | t-test | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treated | Controls | Diff. | p>|t| | |
| Female | 0.389 | 0.296 | 0.093*** | 0.00 |
| Age (in years) | 18.147 | 18.595 | −0.448*** | 0.00 |
| At least compulsory school | 0.582 | 0.513 | 0.069*** | 0.00 |
| Austrian citizenship | 0.275 | 0.194 | 0.081*** | 0.00 |
| Eligible for asylum (convention refugee) | 0.468 | 0.416 | 0.052** | 0.03 |
| Eligible for subsidiary protection | 0.142 | 0.299 | −0.156*** | 0.00 |
| Social assistance full receipt | 0.478 | 0.356 | 0.122*** | 0.00 |
| Social assistance partial receipt | 0.434 | 0.332 | 0.102*** | 0.00 |
| Previous unemployment duration (days) | 519.010 | 455.550 | 63.460*** | 0.00 |
Table 2
Ø Effects of intensified counseling on meetings, job offers, and benefit sanctions in the year after entry into case management
| Treated | Controls | Difference | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Case management | No case management | ATT | ||
| Share in % / Percentage point change | Absolute (SE) | Relative | ||
| Meeting | ||||
| Share with meeting (%) | 85.0 | 80.7 | 4.3(2.5)* | 5.3 |
| Number of meetings | 6.0 | 3.9 | 2.1(0.3)*** | 53.6 |
| Meeting interval | 19.1 | 31.6 | −12.6(1.7)*** | −39.7 |
| Job offers | ||||
| Share with job offer (%) | 54.3 | 43.7 | 10.6(3.4)*** | 24.2 |
| Number of job offers | 4.1 | 2.5 | 1.6(0.3)*** | 63.9 |
| Benefit sanctions | ||||
| Share with sanction (%) | 6.9 | 4.8 | 2.0(1.5)* | 42.2 |
| Job or ALMP refusal | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.6(1.1) | 28.8 |
| Missed Appointment | 6.1 | 4.1 | 2.1(1.4)* | 50.3 |
Source: AUR, ASSD. – ALMP: active labor market policy. ATT: average treatment effect on the treated. Relative: difference in outcomes between treated and controls as percentage of the controls’ outcomes. SE: heteroskedasticity-consistent analytical standard errors as proposed by Abadie & Imbens (2006) in parentheses.
Table 3
Ø Effects of intensified counseling on entries into ALMP measures in the year after entry into the case management
| Treated | Controls | Difference | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Case management | No case management | ATT | ||
| Share in % / Percentage point change | Absolute | Relative | ||
| Total | 85.1 | 84.4 | 0.7(2.7) | 0.9 |
| Employment measures | 9.3 | 6.8 | 2.4(1.7)* | 35.6 |
| Direct job creation in SEEs | 5.1 | 3.3 | 1.8(1.3)* | 52.8 |
| Direct job creation in NEPs | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.7(1.1) | 56.1 |
| Non-profit personnel leasing | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.1(1.0) | 5.9 |
| Qualification measures | 81.6 | 78.8 | 2.8(3.1) | 3.5 |
| Vocational orientation | 28.4 | 26.0 | 2.5(3.2) | 9.5 |
| Basic training | 46.3 | 35.6 | 10.7(3.1)*** | 30.0 |
| Training and further education | 6.9 | 5.8 | 1.1(1.9) | 18.7 |
| PES subsidies to apprenticeships | 7.0 | 4.3 | 2.7(1.6)* | 63.5 |
| Supra-company apprenticeship training | 13.5 | 15.4 | −1.9(2.6) | −12.3 |
| EAPQ | 6.9 | 7.9 | −1.0(1.8) | −12.4 |
| External counseling | 40.3 | 42.4 | −2.1(3.6) | −5.0 |
Source: AUR, ASSD. – SEEs: socio-economic enterprises. NEPs: non-profit employment projects. EAPQ: extended apprenticeship or partial qualification. ATT: average treatment effect on the treated. Relative: difference in outcomes between treated and controls as percentage of the controls’ outcomes. Heteroskedasticity-consistent analytical standard errors as proposed by Abadie & Imbens (2006) in parentheses.
