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Hourly electricity price forecast for short-and long-term, using deep neural networks Cover

Hourly electricity price forecast for short-and long-term, using deep neural networks

By: Gergely Dombi and  Tibor Dulai  
Open Access
|Feb 2023

Abstract

Despite the practical importance of accurate long-term electricity price forecast with high resolution - and the significant need for that - only small percentage of the tremendous papers on energy price forecast attempted to target this topic. Its reason can be the high volatility of electricity prices and the hidden – and often unpredictable – relations with its influencing factors.

In our research, we performed different experiments to predicate hourly Hungarian electricity prices using deep neural networks, for short-term and long-term, too. During this work, investigations were made to compare the results of different network structures and to determine the effect of some environmental factors (meteorologic data and date/time - beside the historical electricity prices). Our results were promising, mostly for short-term forecasts - especially by using a deep neural network with one ConvLSTM encoder.

Language: English
Page range: 208 - 222
Submitted on: Nov 18, 2022
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Accepted on: Dec 8, 2022
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Published on: Feb 4, 2023
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 issues per year

© 2023 Gergely Dombi, Tibor Dulai, published by Sapientia Hungarian University of Transylvania
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.