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Does the early release of retirement savings prolong labor market participation for workers approaching retirement? Evidence from Australia's “Transition to Retirement Income Streams” program Cover

Does the early release of retirement savings prolong labor market participation for workers approaching retirement? Evidence from Australia's “Transition to Retirement Income Streams” program

Open Access
|Nov 2022

Figures & Tables

Figure 1

Derived employment rates for individuals aged 56 years.NIFW, net income from working; SW, salary and wage.

Figure 2

“TRIS-like-behavior”, using NIFW Indicator 2 TRIS rule.NIFW, net income from working; TRIS, Transition to Retirement Income Streams.

Figure 3

Reported SMSF TRIS, males and females pooled.SMSF, self-managed superannuation funds; TRIS, Transition to Retirement Income Streams.

Figure 4

Rolling D-i-D estimates – 54 years vs 56 years of age, males.D-i-D, difference-in-differences; NIFW, net income from working; SW, salary and wage.

Figure 5

Rolling D-i-D estimates – 54 years vs 56 years of age, females.D-i-D, difference-in-differences; NIFW, net income from working; SW, salary and wage.

Figure 6

Trends in employment rates (NIFW Indicator 2).NIFW, net income from working.

Figure A1

A tax-effective strategy.

Figure A2

Historical concessional contributions caps.

Summary statistics before and after the introduction of TRIS, females

Control periodTreatment 1Treatment 2



2004–052005–062006–07



MeanStd. dev.MeanStd. dev.MeanStd. dev.
ITR, PAYG, plus ABS estimates
  Income year2004–050.002005–060.002006–070.00
  Age at June 3054.981.0054.991.0054.981.00
Employment rates
  NIFW Indicator 20.690.460.710.460.720.45
  NIFW Indicator 30.620.490.640.480.660.47
  SW indicator0.610.490.630.480.650.48
Earned income
  NIFW Indicator 2 ($)35,97129,20538,55732,59941,41236,773
  NIFW Indicator 3 ($)36,61627,72039,23730,70341,91533,900
  SW indicator ($)36,25126,71338,86129,80741,38532,733
Observations (number)252,876na256,564na261,864na
ITR observations only
  Income year2004–050.002005–060.002006–070.00
  Age at June 3054.961.0054.971.0054.961.00
Employment rates
  NIFW Indicator 20.880.320.890.310.900.30
  NIFW Indicator 30.790.410.800.400.820.39
  SW indicator0.780.420.790.410.800.40
Earned income
  NIFW Indicator 2 ($)36,35329,21335,69931,47341,81836,853
  NIFW Indicator 3 ($)37,06027,67939,69630,70542,38033,909
  SW indicator ($)36,69226,64939,31729,79041,83832,729
Controls
  Reported spouse0.510.500.560.500.560.50
  Self-prepared tax return0.230.420.230.420.240.43
  Business and PSI income0.050.220.050.220.060.24
  Partnership and trust income0.260.440.250.430.240.42
  Dividend income0.400.490.380.490.370.48
  Rental income0.200.400.200.400.210.40
Remoteness
  Major cities0.690.460.690.460.690.46
  Inner regional0.200.400.200.400.200.40
  Outer regional0.080.280.080.280.080.28
  Remote and very remote0.010.120.010.120.010.12
  Not available0.010.080.010.090.010.10
Observations (number)192,587na199,174na206,331na