Table 4
Ø Effects of intensified counseling on the sum of days in different labor market positions in the three years after entry into case management
| Treated | Controls | Difference | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Case management | No case management | ATT | ||
| Absolute | Relative | |||
| In days | In days | in % | ||
| Employed | 422 | 426 | −4(25) | −0.9 |
| Apprenticeship | 237 | 230 | 7(27) | 3.0 |
| Unsubsidized | 37 | 42 | −5(12) | −12.7 |
| Subsidized in companies | 42 | 26 | 16(9)* | 60.3 |
| Supra-company apprenticeship training | 96 | 103 | −7(18) | −7.2 |
| EAPQ | 63 | 59 | 4(18) | 6.7 |
| Other active dependent employment | 157 | 178 | −21(18)* | −11.7 |
| 1st labor market | 137 | 165 | −28(17)* | −17.0 |
| Workers | 90 | 120 | −29(15)* | −24.6 |
| Employees | 39 | 37 | 1(9) | 4.0 |
| 2nd labor market (SEEs/NEPs) | 20 | 13 | 7(4)* | 53.9 |
| Registered unemployed | 171 | 190 | −19(16)* | −10.1 |
| PES Training | 245 | 205 | 39(13)** | 19.1 |
| Apprenticeship search | 100 | 113 | −13(11)* | −11.5 |
| Economically inactive | 138 | 141 | −4(15) | −2.5 |
Source: AUR, ASSD. – Active dependent employment excludes, on the one hand, military and civilian service and, on the other hand, temporary absence from employment for reasons such as childcare, care and education. Temporary absences, self-employment and periods of other unemployment are not shown because of their rarity. 1st labor market includes employment in the regular labor market supported by integration subsidies and wage top-up granted by the PES. However, these subsidies play a marginal role in the target group. SEEs: socio-economic enterprises. NEPs: non-profit employment projects. ATT: average treatment effect on the treated. Relative: difference in outcomes between treated and controls as percentage of the controls’ outcomes. Heteroskedasticity-consistent analytical standard errors as proposed by Abadie & Imbens (2006) in parentheses.
Table 5
Ø Effects of intensified counseling on the labor market position after 3 years
| Treated | Controls | Difference | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Case management | No case management | ATT | ||
| Share in % / percentage point change | Absolute | Relative | ||
| Employed | 49.1 | 48.5 | 0.7(3.4) | 1.4 |
| Apprenticeship | 21.3 | 17.0 | 4.3(2.4)* | 25.2 |
| Unsubsidized | 5.8 | 4.9 | 0.9(1.4) | 17.6 |
| Subsidized in companies | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.4(0.9)* | 61.3 |
| Supra-company apprenticeship training | 7.2 | 6.9 | 0.4(1.9) | 5.2 |
| EAPQ | 4.6 | 3.0 | 1.7(1.1)* | 56.8 |
| Other active dependent employment | 23.4 | 28.5 | −5.1(2.9)* | −18.0 |
| 1st labor market | 21.8 | 26.9 | −5.1(2.9)* | −18.9 |
| Workers | 13.9 | 17.1 | −3.2(2.5)* | −18.8 |
| Employees | 6.1 | 6.9 | −0.7(1.8) | −10.5 |
| 2nd labor market (SEEs/NEPs) | 1.6 | 1.7 | −0.1(0.8) | −3.2 |
| Registered unemployed | 14.2 | 16.9 | −2.7(2.9) | −15.9 |
| PES training | 14.2 | 11.7 | 2.5(2.2)* | 21.7 |
| Apprenticeship search | 3.8 | 4.8 | −1.0(1.7) | −20.9 |
| Economically inactive | 16.7 | 15.9 | 0.8(2.6) | 5.3 |
Source: AUR, ASSD. – ATT: average treatment effect on the treated. Relative: difference in outcomes between treated and controls as percentage of the controls’ outcomes. Heteroskedasticity-consistent analytical standard errors as proposed by Abadie & Imbens (2006) in parentheses.
