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The Business Cycle and Cycles in The Banking Sector in The Polish Economy in The Years 2000‒2017 Cover

The Business Cycle and Cycles in The Banking Sector in The Polish Economy in The Years 2000‒2017

By: Ryszard Barczyk  
Open Access
|Dec 2018

Abstract

Apart from general business cycles, market economies are characterized by their specific cycles, which also include banking cycles. Fluctuations whose sequence over time creates the banking cycles are absolute or/and relative changes in the activity of banks, manifested in the form of oscillations in the supply of money and bank credits granted for investment or consumption purposes.

The aim of this article is to analyze the influence of general business cycles on changes in the activity of the central bank and commercial banks, and to examine a returnable relationship between banking activities and business cycles. The paper consists of two parts. The first one presents a theoretical hypothesis connected with the analyzed relations. The second part contains the results of the empirical analysis of the morphology of the cycles identified in the Polish economy. In the process of identifying the cycles under analysis, the concept of deviation cycles was taken into account. Deseasonalization was conducted using the Tramo/Seats procedure as part of the Demetra 2.0 package, and in the process of isolating cycles, the Hodrick-Prescott filter was accepted.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/foli-2018-0022 | Journal eISSN: 1898-0198 | Journal ISSN: 1730-4237
Language: English
Page range: 106 - 120
Submitted on: May 29, 2018
Accepted on: Nov 26, 2018
Published on: Dec 31, 2018
Published by: University of Szczecin
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 issues per year

© 2018 Ryszard Barczyk, published by University of Szczecin
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.