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Conscientiousness and Supreme Court Confirmation Hearings in the Senate Judiciary Committee Cover

Conscientiousness and Supreme Court Confirmation Hearings in the Senate Judiciary Committee

Open Access
|May 2022

Figures & Tables

Figure 1

Kavanaugh's Forthcomingness to the Senate Judiciary Committee, by Senator.

Figure 2

The Conscientiousness of United States Supreme Court Justices, 1955–2018.

Figure 3

Predicted Level of Forthcomingness Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness and Senator Party Affiliation.

Figure 4

Average Marginal Effect of Nominee Conscientiousness, Conditional on Senator Party Affiliation, on Nominee Forthcomingness.

Figure 5

Average Marginal Effect of Opposite-Party Senator, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Nominee Forthcomingness.

Figure 6

Predicted Probability of a Favorable Vote Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness and Senator Party Affiliation.

Figure 7

Average Marginal Effect of Nominee Conscientiousness, Conditional on Senator Party Affiliation, on Senator Support in Committee.

Figure 8

Average Marginal Effect of Senator Party Affiliation, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Senator Support in Committee.

Figure 9

Predicted Probability of a Favorable Senator Vote Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness and Qualifications

Figure 10

Average Marginal Effect of Nominee Conscientiousness, Conditional on Nominee Qualifications, on Senator Support in Committee

Figure 11

Average Marginal Effect of Nominee Qualifications, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Senator Support in Committee.

Figure 12

Average Marginal Effect of Senator Party Affiliation, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Nominee Forthcomingness – Simulation for Failed Nominees.

Figure 13

Average Marginal Effect of Senator Party Affiliation, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Senator Support in Committee – Simulation for Failed Nominees.

Figure 14

Average Marginal Effect of Nominee Qualifications, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Senator Support in Committee – Simulation for Failed Nominees.

The Conditional Impact of Supreme Court Nominee Conscientiousness and Senator Party Affiliation on Forthcomingness to Hearing Questions_

PredictorNominee Forthcomingness
Percentage Questions on Views−.007* (.003)
Percentage Questions on Civil Liberties−.008* (.003)
Ideological Distance: Senator-Nominee−.489* (.287)
Time Trend.085* (.037)
Time Trend Squared−.002* (.001)
Number of Questions−.002+ (.002)
Divided Government.688* (.189)
Qualifications.660* (.271)
Nominee different party than senator−.563* (.193)
Conscientiousness.255* (.109)
Conscientiousness X Nominee different party−.315* (.135)
Openness to Experience−.117* (.070)
Extraversion.009 (.072)
Agreeableness−.241* (.129)
Neuroticism−.040 (.105)
Constant.850* (.430)

The Conditional Impact of Nominee Conscientiousness with Senator Party Affiliation and Nominee Qualifications on Senators’ Votes in Committee_

PredictorSenator Vote
Nominee Responsiveness.043* (.009)
Number of questions−.036* (.008)
Ideological Distance: Senator-Nominee−4.047* (1.382)
Divided Government1.025* (.482)
Television Era2.138* (.891)
Interest group support.085* (.027)
Conscientiousness3.921* (1.541)
Nominee Different Party−5.604+ (3.599)
Conscientiousness X Nominee Different Party−1.835 (1.626)
Qualifications4.398* (1.7049)
Conscientiousness X Qualifications−3.113* (1.163)
Openness to Experience−.016 (.285)
Extraversion.115 (.287)
Agreeableness.279 (.278)
Neuroticism.762* (.286)
Constant1.348 (3.712)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/bjals-2021-0011 | Journal eISSN: 2719-5864 | Journal ISSN: 2049-4092
Language: English
Page range: 379 - 408
Published on: May 18, 2022
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 issues per year

© 2022 Ryan C. Black, Ryan J. Owens, Justin Wedeking, Patrick C. Wohlfarth, published by Birmingham City University
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.