Table 6
Ø Effects of intensified counseling on unemployment duration, benefit receipt duration, benefit receipt after 3 years and average post-unemployment monthly earnings
| Treated | Controls | Difference | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Case management | No case management | ATT | ||
| Absolute | Relative | |||
| In days | ||||
| Remaining unemployment duration | 530 | 515 | 15(32) | 2.9 |
| Unemployment insurance benefit duration | ||||
| Unemployment benefit | 48 | 42 | 5(6) | 12.9 |
| Unemployment assistance | 68 | 65 | 2(12) | 3.3 |
| Other unemployment insurance benefits | 200 | 175 | 25(12)** | 14.4 |
| Subsistence allowance scheme | 162 | 137 | 25(11)** | 18.5 |
| Travel expenses | 37 | 38 | −1(5) | −1.4 |
| Share in % / Percentage point change | ||||
| Benefit receipt after 3 years | ||||
| Unemployment insurance benefits | ||||
| Unemployment benefit | 8.6 | 8.7 | −0.1(2.6) | −0.8 |
| Unemployment assistance | 7.2 | 7.7 | −0.4(2.3) | −5.7 |
| Other unemployment insurance benefits | 8.3 | 9.4 | −1.1(2.0) | −11.5 |
| None | 75.9 | 74.3 | 1.6(3.2) | 2.1 |
| Social assistance | 27.3 | 27.4 | −0.1(3.4) | −0.4 |
| In € | ||||
| Average monthly wage | ||||
| 2 years after pilot entry | 1,041 | 1,064 | −23(33) | −2.1 |
| Calendar years 2019 and 2020 | 1,047 | 1,069 | −22(26) | −2.1 |
Source: AUR, ASSD. – Social assistance receipt according to AMS. Remaining unemployment duration and unemployment insurance benefit duration censored at three years. ATT: average treatment effect on the treated. Relative: difference in outcomes between treated and controls as percentage of the controls’ outcomes. Heteroskedasticity-consistent analytical standard errors as proposed by Abadie & Imbens (2006) in parentheses.
Table 7
Robustness of effects to sample and method variation
Ø Effects of intensified counseling on the labor market position after 3 years, ATT, in percentage points
| Matching | OLS | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (0) | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | No corr. | Corr. | |
| Employed | 0.7(3.4) | 0.1(3.3) | 0.7(3.3) | −0.3(3.6) | −2.2(4.4) | −0.5(3.8) | 0.3(4.3) | 0.3(5.2) | −5.1(2.4)** | −1.3(2.7) |
| Dep. emp. | 1.7(3.5) | 0.7(3.3) | 1.7(3.4) | 0.7(3.6) | −1.9(4.5) | 1.5(4.0) | 1.4(4.1) | 0.3(5.2) | −5.3(2.4)** | −1.2(2.7) |
| Active dep. emp. | −0.8(3.5) | −0.9(3.3) | −1.0(3.4) | −2.0(3.6) | −5.2(4.5)* | −0.9(3.9) | −0.8(4.1) | −1.1(5.2) | −6.9(2.4)*** | −2.4(2.7) |
| Reg. unemp. | −2.7(2.9) | −3.2(3.0)* | −3.1(2.8)* | −3.1(3.1)* | −0.5(3.0) | −3.2(3.3) | −5.3(3.8)* | 1.6(2.8) | 0.7(1.7) | −2.1(1.8)** |
| PES training | 2.5(2.2)* | 2.8(2.1)* | 3.2(2.0)* | 2.8(2.2)* | 0.7(3.0) | 3.0(2.2)* | 2.6(2.5)* | −0.8(3.8) | 0.9(1.6) | 1.4(1.9) |
| Apprent. search | −1.0(1.7) | −1.0(1.4) | −0.8(1.7) | −0.5(1.6) | −1.3(2.1) | −0.6(1.5) | 0.0(1.7) | −1.6(2.1) | 0.3(0.9) | −0.3(1.0) |
| Other unemp. status | −0.5(1.0) | −1.1(1.1) | −0.5(1.0) | −0.4(1.0) | 0.4(0.9) | −0.4(0.8) | −0.8(1.3) | 0.0(0.9) | −0.1(0.6) | −0.3(0.7) |
| Econ. inactive | 0.8(2.6) | 2.5(2.8) | 0.6(2.7) | 1.7(2.5) | 2.8(3.1) | 1.6(2.6) | 3.5(3.1)* | 0.5(3.1) | 3.3(1.7)** | 2.8(2) |
Source: AUR, ASSD. – ATT: average treatment effect on the treated. Matching: 4-to-1 Propensity score matching within caliper of 0.1, combined with exact covariate matching on residence status, social assistance receipt and last economic activity. OLS: ordinary least squares. No corr.: without control variables. Corr.: with control variables from matching. (0): chosen sample. (1): Not excluding persons who did not meet the target group criteria at the end of the month. (2): Not excluding persons who were over 21 years old at the end of the month. (3): Excluding controls for previous unemployment duration (distinguishing between different unemployment statuses). (4): considering only the experiment participants with access in November 2018 and not the experiment accesses in the following months (December 2018 to March 2019), (5): restricting the population to all persons receiving social assistance in the reference month according to both the PES and the social welfare office Vienna. (6): only persons with at least one PES contact in the first half of the year. (7): only persons who were (co-)insured in Austria for a maximum of five years and active on the labor market for a maximum of three years. Standard errors in parentheses, in case of matching heteroskedasticity-consistent analytical standard errors as proposed by Abadie and Imbens (2006).
