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A CNN–LSTM-based deep learning model for early prediction of student’s performance Cover

A CNN–LSTM-based deep learning model for early prediction of student’s performance

Open Access
|Dec 2024

Figures & Tables

Figure 1:

Class distribution of dataset.
Class distribution of dataset.

Figure 2:

Flowchart. CNN, convolutional neural network; LSTM, long short-term memory.
Flowchart. CNN, convolutional neural network; LSTM, long short-term memory.

Figure 3:

Comparison of average accuracy. CNN, convolutional neural network; LSTM, long short-term memory.
Comparison of average accuracy. CNN, convolutional neural network; LSTM, long short-term memory.

Figure 4:

Comparison of average loss. CNN, convolutional neural network; LSTM, long short-term memory.
Comparison of average loss. CNN, convolutional neural network; LSTM, long short-term memory.

Summary of related work

ReferenceDataset usedEvaluation metricsLimitations/future scope
[1]Datasets of two Udacity ND programs: ND-A and ND-BROCIn future, the indirect data can be incorporated into the GritNet.
[2]WOU, XAPI, UCI, and AV student performance datasetsPrecision, recall, F-score, and accuracyFurther validation on other large size imbalanced datasets is required.
[3]Real data were collected from a multidisciplinary universityMAE and RMSEReliability of the system can be improved further by updating layers of NN
[4]Dataset acquired from the “Khyber Pakh tunkhwa Board of Intermediate & Secondary Education” PeshawarAccuracy and RMSIn big data environment, the DL models need to be integrated with traditional ML techniques. RNN model that updates learning rate is required to maximize precision of the prediction framework
[5]Three different datasetsAccuracyEducational contexts such as course subjects must be taken into account. Sample size aspect that verifies the empirical research results and implications is overlooked
[6]Open University datasetPrecision, recall, accuracy, F1, and FMThis study basically focused on online mode of study, and in future, other modes can be analyzed. Hybrid models of TLBO optimization, ANN, and SVM were evaluated. Evaluation and comparison with other hybrid models is required to achieve more reliable predictions of academic performance
[7]House, WOU, XAPI, UCI, and AV datasetAccuracyIn future, the CNN model can be squeezed to reduce CNN structures
[8]OULADPrecision, recall, F1-score, and accuracyAs a limitation of this study, researchers should consider that MOOC students generate large clickstream records, and DL techniques require significant training time, which can delay data processing and evaluation of results.
[9]OULADPrecision, recall, F1-score, and accuracyWith fewer data streams, the system achieves lower accuracy, while more data streams improve prediction performance. In the future, data from various institutions and study areas will be collected to assess performance variations. Additionally, other DL and ML algorithms will be integrated to better understand relationships among student academic attributes and enhance prediction accuracy
[10]OULA datasetAccuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and precisionLimitation: It uses only a single dataset and limited performance metrics for predicting student performance, which affects its overall effectiveness. To achieve better results, more data should be considered. Future research can expand this work by using multiple datasets for student performance prediction

Descriptive analysis

SchoolSexAgeAddressFamily sizeAbsencesG1G2G3Performance
Count649649649649649649649649649649
Unique22822242716172
TopGPF17UGT30101111Good
Frequency42338317945245724495103104550

Comparison of LSTM-based student performance prediction models

S.NoModelAverage accuracyAverage training timeAverage loss
1Simple LSTM85.83333 ms/step0.2516
2LSTM with dropouts86.68659 ms/step0.2334
3Bidirectional LSTM88.692 s/step0.2561
4Proposed CNN + LSTM98.45183 ms/step0.1989
Language: English
Submitted on: Sep 10, 2024
Published on: Dec 2, 2024
Published by: Professor Subhas Chandra Mukhopadhyay
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2024 Monika Arya, Anand Motwani, Kauleshwar Prasad, Bhupesh Kumar Dewangan, Tanupriya Choudhury, Piyush Chauhan, published by Professor Subhas Chandra Mukhopadhyay
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.