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Can we predict high growth firms with financial ratios? Cover

Can we predict high growth firms with financial ratios?

By: Stjepan Srhoj  
Open Access
|Apr 2022

Abstract

This study attempts to predict high growth firm (HGF) status with financial ratios. Measures related to the firm’s effectiveness in using assets to generate profits, EBITDA margin, debt ratio, equity-to-debt ratio and return on assets are associated with HGF status. While the financial ratios improve HGF prediction, prediction remains modest (AUC = 0.627). This study suggests it is difficult to assume a very good HGF forecast from only financial ratios; therefore, the recommendation for researchers and policymakers building models for predicting HGFs is to incorporate non-financial ratio variables, like the intangible innovation and team-related variables. Finally, study suggests a standardized reporting of prediction performance metrics in the out-of-sample and out-of-time simulation for HGF prediction studies.

Language: English
Page range: 66 - 73
Submitted on: Mar 1, 2022
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Accepted on: Mar 21, 2022
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Published on: Apr 13, 2022
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2022 Stjepan Srhoj, published by University of Information Technology and Management in Rzeszow
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.