Table 8
Covariate balance before and after matching
| Before matching | After matching | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | t-test | Mean | t-test | |||||
| Treated | Controls | Diff. | p > |t| | Treated | Controls | Diff. | p > |t| | |
| Female | 0.389 | 0.296 | 0.093*** | 0.00 | 0.383 | 0.387 | −0.005 | 0.84 |
| Age (in years) | 18.147 | 18.595 | −0.448*** | 0.00 | 18.131 | 18.178 | −0.047 | 0.47 |
| At least compulsory school | 0.582 | 0.513 | 0.069*** | 0.00 | 0.574 | 0.604 | −0.029 | 0.20 |
| Health-related placement restriction1 | 0.042 | 0.010 | 0.032*** | 0.00 | 0.032 | 0.024 | 0.008 | 0.28 |
| Nationality | ||||||||
| Austria | 0.275 | 0.194 | 0.081*** | 0.00 | 0.267 | 0.280 | −0.013 | 0.54 |
| Turkey, former Yugoslavia | 0.064 | 0.049 | 0.015 | 0.16 | 0.066 | 0.057 | 0.008 | 0.45 |
| Naturalized | 0.093 | 0.068 | 0.025* | 0.06 | 0.095 | 0.105 | −0.010 | 0.47 |
| Asylum status | ||||||||
| Eligible for asylum (convention refugee) | 0.468 | 0.416 | 0.052** | 0.03 | 0.470 | 0.470 | 0.000 | 1.00 |
| Subsidiary protection | 0.142 | 0.299 | −0.156*** | 0.00 | 0.147 | 0.147 | 0.000 | 1.00 |
| German language level A | 0.231 | 0.294 | −0.062*** | 0.00 | 0.242 | 0.219 | 0.023 | 0.24 |
| German language level B | 0.533 | 0.490 | 0.043* | 0.07 | 0.531 | 0.551 | −0.020 | 0.39 |
| Status at end of previous month | ||||||||
| Registered unemployed | 0.170 | 0.229 | −0.059*** | 0.00 | 0.167 | 0.165 | 0.002 | 0.92 |
| Looking for an apprenticeship | 0.197 | 0.193 | 0.003 | 0.85 | 0.202 | 0.199 | 0.003 | 0.89 |
| In PES training | 0.483 | 0.456 | 0.027 | 0.24 | 0.485 | 0.477 | 0.008 | 0.73 |
| In employment | 0.143 | 0.086 | 0.057*** | 0.00 | 0.131 | 0.135 | −0.003 | 0.84 |
| Out of the labor force | 0.063 | 0.149 | −0.085*** | 0.00 | 0.061 | 0.051 | 0.010 | 0.34 |
| In basic qualification | 0.280 | 0.331 | −0.050** | 0.02 | 0.293 | 0.283 | 0.010 | 0.65 |
| In vocational orientation | 0.068 | 0.048 | 0.020* | 0.08 | 0.069 | 0.071 | −0.002 | 0.84 |
| In external counseling | 0.221 | 0.201 | 0.020 | 0.31 | 0.225 | 0.252 | −0.027 | 0.18 |
| Social assistance full receipt2 | 0.478 | 0.356 | 0.122*** | 0.00 | 0.475 | 0.472 | 0.003 | 0.90 |
| Social assistance partial receipt2 | 0.434 | 0.332 | 0.102*** | 0.00 | 0.432 | 0.434 | −0.002 | 0.94 |
| Unemployment assistance receipt | 0.055 | 0.043 | 0.012 | 0.24 | 0.047 | 0.034 | 0.014 | 0.13 |
| Previous unemployment duration (days) | 519.010 | 455.550 | 63.460*** | 0.00 | 508.550 | 510.210 | −1.660 | 0.92 |
| Days in registered unemployment | 63.205 | 74.537 | −11.332** | 0.02 | 63.004 | 64.348 | −1.344 | 0.77 |
| Days in PES training | 282.860 | 267.020 | 15.840 | 0.19 | 279.210 | 280.190 | −0.980 | 0.93 |
| Days looking for an apprenticeship | 116.710 | 72.450 | 44.260*** | 0.00 | 111.630 | 110.330 | 1.300 | 0.80 |
