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Analysis of the impact of RCEP implementation on global trade – a simulation based on the dynamic GTAP Cover

Analysis of the impact of RCEP implementation on global trade – a simulation based on the dynamic GTAP

By: Xiaoqing Ming  
Open Access
|May 2025

Abstract

Subject and purpose of work

This paper divides the world into 10 countries or regions based on the member states of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (RCEP), and categorizes industries into 10 major sectors according to the International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC).

Materials and methods

Using the dynamic GTAP model, it analyzes the macroeconomic and micro-industry effects on both regional and non-member countries when import tariffs are reduced to zero among RCEP member states.

Results

Imulation results indicate that after tariff reductions, member countries experience GDP growth, improved trade conditions, increased social welfare, and significant gains in member country benefits.

Conclusions

Each industry in member countries is affected to varying degrees, allowing countries to leverage their industrial advantages, enhance value-added products, and shift trade from outside the region to within the region.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ers-2025-0005 | Journal eISSN: 2451-182X | Journal ISSN: 2083-3725
Language: English
Page range: 47 - 54
Submitted on: Jul 1, 2024
Accepted on: Mar 1, 2025
Published on: May 23, 2025
Published by: John Paul II University of Applied Sciences
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2025 Xiaoqing Ming, published by John Paul II University of Applied Sciences
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.