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Impact of Money Supply on Inflation Rate in Egypt: A VECM Approach Cover

Impact of Money Supply on Inflation Rate in Egypt: A VECM Approach

By: Djamal Dekkiche  
Open Access
|Nov 2022

Abstract

In this work, the research team employed a VECM regression model to evaluate the relationship between money supply and inflation rate (INF) in Egypt from 1990 to 2019. The model includes four independent variables: money supply (MS), imports (IMP), Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and exchange rate (EXCH). A Johansen-Juselius co-integration test and a Vector Error Correction Model were used to determine the existence of long-term and short-term links between the variables. The results demonstrated the existence of co-integrating links between the variables. Aside from the effects of GDP, all independent factors had a positive effect on the inflation rate. Depending on the results, the money supply is the primary long-term predictor of the inflation rate in Egypt.

Language: English
Page range: 134 - 148
Published on: Nov 11, 2022
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2022 Djamal Dekkiche, published by Riga Technical University
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.