Have a personal or library account? Click to login
Applying blended foresight methods for revealing incentives and future strategies of key national innovation system players Cover

Applying blended foresight methods for revealing incentives and future strategies of key national innovation system players

Open Access
|Feb 2022

References

  1. Acs, Z. J., Audretsch, D. B., Lehmann, E. E., & Licht, G. (2017). National systems of innovation. The Journal of Technology Transfer, 42(5), 997-1008.10.1007/s10961-016-9481-8
  2. Aguirre-Bastos, C., & Weber, M. K. (2018). Foresight for shaping national innovation systems in developing economies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 128, 186-196. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2017.11.025
  3. Andersen, A. D., & Andersen, P. D. (2014). Innovation system foresight. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 88, 276-286. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.06.016
  4. Andersen, P. D., Johnston, R., & Saritas, O. (2017). FTA and Innovation Systems. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 115, 236-239. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.12.012
  5. Cagnin, C., Johnston, R., & Giesecke, S. (2015). Foresight contribution to grand challenges and participative governance in different cultural settings. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101, 182-184. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2015.11.020
  6. Carayannis, E. G., & Campbell, D. F. (2009). ’Mode 3’ and ’Quadruple Helix’: toward a 21st century fractal innovation ecosystem. International Journal of Technology Management, 46, 201-234.10.1504/IJTM.2009.023374
  7. Carayannis, E. G., Grigoroudis, E., Campbell, D. F., Meissner, D., & Stamati, D. (2018). The ecosystem as helix: an exploratory theory-building study of regional co-opetitive entrepreneurial ecosystems as Quadruple/Quintuple Helix Innovation Models. R&D Management, 48(1), 148-162.10.1111/radm.12300
  8. Chulok, A. A. (2021). 21 Method for dealing with the future in the era of uncertainty. HBR-Russia (in Russian). Retrieved from https://hbr-russia.ru/biznes-i-obshchestvo/nauka/854793
  9. Datta, S., Saad, M., & Sarpong, D. (2019). National systems of innovation, innovation niches, and diversity in university systems. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 143, 27-36. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2019.02.005
  10. Dedehayir, O., Mäkinen, S. J., & Ortt, J. R. (2018). Roles during innovation ecosystem genesis: A literature review. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 136, 18-29. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.11.028
  11. Do Couto e Silva, E., Silberglitt, R., Machado, L. C., Maia, J. M. F., & Cagnin, C. H. (2017). A portfolio analysis methodology to inform innovation policy and foresight. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 155, 338-347. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.032
  12. Edquist, C. (Ed.). (1997). Systems of Innovation: Technologies, Institutions and Organizations. London, UK: Pinter Publishers/Cassell Academic.
  13. Etzkowitz, H., & Leydesdorff, L. (2000). The dynamics of innovation: from National Systems and ‘Mode 2’ to a Triple Helix of university–industry–government relations. Research Policy, 29(2), 109-123.10.1016/S0048-7333(99)00055-4
  14. Freeman, C. (1995). The “National System of Innovation” in historical perspective. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 19(1), 5-24.
  15. Georghiou, L., & Harper, J. C. (2011). From priority-setting to articulation of demand: foresight for research and innovation policy and strategy. Futures, 43(3), 243-251. doi: 10.1016/j.futures.2010.11.003
  16. Georghiou, L., Cassingena, H. J., Keenan, M., Miles, I., & Popper, R. (Eds). (2008). The handbook of technology foresight: concepts and practice. Edward Elgar: Cheltenham.10.4337/9781781008768
  17. Gheorghiu, R., Andreescu, L., & Curaj, A. (2016). A foresight toolkit for smart specialization and entrepreneurial discovery. Futures, 80, 33-44.10.1016/j.futures.2016.04.001
  18. Godin, B. (2007). National Innovation System: The System Approach in Historical Perspective, Project on the History and Sociology of STI Statistics. Working Paper, 36, 34.