Hypothetical TRIS use cases in 2005–06

Intended use: reducing labor ($ 000s)Moderate use: bolstering income ($ 000s)Aggressive use: tax planning ($ 000s)Notes
Benchmark
AEarnings from work80.0100.0140.0
BIncome tax on earnings21.930.649.42004–05 schedule
CPosttax earnings58.169.590.7=A – B
DEmployer contributions7.29.012.6=A*0.09a
ESalary-sacrificed contributions0.00.00.0
FTax on contributions1.11.41.9=(D+E)*0.15
Using TRIS
HEarnings from work56.0100.00.0
ITRIS19.125.035.0=R*0.1b
JAssessable income75.1125.035.0=H+I
KTax on earnings19.842.86.42004–05 schedule
LTRIS tax offset2.93.85.3=H*0.15
MTax minus TRIS offset17.039.01.1=K+L
NPosttax earnings58.186.033.9=J – M
OEmployer contributions5.09.012.6=H*.09a
PSalary-sacrificed contributions0.00.0140.0
QTax on contributions0.81.422.9=O+P*0.15
RSuperannuation balance200.0250.0350.0A*2.5c
Difference
SAfter-tax earnings0.016.6−56.8=N – C
TTax on income−4.98.5−48.2=M – B
USuper contributions−2.20.0140.0=O+P – D
VTax on contributions−0.30.021.0=Q – F
WTax paid−5.38.5−27.2=U+W

“Net income from working Indicator 2”: adjusted Australian Taxation Office definition

Net income from working
=Total gross salary and wage payments(1)
+Income from allowances, earnings, tips, director's fees, etc.(2)
+Attributed personal services income(3)
+Total reportable fringe benefits (RFB) amounts (if RFB ≥ RFB threshold)(4)
Work-related car expenses(5)
Work-related travel expenses(6)
Work-related clothing expenses(7)
Work-related self-education expenses(8)
Other work-related expenses(9)
Low-value pool deductiona(10)
+Net income from working (Appendix section)b(11)
+Total employer superannuation contributions(12)

Labor supply rates in periods before and after the introduction of TRIS

Pre-TRIS 2004–05(1)TRIS 2005–06(2)Difference (2 – 1)(3)Difference-in-difference(4)
Males
ANIFW Indicator 2
Treatment (age: 56 years) [249,728]0.7977 (0.0011)0.8080 (0.0011)0.0102*** (0.0016)
Control (age: 54 years) [256,949]0.8317 (0.001)0.8432 (0.001)0.0115*** (0.0015)−0.0013 (0.0022)
BNIFW Indicator 3
Treatment (age: 56 years) [249,728]0.6729 (0.0013)0.6867 (0.0013)0.0138*** (0.0019)
Control (age: 54 years) [256,949]0.7111 (0.0013)0.7234 (0.0012)0.0124*** (0.0018)0.0014 (0.0026)
CSalary and wage indicator
Treatment (age: 56 years) [249,728]0.6557 (0.0014)0.6711 (0.0013)0.0154*** (0.0019)
Control (age: 54 years) [256,949]0.6962 (0.0013)0.7089 (0.0013)0.0127*** (0.0018)0.0027 (0.0026)
Females
DNIFW Indicator 2
Treatment (age: 56 years) [250,487]0.6603 (0.0013)0.6778 (0.0013)0.0175*** (0.0019)
Control (age: 54 years) [258,953]0.7168 (0.0013)0.7362 (0.0012)0.0194*** (0.0018)−0.0019 (0.0026)
ENIFW Indicator 3
Treatment (age: 56 years) [250,487]0.5873 (0.0014)0.6060 (0.0014)0.0186*** (0.002)
Control (age: 54 years) [258,953]0.6476 (0.0013)0.6687 (0.0013)0.0212*** (0.0019)−0.0025 (0.0027)
FSalary and wage indicator
Treatment (age: 56 years) [250,487]0.5765 (0.0014)0.5959 (0.0014)0.0194*** (0.002)
Control (age: 54 years) [258,953]0.6387 (0.0013)0.6597 (0.0013)0.0211*** (0.0019)−0.0017 (0.0027)

TRIS effects on “labor supply” and “earnings” (D-i-D coefficients)

2004–05 vs 2005–06(1)2004–05 vs 2006–07(2)
ITR, PAYG, and ABS estimates54 years vs 56 years54 years vs 56 years
Labor supplyMales
NIFW 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0013[0.0022]0.0052**[0.0021]
NIFW 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0014[0.0026]0.0102***[0.0026]
Salary and wage D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0027[0.0026]0.0101***[0.0026]
Females
NIFW 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0019[0.0026]−0.0008[0.0025]
NIFW 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0025[0.0027]0.0001[0.0027]
Salary and wage D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0017[0.0027]0.0003[0.0027]

