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Stock Market Volatility Measure Using Non-Traditional Tool Case of Germany Cover

Stock Market Volatility Measure Using Non-Traditional Tool Case of Germany

Open Access
|Jul 2018

Abstract

This study examines the stock market volatility of German bench-mark stock index DAX 30 using logarithmic extreme day return. German stock markets have been analyzed extensively in literature. We look into volatility issue from the standpoint of extreme-day changes. Our analysis indicates the non-normality of German stock market and higher probability of negative trading days. We measure the occurrences of extreme-day returns and their significance in measuring annual volatility. Our time series analysis indicates that the occurrences of extreme-days show a cyclical trend over the sample time period. Our comparison of negative and positive extreme-days indicates that negative extreme-days overweigh the positive extreme days. Standard deviation, as measure of volatility used traditionally, gives altered ranks of annual volatility to a considerable extent as compared to extreme-day returns. Lastly, existence of extreme day returns can be explained by past period occurrences, which show predictability.

Language: English
Page range: 126 - 135
Published on: Jul 5, 2018
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2018 Naeem Ahmed, Mudassira Sarfraz, published by Riga Technical University
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.