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Cryptocurrency Price Prediction Using Enhanced PSO with Extreme Gradient Boosting Algorithm Cover

Cryptocurrency Price Prediction Using Enhanced PSO with Extreme Gradient Boosting Algorithm

Open Access
|Jun 2023

Abstract

Due to the highly volatile tendency of Bitcoin, there is a necessity for a better price prediction model. Only a few researchers have focused on the feasibility to apply various modelling approaches. These approaches may prone to have low convergence issues in outcomes and acquire high computation time. Hence a model is put forward based on machine learning techniques using regression algorithm and Particle Swarm Optimization with XGBoost algorithm, for more precise prediction outcomes of three cryptocurrencies; Bitcoin, Dogecoin, and Ethereum. The approach uses time series that consists of daily price information of cryptocurrencies. In this paper, the XGBoost algorithm is incorporated with an enhanced PSO method to tune the optimal hyper-parameters to yield out better prediction output rate. The comparative assessment delineated that the proposed method shows less root mean squared error, mean absolute error and mean squared error values. In this aspect, the proposed model stands predominant in showing high efficiency of prediction rate.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/cait-2023-0020 | Journal eISSN: 1314-4081 | Journal ISSN: 1311-9702
Language: English
Page range: 170 - 187
Submitted on: Dec 14, 2022
Accepted on: May 19, 2023
Published on: Jun 12, 2023
Published by: Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Information and Communication Technologies
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2023 Vibha Srivastava, Vijay Kumar Dwivedi, Ashutosh Kumar Singh, published by Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Information and Communication Technologies
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.