ITR and PAYG data54 years vs 56 years54 years vs 56 years
Earned incomeMales
NIFW 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0173**[0.0073]0.0244***[0.0073]
NIFW 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0018[0.0079]0.0161**[0.0079]
Salary and wage D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0021[0.0080]0.0179**[0.0080]
Females
NIFW 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0080[0.0083]0.0012[0.0082]
NIFW 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0175**[0.0084]−0.0099[0.0082]
Salary and wage D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0190**[0.0084]−0.0084[0.0083]

2006–07 vs 2007–082006–07 vs 2008–09

ITR, PAYG, and ABS estimates59 years vs 61 years59 years vs 61 years
Labor supplyMales
NIFW 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0247***[0.0026]0.0110***[0.0026]
NIFW 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0253***[0.0028]0.0136***[0.0028]
Salary and wage D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0238***[0.0028]0.0115***[0.0029]
Females
NIFW 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0134***[0.0029]0.0058**[0.0029]
NIFW 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0113***[0.0029]0.0058**[0.0029]
Salary and wage D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0113***[0.0029]0.0050*[0.0029]

ITR and PAYG data59 years vs 61 years59 years vs 61 years
Earned incomeMales
NIFW 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0024[0.0088]0.0020[0.0092]
NIFW 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0149[0.0093]−0.0133[0.0097]
Salary and wage D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0166[0.0102]−0.0110[0.0099]
Females
NIFW 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0074[0.0112]0.0137[0.0111]
NIFW 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0229**[0.0113]−0.0197*[0.0111]
Salary and wage D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0263**[0.0114]−0.0217*[0.0111]

TRIS adoption – descriptive analysis, females

Without controlsPlus ageAdditional controls



(1)(2)(3)
Income tax return data only
Intercept0.0051***[0.0001]−0.0228***[0.0001]−0.0728***[0.0004]
D20060.0006***[0.0001]0.0003***[0.0001]0.0005***[0.0001]
D20070.0017***[0.0002]0.0015***[0.0001]0.0017***[0.0001]
D20080.0170***[0.0002]0.0169***[0.0002]0.0172***[0.0002]
D20090.0244***[0.0002]0.0243***[0.0002]0.0257***[0.0002]
D20100.0302***[0.0002]0.0301***[0.0002]0.0299***[0.0002]
D20110.0335***[0.0002]0.0334***[0.0002]0.0330***[0.0002]
D20120.0366***[0.0002]0.0365***[0.0002]0.0356***[0.0002]
D20130.0377***[0.0002]0.0376***[0.0002]0.0369***[0.0002]
D20140.0388***[0.0002]0.0386***[0.0002]0.0379***[0.0002]
D20150.0401***[0.0002]0.0399***[0.0002]0.0400***[0.0003]
Age at June 30
Age 54 years0.0003***[0.0000]0.0002***[0.0000]
Age 55 years0.0186***[0.0001]0.0181***[0.0001]
Age 56 years0.0361***[0.0002]0.0355***[0.0002]
Age 57 years0.0459***[0.0002]0.0454***[0.0002]
Age 58 years0.0531***[0.0002]0.0525***[0.0002]
Age 59 years0.0529***[0.0003]0.0524***[0.0002]
Additional controls
Log(Taxable income)0.0046***[0.0000]
Negative taxable income0.0480***[0.0006]
Self-prepared return−0.0067***[0.0002]
Reported partner−0.0045***[0.0002]
PSI income0.0017***[0.0004]
Business and partnership0.0107***[0.0003]
income
Dividend income0.0135***[0.0002]
Rental income0.0053***[0.0003]
Remoteness
  Inner regional0.0008**[0.0003]
  Outer regional−0.0063***[0.0004]
  Remote and very−0.0156***[0.0006]
  remote
  Not available−0.0095***[0.0004]
Observations8,182,6898,182,6898,182,689
R-squared0.00790.02420.0311

