Summary of hypotheses and results_
| Hypothesis | Description | Result |
|---|---|---|
| H1 | There will be a difference in risk tolerance between married men and married women (assuming complete joint optimisation for the household). | Supported |
| H2 | Married and single women will be less risk-tolerant than married men. | Supported |
| H3 | Single men will be more risk-tolerant than married men. | Supported |
| H4-6 | Those who have appropriately low levels of financial confidence will have lower risk tolerances than those who are underconfident, overconfident, and have appropriately high levels of financial confidence. | Supported |
| H7 | Overconfidence will moderate the relationship between gender and marital status and risk tolerance. | Partially supported. |
Ordinary least squares regression on risk tolerance among married vs unmarried, men vs women, with moderation analysis_
| Independent Variables | Coeff. | SE | Coeff. | SE | Coeff. | SE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confidence Level* Marital Status | ||||||
| Appropriate low confidence*Male Married a | ||||||
| Underconfident × Married female | −0.23 | 0.264 | ||||
| Underconfident × Single female | 0.34 | 0.261 | ||||
| Underconfident × Single male | 0.19 | 0.287 | ||||
| Overconfident × Married female | −0.92** | 0.335 | ||||
| Overconfident × Single female | −0.50 | 0.305 | ||||
| Overconfident × Single male | −0.64 | 0.388 | ||||
| Appropriate high confidence × Married female | −0.68* | 0.311 | ||||
| Appropriate high confidence × Single female | −0.60 | 0.338 | ||||
| Appropriate high confidence × Single male | 0.10 | 0.352 | ||||
| Confidence Level | ||||||
| Appropriate low level of confidence (subfin<=8 & finknow <3)a | ||||||
| Underconfident (subfin <= 8 & finknow == 3) | 0.26* | 0.103 | 0.24 | 0.164 | ||
| Overconfident (subfin>8 & finknow<3) | 0.31* | 0.123 | 0.79** | 0.225 | ||
| Appropriate high level of confidence (subfin>8 & finknow == 3) | 0.74*** | 0.124 | 0.95*** | 0.175 | ||
| Marital Status | ||||||
| Married Male a | ||||||
| Married Female | −0.73*** | 0.110 | −0.68*** | 0.110 | −0.38* | 0.182 |
| Single Female | −0.57*** | 0.120 | −0.53*** | 0.121 | −0.46** | 0.178 |
| Single Male | 0.35** | 0.129 | 0.38** | 0.129 | 0.40* | 0.204 |
| Age | −0.02*** | 0.003 | −0.24*** | 0.003 | −0.02*** | 0.003 |
| Education | ||||||
| Less than high school a | ||||||
| High school | 0.34* | 0.166 | −0.30 | 0.166 | 0.32 | 0.166 |
| Some college | 0.39* | 0.166 | 0.35* | 0.165 | 0.37* | 0.165 |
| Bachelor’s degree | 0.66*** | 0.175 | .58** | 0.175 | 0.58** | 0.175 |
| Graduate degree | 0.63** | 0.182 | .53** | 0.183 | 0.54** | 0.183 |
| Race | ||||||
| White a | ||||||
| Black | 0.45*** | 0.127 | 0.47*** | 0.127 | 0.48*** | 0.127 |
| Hispanic | 0.03 | 0.139 | 0.07 | 0.139 | 0.08 | 0.139 |
| Asian/Other | −0.01 | 0.115 | 0.03 | 0.114 | 0.05 | 0.115 |
| Have Children Under 18 | ||||||
| No a | ||||||
| Yes | 0.26 | 0.155 | 0.242 | 0.155 | 0.24 | 0.155 |
| Non-Financial Assets | ||||||