| No previous dependent employment | 0.729 | 0.722 | 0.007 | 0.74 | 0.747 | 0.759 | −0.012 | 0.54 |
| Last income >1,000 € | 0.058 | 0.109 | −0.051*** | 0.00 | 0.061 | 0.057 | 0.005 | 0.66 |
| Employment history: days in last 5 years3 | ||||||||
| Active unsubsidized dep. employment | 21.858 | 24.516 | −2.658 | 0.60 | 21.268 | 18.799 | 2.469 | 0.58 |
| Apprenticeship | ||||||||
| Active subsidized dep. employment 1st lm | 2.765 | 2.899 | −0.135 | 0.91 | 2.566 | 3.634 | −1.068 | 0.35 |
| Active subsidized dep. employment 2nd lm | 73.487 | 48.354 | 25.133*** | 0.00 | 66.018 | 69.442 | −3.424 | 0.68 |
| Temporary absence | 3.398 | 3.477 | −0.079 | 0.97 | 3.282 | 4.205 | −0.922 | 0.65 |
| Self-employment | 1.116 | 0.429 | 0.686 | 0.38 | 1.040 | 0.228 | 0.812 | 0.26 |
| Registered unemployment | 79.867 | 82.482 | −2.615 | 0.64 | 79.366 | 84.708 | −5.342 | 0.36 |
| PES training | 271.240 | 250.450 | 20.790* | 0.05 | 270.990 | 267.210 | 3.780 | 0.72 |
| Apprenticeship search | 172.750 | 98.060 | 74.690*** | 0.00 | 164.100 | 156.340 | 7.760 | 0.22 |
| Other unemployment status | 19.657 | 13.224 | 6.433*** | 0.00 | 19.673 | 21.651 | −1.978 | 0.39 |
| Employment history: days in last 2 years3 | ||||||||
| Active unsubsidized dep. employment | 12.942 | 13.596 | −0.654 | 0.82 | 12.400 | 9.717 | 2.683 | 0.28 |
| Active subsidized dep. employment 2nd lm | 52.850 | 36.675 | 16.175*** | 0.01 | 49.288 | 52.080 | −2.792 | 0.66 |
| Employment history: days in last year3 | ||||||||
| Active unsubsidized dep. employment | 5.743 | 7.148 | −1.404 | 0.31 | 5.529 | 5.185 | 0.345 | 0.77 |
| Apprenticeship | 1.840 | 1.606 | 0.235 | 0.77 | 1.936 | 1.798 | 0.139 | 0.86 |
| Active subsidized dep. employment 2nd lm | 35.341 | 23.806 | 11.535*** | 0.00 | 32.820 | 35.113 | −2.293 | 0.59 |
| Registered unemployment | 65.062 | 71.601 | −6.539 | 0.17 | 64.420 | 70.614 | −6.194 | 0.21 |
| PES training | 223.310 | 221.630 | 1.680 | 0.85 | 226.590 | 223.230 | 3.360 | 0.70 |
| Apprenticeship search | 118.000 | 67.393 | 50.607*** | 0.00 | 113.360 | 108.800 | 4.560 | 0.33 |
| 1 year ago employed | 0.105 | 0.090 | 0.015 | 0.27 | 0.097 | 0.101 | −0.004 | 0.75 |
| 1 year ago unemployed | 0.603 | 0.543 | 0.060** | 0.01 | 0.602 | 0.595 | 0.007 | 0.75 |
| 6 months ago employed | 0.118 | 0.098 | 0.019 | 0.19 | 0.110 | 0.110 | 0.000 | 0.99 |
| 6 months ago unemployed | 0.680 | 0.603 | 0.077*** | 0.00 | 0.682 | 0.689 | −0.007 | 0.76 |
| 3 months ago employed | 0.107 | 0.065 | 0.043*** | 0.00 | 0.099 | 0.113 | −0.014 | 0.33 |
| 3 months ago unemployed | 0.766 | 0.727 | 0.039* | 0.06 | 0.775 | 0.774 | 0.001 | 0.96 |
| 1 year ago social assistance full receipt | 0.303 | 0.236 | 0.067*** | 0.00 | 0.307 | 0.301 | 0.006 | 0.78 |
| 1 year ago social assistance partial receipt | 0.175 | 0.210 | −0.035* | 0.06 | 0.170 | 0.149 | 0.021 | 0.22 |