TRIS measures versus APRA statistics, 55–59 year age range, 2014–151

APRA-regulated fundsSMSFs


FemaleMaleTotalFemaleMaleTotal
Count of TRIS recipients (’000s)
ANIFW Indicator 23035657714
BNIFW Indicator 32731586511
CSW indicator2630565510
DAPRA 55–59212647nanana
EAPRA 60–64405292nanana
FAPRA 65–69347nanana
Total TRIS payments ($ million)
GNIFW Indicator 2342498840125182307
HNIFW Indicator 329843273098140237
ISW indicator28240869087122208
JAPRA 55–59204325529nanana
KAPRA 60–644388011,239nanana
LAPRA 65–693872110nanana

TRIS effects on “labor supply” and “earnings” (double age grouping D-i-D coefficients)

2004–05 vs 2005–062004–05 vs 2006–07


(1)(2)
ITR, PAYG, and ABS estimates53–54 vs 56–5753–54 vs 56–57
Labor supplyMales
NIFW Indicator 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0100***[0.0015]0.0144***[0.0015]
NIFW Indicator 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0116***[0.0018]0.0178***[0.0018]
SW indicator D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0125***[0.0018]0.0185***[0.0018]
Females
NIFW Indicator 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0062***[0.0018]0.0099***[0.0018]
NIFW Indicator 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0057***[0.0019]0.0103***[0.0019]
SW indicator D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0063***[0.0019]0.0105***[0.0019]

ITR and PAYG data53–54 vs 56–5753–54 vs 56–57
Earned incomeMales
NIFW Indicator 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0153***[0.0052]0.0264***[0.0052]
NIFW Indicator 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0045[0.0056]0.0132**[0.0056]
SW indicator D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0037[0.0057]0.0110*[0.0057]
Females
NIFW Indicator 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0037[0.0059]0.0048[0.0058]
NIFW Indicator 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0037[0.0059]−0.0019[0.0059]
SW indicator D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0069[0.0059]−0.0026[0.0059]

2006–07 vs 2007–082006–07 vs 2008–09

ITR, PAYG, and ABS estimates58–59 vs 61–6258–59 vs 61–62
Labor supplyMales
NIFW Indicator 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0059***[0.0019]0.0133***[0.0018]
NIFW Indicator 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0094***[0.0020]0.0146***[0.0020]
SW indicator D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0092***[0.0020]0.0137***[0.0020]
Females
NIFW Indicator 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0022[0.0020]0.0072***[0.0020]
NIFW Indicator 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0022[0.0020]0.0078***[0.0020]
SW indicator D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0022[0.0020]0.0073***[0.0020]

ITR and PAYG data58–59 vs 61–6258–59 vs 61–62
Earned incomeMales
NIFW Indicator 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0026[0.0067]0.0065[0.0066]
NIFW Indicator 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0141*[0.0072]−0.0046[0.0070]
SW indicator D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0191***[0.0074]−0.0064[0.0071]
Females
NIFW Indicator 2 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)0.0048[0.0081]0.0183**[0.0079]
NIFW Indicator 3 D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.0180**[0.0082]−0.0126[0.0079]
SW indicator D-i-D (TRIS · Age)−0.2060**[0.0083]−0.0142*[0.0079]

Data sources

WorkedDid not work
FiledIncome tax return dataIncome tax return data
Did not filePAYG payment summary data (for salary and wage payments only)Residual population calculated from ABS estimates