| 0 | −0.85 | 1.049 | −0.91 | 1.050 | −0.91 | 1.042 |
| Less than $50,000 | −0.54** | 0.200 | −0.51** | 0.199 | −0.51** | 0.200 |
| $50,000 – $149,999 | −0.29 | 0.188 | −0.27 | 0.187 | −0.28 | 0.187 |
| $150,000 – $499,999 a | ||||||
| $500,000 – $999,999 | 0.34* | 0.147 | 0.33* | 0.146 | 0.34* | 0.146 |
| $1M or more | 1.18*** | 0.142 | 1.09*** | 0.142 | 1.07*** | 0.142 |
| Income | ||||||
| Less than $10,000 | 0.58* | 0.256 | 0.54* | 0.255 | 0.56* | 0.255 |
| $10,000 – $24,999 | −0.14 | 0.159 | −0.15 | 0.158 | −0.14 | 0.157 |
| $25,000 – $49,999 a | ||||||
| $50,000 – $99,999 | 0.39** | 0.132 | 0.35** | 0.131 | 0.34** | 0.131 |
| $100,000 or more | 1.01*** | 0.148 | 0.93*** | 0.148 | 0.93*** | 0.147 |
| Job Status | ||||||
| Salary a | ||||||
| Self Employed | 0.62*** | 0.117 | 0.61** | 0.116 | 0.59*** | 0.116 |
| Retired | −0.03 | 0.124 | −0.04 | 0.124 | −0.03 | 0.124 |
| No Work | 0.30 | 0.204 | 0.29 | 0.203 | 0.28 | 0.203 |
| Home Ownership | ||||||
| No a | ||||||
| Yes | −0.23 | 0.172 | −0.23 | 0.171 | −0.21 | 0.172 |
| Inheritance Expectation | ||||||
| No a | ||||||
| Yes | 0.28 | 0.115 | .28* | 0.114 | 0.28* | 0.114 |
| Subjective Respondent Health | ||||||
| Poor | −0.44* | 0.195 | −0.41* | 0.194 | −0.41* | 0.194 |
| Fair | −0.28** | 0.104 | −0.26* | 0.104 | −0.25* | 0.104 |
| Good a | ||||||
| Excellent | 0.36*** | 0.096 | 0.32** | 0.096 | 0.31** | 0.096 |
| Cons | 4.78*** | 0.323 | 4.73*** | 0.342 | 4.62*** | 0.334 |
Sample Descriptives
| Variables | % | M(SD) |
|---|---|---|
| Risk tolerance | 4.22(2.74) | |
| Overconfidence | ||
| Appropriate low level of confidence (subfin<=8 & finknow <3) | 41.45 | |
| Underconfident (subfin <= 8 & finknow == 3) | 29.4 | |
| Overconfident (subfin>8 & finknow<3) | 15.48 | |
| Appropriate high level of confidence (subfin>8 & finknow == 3) | 13.67 | |
| Married Male | 32.8 | |
| Married Female | 23.24 | |
| Single Female | 27.11 | |
| Single Male | 16.84 | |
| Age | 52.78(17.87) | |
| Education | ||
| Less than high school | 8.84 | |
| High school | 21.48 | |
| Some college | 27.78 | |
| Bachelor’s degree | 23.84 | |
| Graduate degree | 18.06 | |
| Race | ||
| White | 66.53 | |
| Black | 11.41 | |
| Hispanic | 9.59 | |
| Asian/Other | 12.47 | |
| Have Children Under 18 | ||
| No | 93.38 | |
| Yes | 6.62 | |
| Non-Financial Assets | ||
| 0 | 0.23 | |
| Less than $50,000 | 34.2 | |
| $50,000 – $149,999 | 8.82 | |
| $150,000 – $499,999 | 31.97 | |
| $500,000 – $999,999 | 13.2 | |
| $1M or more | 11.59 | |
| Income | ||
| Less than $10,000 | 2.65 | |
| $10,000 – $24,999 | 13.21 | |
| $25,000 – $49,999 | 22.23 | |
| $50,000 – $99,999 | 27.29 | |
| $100,000 or more | 34.62 | |
| Job Status | ||
| Salary | 55.29 | |
| Self Employed | 11.39 | |
| Retired | 29.34 | |
| No Work | 3.98 | |
| Home Ownership | ||
| No | 37.03 | |
| Yes | 62.97 | |
| Inheritance Expectation | ||
| No | 85.93 | |
| Yes | 14.07 | |
| Subjective Respondent Health | ||
| Poor | 5.59 | |
| Fair | 22.92 | |
| Good | 49.74 | |
| Excellent | 21.76 | |