  19. Godin, B. (2017). Models of Innovation: The History of an Idea. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.10.7551/mitpress/10782.001.0001
  20. Gokhberg, L., Sokolov, A., & Chulok, A. (2017). Russian S&T Foresight 2030: Identifying New Drivers Of Growth. Foresight, 19(5), 441-456.10.1108/FS-07-2017-0029
  21. Havas, A., & Weber, M. K. (2017). The ‘fit’ between forward-looking activities and the innovation policy governance sub-system: A framework to explore potential impacts. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 115, 327-337. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.016
  22. Keller, J., Markmann, C., & von der Gracht, H. A. (2015). Foresight support systems to facilitate regional innovations: A conceptualization case for a German logistics cluster. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 97, 15-28. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.12.031
  23. Lee, K., Lee, J., & Lee, J. (2021). Variety of national innovation systems (NIS) and alternative pathways to growth beyond the middle-income stage: Balanced, imbalanced, catching-up, and trapped NIS. World Development, 144, 105472. doi: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2021.105472
  24. Leydesdorff, L. (2012). The Knowledge-Based Economy and the Triple Helix Model. Amsterdam, Netherlands: University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam School of Communications Research.
  25. Leydesdorff, L., & Porto-Gomez, I. (2019). Measuring the expected synergy in Spanish regional and national systems of innovation. Journal of Technology Transfer, 44, 189-209. doi: 10.1007/s10961-017-9618-4
  26. Lo, C.-C., Wang, C.-H., & Huang, C.-C. (2013). The national innovation system in the Taiwanese photovoltaic industry: A multiple stakeholder perspective. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80(5), 893-906. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2012.08.016
  27. Lundvall, B. A. (1992). National systems of innovation: Toward a theory of innovation and interactive learning. London, UK: Anthem Press.
  28. Lundvall, B. A. (2007). National Innovation Systems—Analytical Concept and Development Tool. Industry and Innovation, 14(1), 95-119. doi: 10.1080/13662710601130863
  29. Maruccia, Y., Solazzo, G., Del Vecchio, P., & Passiante, G. (2020). Evidence from Network Analysis application to Innovation Systems and Quintuple Helix. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 161, 120306. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120306
  30. Miles, I., Meissner, D., Vonortas, N. S., & Carayannis, E. (2017). Technology foresight in Transition. Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 119, 211-218.10.1016/j.techfore.2017.04.009
  31. Miller, R. (Ed.). (2018). Transforming the Future: Anticipation in the 21st Century. London, UK: Routledge. doi: 10.4324/9781351048002
  32. Minkkinen, M., Auffermann, B., & Ahokas, I. (2019). Six foresight frames: Classifying policy foresight processes in foresight systems according to perceived unpredictability and pursued change. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 149, 119753. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119753
  33. Munigala, V., Oinonen, P., & Ekman, K. (2018). Envisioning future innovative experimental ecosystems through the foresight approach. Case: Design Factory. European Journal of Futures Research, 6, 1.10.1007/s40309-017-0128-2
  34. Nelson, R. R. (1993). National innovation systems: A comparative analysis. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.10.1093/oso/9780195076165.001.0001
  35. OECD (1997). National Innovation Systems. Retrieved fromhttps://www.oecd.org/science/inno/2101733.pdf
  36. OECD (2021). OECD Science, Technology and Innovation Outlook 2021: Times of Crisis and Opportunity. Paris, France: OECD Publishing. doi: 10.1787/75f79015-en
  37. Paredes-Frigolett, H., Pyka, A., & Leoneti, A. B. (2021). On the performance and strategy of innovation systems: A multicriteria group decision analysis approach. Technology in Society, 67, 101632. doi: 0.1016/j.techsoc.2021.10163210.1016/j.techsoc.2021.101632
