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Estimating Asymmetric Fuel Price Responses in Croatia Cover

Estimating Asymmetric Fuel Price Responses in Croatia

Open Access
|Oct 2024

Abstract

Background

According to many studies, the transmission of oil prices to retail fuel prices is asymmetric. Fuel prices react faster if oil prices rise and more slowly if oil prices fall. Different standard econometric procedures lead to different results. The Linex approach, which is based on formulating the non-linear adjustment cost function, reflects the theory. It uses the generalised method of moments to estimate the reaction functions, which demands many observations.

Objectives

The paper investigates the price asymmetry in the Croatian retail fuel market using standard approaches and the Linex approach.

Methods/Approach

The simple and dynamic asymmetry models, error correction models, threshold autoregressive co-integration, and the Linex approach are used to verify the hypothesis of asymmetric reactions of gasoline and diesel prices in Croatia.

Results

The results using the standard methods are mixed, while the Linex approach indicates price asymmetry, the size of which is measured with the average price bias. The results correspond to other studies worldwide.

Conclusions

The authors' preferred Linex approach detects price asymmetries, even with large data samples with frequent changes in trends and volatilities. According to the approach, the question is not whether prices are formed asymmetrically but the size of the asymmetry.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/bsrj-2024-0022 | Journal eISSN: 1847-9375 | Journal ISSN: 1847-8344
Language: English
Page range: 154 - 176
Submitted on: Feb 8, 2024
Accepted on: Jun 27, 2024
Published on: Oct 10, 2024
Published by: IRENET - Society for Advancing Innovation and Research in Economy
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 issues per year

© 2024 Karol Szomolányi, Martin Lukáčik, Adriana Lukáčiková, published by IRENET - Society for Advancing Innovation and Research in Economy
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.