| Sickness benefit (unemployed) in last 2 years | 0.245 | 0.210 | 0.035* | 0.08 | 0.231 | 0.265 | −0.035 | 0.08 |
| ALMP participation in last 2 years | ||||||||
| Active job search | 0.124 | 0.065 | 0.059*** | 0.00 | 0.117 | 0.126 | −0.009 | 0.57 |
| Basic qualification | 0.666 | 0.681 | −0.015 | 0.51 | 0.671 | 0.650 | 0.022 | 0.32 |
| Vocational orientation | 0.470 | 0.394 | 0.075*** | 0.00 | 0.457 | 0.476 | −0.020 | 0.40 |
| Training and further education | 0.134 | 0.078 | 0.056*** | 0.00 | 0.123 | 0.120 | 0.003 | 0.84 |
| Supra-company apprenticeship training | 0.141 | 0.095 | 0.047*** | 0.00 | 0.125 | 0.120 | 0.005 | 0.73 |
| EAPQ | 0.070 | 0.044 | 0.025** | 0.02 | 0.065 | 0.084 | −0.019 | 0.11 |
| External counseling | 0.633 | 0.598 | 0.034 | 0.14 | 0.636 | 0.639 | −0.003 | 0.89 |
| Nr. PES contacts in last 6 months | 2.664 | 2.237 | 0.427*** | 0.00 | 2.613 | 2.593 | 0.020 | 0.86 |
| Nr. PES contacts in last 2 years | 7.142 | 5.844 | 1.298*** | 0.00 | 6.894 | 6.952 | −0.058 | 0.82 |
| Nr. PES placement offers in last 6 months | 1.688 | 1.970 | −0.282 | 0.12 | 1.669 | 1.828 | −0.159 | 0.33 |
| Nr. PES placement offers in last 2 years | 3.309 | 4.149 | −0.840** | 0.02 | 3.275 | 3.697 | −0.422 | 0.15 |
| Last profession | ||||||||
| Simple/basic services | 0.070 | 0.058 | 0.012 | 0.30 | 0.067 | 0.064 | 0.002 | 0.83 |
| Accomodation, food service | 0.052 | 0.044 | 0.008 | 0.44 | 0.051 | 0.056 | −0.005 | 0.61 |
| Law | 0.064 | 0.029 | 0.036*** | 0.00 | 0.063 | 0.062 | 0.001 | 0.94 |
| Production | 0.514 | 0.517 | −0.003 | 0.90 | 0.523 | 0.530 | −0.008 | 0.74 |
| Trade and sales | 0.186 | 0.157 | 0.029 | 0.10 | 0.182 | 0.172 | 0.010 | 0.58 |
| Last employment in the public sector | 0.211 | 0.134 | 0.077*** | 0.00 | 0.176 | 0.176 | 0.000 | 1.00 |
| Unemployment insurance benefit daily rate | ||||||||
| ≤5 € | 0.084 | 0.096 | −0.012 | 0.37 | 0.086 | 0.087 | −0.001 | 0.94 |
| ≤ 15 € | 0.166 | 0.150 | 0.016 | 0.36 | 0.165 | 0.150 | 0.015 | 0.37 |
| ≤ 20 € | 0.090 | 0.119 | −0.029** | 0.05 | 0.094 | 0.088 | 0.005 | 0.69 |
| Social assistance receipt3 | ||||||||
| Full receipt, single | 0.100 | 0.097 | 0.003 | 0.82 | 0.101 | 0.094 | 0.007 | 0.61 |
| Full receipt, no single | 0.032 | 0.030 | 0.002 | 0.83 | 0.032 | 0.044 | −0.011 | 0.21 |
| Partial receipt, single | 0.289 | 0.359 | −0.070*** | 0.00 | 0.281 | 0.285 | −0.004 | 0.84 |
| Partial receipt, no single | 0.494 | 0.349 | 0.145*** | 0.00 | 0.501 | 0.501 | 0.000 | 1.00 |
| Balancing indicators | ||||||||
| Pseudo R2 | P > χ2 | Median bias | ||||||
| Before matching | 0.245 | 0.000 | 10.4 | |||||
| After matching | 0.022 | 0.977 | 2.1 | |||||
Source: AUR, ASSD. – Notes:
3: Active dependent employment: excluding persons with a valid employment relationship who are temporarily absent for reasons such as parental leave.
