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REVISITING THE OIL PRICE–INFLATION NEXUS IN MENA ECONOMIES: EVIDENCE FROM A NONLINEAR ARDL APPROACH Cover

REVISITING THE OIL PRICE–INFLATION NEXUS IN MENA ECONOMIES: EVIDENCE FROM A NONLINEAR ARDL APPROACH

By: Tarek Sadraoui and  Hela Mili  
Open Access
|Mar 2026

Abstract

This research investigates the role of financial development in mitigating the adverse effect of economic vulnerability on economic growth across African countries. Based on data from 42 African nations between 1990 and 2023, the study identifies three basic findings. Firstly, financial development is good for economic growth, largely due to the benefits of improved economic policies undertaken in the early 2000s. Second, economic vulnerability continues to exert a strong negative influence on growth. Third, the financial development–vulnerability interaction coefficient indicates a weak but positive influence on growth, suggesting that financial systems served a buffering role against adversity from both the external and internal environment. Overall, the results highlight the necessity for stronger financial institutions and markets to act as a buffer against adversity to bring about more resilient and sustainable growth in the continent.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/eoik-2026-0005 | Journal eISSN: 2303-5013 | Journal ISSN: 2303-5005
Language: English
Published on: Mar 1, 2026
Published by: Oikos Institut d.o.o.
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 3 issues per year

© 2026 Tarek Sadraoui, Hela Mili, published by Oikos Institut d.o.o.
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.