Figure 1

Figure 2

Exports structure and ad valorem customs duties
| HS code | Average ad valorem duties in the EU (%) | Share of exports of given category in total exports to the United Kingdom (%) | HS code | Average ad valorem duties in the EU (%) | Share of exports of given category in total exports to the United Kingdom (%) | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 49 | 0 | 0.8 | 
| 02 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 50 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 
| 03 | 11.1 | 0.4 | 51 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 
| 04 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 52 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 
| 05 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 53 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 
| 06 | 6.9 | 0.1 | 54 | 6 | 0.0 | 
| 07 | 8.5 | 1.1 | 55 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 
| 08 | 5.9 | 0.5 | 56 | 6 | 0.1 | 
| 09 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 57 | 7.3 | 0.1 | 
| 10 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 58 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 
| 11 | 12.2 | 0.1 | 59 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 
| 12 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 60 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 
| 13 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 61 | 11.7 | 0.3 | 
| 14 | 0 | 0.0 | 62 | 11.3 | 0.6 | 
| 15 | 5.4 | 0.2 | 63 | 10.1 | 0.1 | 
| 16 | 18.2 | 2.4 | 64 | 11.1 | 0.3 | 
| 17 | 6.8 | 0.3 | 65 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 
| 18 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 66 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 
| 19 | 10.7 | 1.6 | 67 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 
| 20 | 17.5 | 0.7 | 68 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 
| 21 | 9.2 | 1.0 | 69 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 
| 22 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 70 | 5 | 1.5 | 
| 23 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 71 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 
| 24 | 44.7 | 1.0 | 72 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 
| 25 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 73 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 
| 26 | 0 | 0.0 | 74 | 3.3 | 0.1 | 
| 27 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 75 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 
| 28 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 76 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 
| 29 | 4.3 | 0.1 | 78 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 
| 30 | 0 | 0.9 | 79 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 
| 31 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 80 | 0 | 0.0 | 
| 32 | 5.5 | 0.3 | 81 | 3 | 0.0 | 
| 33 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 82 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 
| 34 | 2 | 1.2 | 83 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 
| 35 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 84 | 1.8 | 14.5 | 
| 36 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 85 | 2.8 | 12.7 | 
| 37 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 86 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 
| 38 | 5.4 | 0.3 | 87 | 5.8 | 14.4 | 
| 39 | 6 | 3.1 | 88 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 
| 40 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 89 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 
| 41 | 2 | 0.0 | 90 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 
| 42 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 91 | 4.2 | 0.1 | 
| 43 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 92 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 
| 44 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 93 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 
| 45 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 94 | 2.3 | 6.7 | 
| 46 | 3 | 0.0 | 95 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 
| 47 | 0 | 0.1 | 96 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 
| 48 | 0 | 1.4 | 
Estimation results
| Variable | Coefficient | p-value | 
|---|---|---|
| a | 9.2907 | 0.0000 | 
| exrate | –0.2947 | 0.0685 | 
| pmi | 0.4140 | 0.0800 | 
| AR(1) | 0.4909 | 0.0043 |