4 According to the city of Vienna. 1st and 2nd lm: 1st and 2nd labor market. EAPQ: extended apprenticeship or partial qualification. After matching all variables statistically insignificant.
Balancing indicators: Pseudo R2 from logit estimation on raw and matched samples. P-value of the likelihood-ratio test of the joint significance of all regressors. Median absolute standardized bias: % difference of the sample means in the treated and non-treated subsamples as a percentage of the square root of the average of the sample variances in the treated and non-treated groups.
Table 9
Logit estimates of the propensity scores
| Odds Ratio (SE) | |
|---|---|
| Female | 1.472*** (0.198) |
| Age (in years) | 0.567*** (0.040) |
| At least compulsory school | 1.117 (0.171) |
| Health-related placement restriction1 | 5.032*** (2.453) |
| Nationality | |
| Austria | 1.854 (0.685) |
| Turkey, former Yugoslavia | 0.778 (0.302) |
| Naturalized | 0.621* (0.173) |
| Asylum status | |
| Eligible for asylum (convention refugee) | 1.015 (0.315) |
| Subsidiary protection | 0.655 (0.221) |
| German language level A | 2.023** (0.531) |
| German language level B | 1.974*** (0.451) |
| Status at end of previous month | |
| Registered unemployed | 0.481** (0.135) |
| Looking for an apprenticeship | 0.377*** (0.108) |
| In PES training | 0.611* (0.179) |
| In employment | 0.997 (0.407) |
| Out of the labor force | 0.532** (0.159) |
| In basic qualification | 0.509** (0.153) |
| In vocational orientation | 0.751 (0.276) |
| In external counseling | 1.449* (0.270) |
| Social assistance full receipt2 | 3.777*** (0.704) |
| Social assistance partial receipt2 | 6.120*** (1.355) |
| Unemployment assistance receipt | 0.848 (0.360) |
| Previous unemployment duration (days) | 1.001 (0.001) |
| Days in registered unemployment | 0.997 (0.002) |
| Days in PES training | 0.999 (0.002) |
| Days looking for an apprenticeship | 0.998 (0.002) |
| No previous dependent employment | 1.208 (0.259) |
| Last income >1,000 € | 0.624 (0.185) |
| Employment history: days in last 5 years3 | |
| Active unsubsidized dependent employment | 1.000 (0.003) |
| Apprenticeship | 0.999 (0.003) |
| Active subsidized dependent employment 1st labor market | 0.998 (0.003) |
| Active subsidized dependent employment 2nd labor market | 1.001 (0.001) |
| Temporary absence | 1.000 (0.001) |
| Self-employment | 1.007 (0.007) |
| Registered unemployment | 1.008*** (0.002) |
| PES training | 1.001 (0.001) |
| Apprenticeship search | 1.003*** (0.001) |
| Other unemployment status | 1.002 (0.002) |
| Employment history: days in last 2 years3 | |
| Active unsubsidized dependent employment | 1.005* (0.003) |
| Active subsidized dependent employment 2nd labor market | 1.000 (0.002) |
| Registered unemployment | 0.996* (0.002) |
| PES training | 0.999 (0.001) |
| Apprenticeship search | 1.004** (0.002) |
| Employment history: days in last year3 | |
| Active unsubsidized dependent employment | 0.999 (0.005) |
| Apprenticeship | 0.995 (0.006) |
| Active subsidized dependent employment 2nd labor market | 0.999 (0.003) |
| 1 year ago employed | 0.974 (0.401) |
| 1 year ago unemployed | 1.064 (0.206) |
| 6 months ago employed | 0.561 (0.266) |
| 6 months ago unemployed | 1.188 (0.222) |
| 3 months ago employed | 2.227* (0.985) |
| 3 months ago unemployed | 0.858 (0.175) |
| 1 year ago social assistance full receipt | 1.187 (0.193) |
| 1 year ago social assistance partial receipt | 0.686** (0.128) |
