Trade shocks and youth jobs

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Open Access

|Oct 2020

Figures & Tables

	Dependent variable: Employment change
	(2000–2007)		(2010–2017)
	(<25)	(Ages 25+)	(<25)	(Ages 25+)
Import exposure	−0.01 p < 0.01	−0.01 p < 0.01	−0.002	−0.003 p < 0.01
	(0.002)	(0.001)	(0.002)	(0.001)
Import exposure (downstream)	−0.05 p < 0.01	−0.001	0.04 p < 0.01	0.01 p < 0.05
	(0.01)	(0.01)	(0.01)	(0.01)
Import exposure (upstream)	−0.01 p < 0.01	−0.01 p < 0.01	−0.0000	0.0004
	(0.003)	(0.002)	(0.004)	(0.002)
Export exposure	0.08 p < 0.05	0.07 p < 0.05	0.05	0.01
	(0.04)	(0.03)	(0.05)	(0.02)
Production workers’ share	−0.45 p < 0.01	−0.33 p < 0.01	−0.22	−0.11 p <
	(0.12)	(0.08)	(0.13)	(0.06)
Computer purchase	−0.001	−0.002	−0.01 p < 0.01	−0.01 p < 0.01
	(0.003)	(0.002)	(0.003)	(0.002)
High-tech investment	−0.02 p < 0.01	−0.01 p < 0.05	0.001	−0.01 p < 0.05
	(0.01)	(0.003)	(0.01)	(0.002)
Capital to value-added ratio	0.003	−0.005	−0.05 p < 0.01	−0.01
	(0.02)	(0.01)	(0.02)	(0.01)
Log wages (in year 2000)	−0.03	−0.14 p < 0.01	0.16 p < 0.01	−0.07 p < 0.05
	(0.06)	(0.04)	(0.06)	(0.03)
Change in log wages	−0.03	0.07	0.49 p < 0.01	0.11 p < 0.05
	(0.14)	(0.09)	(0.10)	(0.04)
Change in sector employment share	0.20	0.59 p < 0.01	−0.15	−0.10
	(0.29)	(0.19)	(0.24)	(0.11)
Constant	0.75	1.70 p < 0.01	−1.11	1.00 p < 0.01
	(0.70)	(0.43)	(0.70)	(0.31)
Observations	369	369	363	363
R²	0.62	0.64	0.48	0.54