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Just How Safe are ‘Safe Withdrawal Rates’ in Retirement? Cover

Just How Safe are ‘Safe Withdrawal Rates’ in Retirement?

By: Michael E. Drew and  Adam N. Walk  
Open Access
|Mar 2024

Figures & Tables

Figure 1:

Evolution of $1 invested in 1900 (n=5, logarithmic scale base=10)

Figure 2:

Heat maps of SAFEMAX results (50:50, 30 Years)

Withdrawal rates equivalents for varying starting values

Starting BalanceASFA Modest $32,656ASFA Comfortable $56,406
$250,00013.06%22.56%
$500,0006.53%11.28%
$750,0004.35%7.52%
$1,000,0003.27%5.64%
$1,250,0002.61%4.51%
$1,500,0002.18%3.76%

Ranking of Annualised Performance (Stocks, real accumulated returns)

RankingCountryAnnualised Performance (%)Standard DeviationReward/Risk Ratio
#1Australia7.2218.230.40
#2South Africa7.2122.490.32
#3United States6.1920.200.31
#4Sweden6.1122.870.27
#5New Zealand5.7619.660.29
#6Canada5.6917.220.33
#7United Kingdom5.2019.940.26
#8Finland5.0130.410.16
#9Denmark4.8520.900.23
#10Netherlands4.8121.760.22
#11Switzerland4.1319.730.21
#12Norway4.0827.330.15
#13Ireland3.7223.060.16
#14Japan3.6229.780.12
#15Spain3.4222.210.15
#16France2.8723.450.12
#17Germany2.8632.180.09
#18Belgium2.3923.570.10
#19Italy1.6828.990.06
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/fprj-2015-0002 | Journal eISSN: 2206-1355 | Journal ISSN: 2206-1347
Language: English
Page range: 22 - 32
Submitted on: Jul 14, 2015
|
Accepted on: Oct 28, 2015
|
Published on: Mar 17, 2024
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 issues per year

© 2024 Michael E. Drew, Adam N. Walk, published by Financial Advice Association of Australia
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.