Figure 1.

Success Probability in % with Different Assumptions Canadian Males
| Acceptable Failure | Base Case | (S)* Drift 1% | (C)* Drift −1% | (C) Drift −2% | Retire 68 | Retire 68 (C) Drift −1% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 48/2.8/90 | 40/2.7/99 | 60/3.5/82 | 71/4.2/73 | 63/3.1/81 | 74/3.7/73 |
| 10% | 65/3.7/84 | 56/3.6/92 | 75/4.5/74 | 83/5.2/66 | 77/4.0/73 | 85/4.7/65 |
| 20% | 82/5.1/74 | 74/5.0/83 | 88/5.8/65 | 93/6.6/58 | 90/5.3/64 | 94/6.0/57 |
Success Probability in % with Different Assumptions Canadian Females: Median Age of death 88 if retired at 65
| Acceptable Failure | Base Case | (S) Drift 1% | (C) Drift −1% | (C) Drift −2% | Retire 68 | Retire 68 (C) Drift −1% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 45 | 37 | 57 | 69 | 59 | 70 |
| 10% | 61 | 52 | 72 | 81 | 73 | 82 |
| 20% | 78 | 70 | 86 | 91 | 87 | 92 |