  38. Piirainen, K. A., Tanner, A. N., & Alkærsig, L. (2017). Regional foresight and dynamics of smart specialization: A typology of regional diversification patterns. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 115, 289-300. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.027
  39. Pombo-Juárez, L., Könnölä, T., Miles, I., Saritas, O., Schartinger, D., Amanatidou, E., & Giesecke, S. (2017). Wiring up multiple layers of innovation ecosystems: Contemplations from Personal Health Systems. Foresight, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 115, 278-288. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.04.018
  40. Popper, R. (2008). Foresight Methodology. In L. Georghiou, J. Cassingena, M. Keenan, I. Miles & R. Popper (Eds.), The Handbook of Technology Foresight: Concepts and Practice (pp. 44-88). Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar.10.4337/9781781008768.00012
  41. Popper, R. (2011). SMART Futures Jigsaw,https://rafaelpopper.files.wordpress.com/2010/04/rp_2011_smart-futures-jigsaw.jpg
  42. Prokop, V., Hajek, P., & Stejskal, J. (2021). Configuration Paths to Efficient National Innovation Ecosystems. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 168, 120787. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120787
  43. Robinson, D. K. R., Schoen, A., Larédo, P., Gallart, J. M., Warnke, P., Kuhlmann, S., & Ordóñez-Matamoros, G. (2021). Policy lensing of future-oriented strategic intelligence: An experiment connecting foresight with decision making contexts. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 169, 120803. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120803
  44. Rohrbeck, R., Battistella, C., & Huizingh, E. (2015). Corporate foresight: an emerging field with a rich tradition. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101, 1-9. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2015.11.002
  45. Saritas, O. (2013). Systemic Foresight Methodology. In D. Meissner et al. (Eds.), Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future (pp. 83-117). Springer.10.1007/978-3-642-31827-6_6
  46. Sarpong, D., & Meissner, D. (2018). Special issue on ‘corporate foresight and innovation management’. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 30(6), 625-632. doi: 10.1080/09537325.2018.1463934
  47. Sena, V., Arranz, N., Lucas, P., Park, H. W., & de Arroyabe, J. C. F. (2021). Editorial: Big Data and Network Analysis in National Innovation Systems (NIS). Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 168, 120790. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120790
  48. Sokolov, A., & Chulok, A. (2016). Priorities for future innovation: Russian S&T Foresight 2030. Futures, 80, 17-32.10.1016/j.futures.2015.12.005
  49. Van Dorsser, C., & Taneja, P. (2020). An integrated three-layered foresight framework. Foresight, 22(2), 250-272.10.1108/FS-05-2019-0039
  50. Vecchiato, R., & Roveda, C. (2014). Foresight for public procurement and regional innovation policy: The case of Lombardy. Research Policy, 43(2), 438-450. doi: 10.1016/j.respol.2013.11.003
  51. Wang, P., & Li, F. (2019). China’s organization and governance of innovation – A policy foresight perspective. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 146, 304-319. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2019.05.029
  52. Wright, D., Stahl, B., & Hatzakis, T. (2020). Policy scenarios as an instrument for policymakers. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 154, 119972. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2020.119972
  53. Zartha, J., Halal, W., & Zarta, R. (2019). Delphi method: analysis of rounds, stakeholder and statistical indicators. Foresight, 21, 525-544.10.1108/FS-11-2018-0095
  54. Zhangqi, Z., Zhuli, C., & Lingyun, H. (2021). Technological innovation, industrial structural change and carbon emission transferring via trade. An agent-based modelling approach. Technovation, 102350. doi: 10.1016/j.technovation.2021.102350
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/emj-2021-0038 | Journal eISSN: 2543-912X | Journal ISSN: 2543-6597
Language: English
Page range: 160 - 173
Submitted on: Aug 20, 2021
|
Accepted on: Dec 10, 2021
|
Published on: Feb 2, 2022
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2022 Alexander Chulok, published by Bialystok University of Technology
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.