TRIS adoption – descriptive analysis, males

Without controlsPlus ageAdditional controls



(1)(2)(3)
Income tax return data only
Intercept0.0096***[0.0001]−0.0255***[0.0001]−0.0854***[0.0005]
D20060.0008***[0.0001]0.0003***[0.0001]−0.0000[0.0001]
D20070.0027***[0.0001]0.0025***[0.0001]0.0021***[0.0001]
D20080.0212***[0.0002]0.0211***[0.0002]0.0208***[0.0002]
D20090.0320***[0.0002]0.0320***[0.0002]0.0322***[0.0002]
D20100.0376***[0.0003]0.0378***[0.0003]0.0363***[0.0003]
D20110.0398***[0.0003]0.0400***[0.0003]0.0382***[0.0003]
D20120.0412***[0.0003]0.0415***[0.0003]0.0396***[0.0003]
D20130.0397***[0.0003]0.0401***[0.0003]0.0373***[0.0003]
D20140.0388***[0.0003]0.0392***[0.0003]0.0365***[0.0003]
D20150.0395***[0.0003]0.0398***[0.0003]0.0380***[0.0003]
Age at June 30
Age 54 years0.0005***[0.0000]0.0003***[0.0000]
Age 55 years0.0219***[0.0001]0.0215***[0.0001]
Age 56 years0.0433***[0.0002]0.0427***[0.0002]
Age 57 years0.0563***[0.0002]0.0557***[0.0002]
Age 58 years0.0660***[0.0002]0.0654***[0.0002]
Age 59 years0.0672***[0.0002]0.0666***[0.0002]
Additional controls
Log(Taxable income)0.0046***[0.0000]
Negative taxable income0.0463***[0.0006]
Self-prepared return−0.0012***[0.0003]
Reported partner−0.0083***[0.0002]
PSI income−0.0022***[0.0003]
Business and partnership0.0046***[0.0003]
income
Dividend income0.0168***[0.0002]
Rental income0.0062***[0.0003]
Remoteness
  Inner regional0.0022***[0.0003]
  Outer regional−0.0078***[0.0004]
  Remote and very−0.0189***[0.0006]
  remote
  Not available−0.0133***[0.0005]
Observations8,809,8358,809,8358,809,835
R-squared0.00740.02800.0346

Summary statistics before and after the introduction of TRIS, males

Control periodTreatment 1Treatment 2



2004–052005–062006–07



MeanStd. dev.MeanStd. dev.MeanStd. dev.
ITR, PAYG, plus ABS estimates
  Income year2004–050.002005–060.002006–070.00
  Age at June 3054.981.0054.991.0054.981.00
Employment rates
  NIFW Indicator 20.820.390.830.380.830.38
  NIFW Indicator 30.690.460.710.460.710.45
  SW indicator0.680.470.690.460.700.46
Earned income
  NIFW Indicator 2 ($)56,41974,44060,31192,30164,77193,301
  NIFW Indicator 3 ($)57,69763,97061,60287,30765,95283,799
  SW indicator ($)57,90860,29861,92882,8356635081,510
Observations (number)251,666na255,011na258,715na
ITR observations only
  Income year2004–050.002005–060.002006–070.00
  Age at June 3054.981.0054.981.0054.971.00
Employment rates
  NIFW Indicator 20.930.250.940.250.940.24
  NIFW Indicator 30.790.410.800.400.800.40
  SW indicator0.770.420.780.420.790.41
Earned income
  NIFW Indicator 2 ($)57,09975,08061,02393,19365,53694,171
  NIFW Indicator 3 ($)58,53964,49662,47788,24966,88184,624
  SW indicator ($)58,77760,75162,83283,70667,31182,302
Controls
  Reported spouse0.590.490.620.480.620.48
  Self-prepared tax return0.200.400.200.400.200.40
  Business and PSI income0.110.320.110.320.120.33
  Partnership and trust income0.210.410.200.400.200.40
  Dividend income0.390.490.370.480.370.48
  Rental income0.210.410.210.410.220.41
Remoteness
  Major cities0.680.470.680.470.670.47
  Inner regional0.200.400.210.400.210.41
  Outer regional0.090.290.090.290.090.29
  Remote and very remote0.020.130.020.130.020.13
  Not available0.010.090.010.100.010.11
Observations (number)214,771na219,504na222,946na
Language: English
Accepted on: Jun 2, 2022
|
Published on: Nov 11, 2022
Published by: Sciendo
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2022 Andrew Dudley Carter, published by Sciendo
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.