| Sickness benefit (unemployed) in last 2 years | 0.870 (0.143) |
| Active labor market policy participation in last 2 years | |
| Active job search | 1.748** (0.433) |
| Basic qualification | 1.610** (0.305) |
| Vocational orientation | 1.008 (0.152) |
| Training and further education | 1.612** (0.354) |
| Supra-company apprenticeship training | 1.137 (0.424) |
| EAPQ | 0.759 (0.318) |
| External counseling | 0.850 (0.127) |
| Nr. PES contacts in last 6 months | 1.130** (0.051) |
| Nr. PES contacts in last 2 years | 0.966 (0.027) |
| Nr. PES placement offers in last 6 months | 1.003 (0.026) |
| Nr. PES placement offers in last 2 years | 0.921*** (0.014) |
| Last profession | |
| Simple/basic services | 1.823* (0.526) |
| Accommodation, food service | 1.397 (0.433) |
| Law | 2.619** (0.890) |
| Production | 1.318 (0.233) |
| Trade and sales | 1.303 (0.285) |
| Last employment in the public sector | 1.264 (0.394) |
| Unemployment insurance benefit daily rate | |
| ≤5 € | 0.901 (0.281) |
| ≤ 15 € | 0.619* (0.157) |
| ≤ 20 € | 1.110 (0.284) |
| Social assistance receipt4 | |
| Full receipt, single | 1.354 (0.368) |
| Full receipt, no single | 0.887 (0.336) |
| Partial receipt, single | 1.533* (0.340) |
| Partial receipt, no single | 1.422* (0.297) |
| Constant | 1545.793*** (2044.712) |
Source: AUR, ASSD. – Notes: Dependent variable: treated.
3: Active dependent employment: excluding persons with a valid employment relationship who are temporarily absent for reasons such as parental leave. EAPQ: extended apprenticeship or partial qualification.
Statistical significance based on Z statistics.
Table 10
Comparison of matching algorithms
| (1) | (2) | (3) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| % loss to common support | 5.0 | 7.5 | 2.1 |
| Logit Pseudo-R2, after1 | 0.022 | 0.024 | 0.026 |
| P > χ2, after2 | 0.977 | 0.937 | 0.782 |
| Median bias, after3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| ATT (SE), employed | 0.7(3.4) | 1.6(3.5) | −1.4(3.5) |
| ATT (SE), dependent employed | 1.7(3.5) | 2.5(3.6) | −0.5(3.5) |
| ATT (SE), active dependent employed | −0.8(3.5) | −0.2(3.5) | −2.7(3.5) |
| ATT (SE), registered unemployed | −2.7(2.9) | −2.7(3.5) | −1.0(2.4) |
| ATT (SE), PES training | 2.5(2.2) | 1.5(2.7) | 2.3(2.4) |
| ATT (SE), apprenticeship search | −1.0(1.7) | −1.0(1.6) | −1.0(1.3) |
| ATT (SE), other unemployment status | −0.5(1.0) | −0.6(1.4) | −0.7(0.9) |
| ATT (SE), economically inactive | 0.8(2.6) | 1.1(2.6) | 1.9(2.4) |
[i] Source: AUR, ASSD. – Notes: (1) 4-to-1 Propensity score matching within caliper of 0.1, combined with exact covariate matching on residence status, social assistance receipt and last economic activity. (2) Additional exact matching on gender. (3) Kernel matching with epanechnikov kernel and bandwidth 0.1. Proportion of treated lost to common support. Pseudo R2 from the logit estimation on the matched samples. P-value of the likelihood-ratio test of the joint significance of all regressors after matching. Median absolute standardized bias after matching: % difference of the sample means in the matched treated and matched non-treated subsamples as a percentage of the square root of the average of the sample variances in the treated and non-treated groups. ATT: Absolute average treatment effect on the treated (in percentage points) on the labor market position after 3 years. Standard errors in parentheses, in case of (1) and (2) heteroskedasticity-consistent analytical standard errors as proposed by Abadie & Imbens (2006).