Abstract
Objective: To evaluate the prognostic accuracy of the C-reactive protein (CRP)/albumin ratio in predicting severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and its correlation with clinical complications.
Methods: This retrospective observational study included 40 adult patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis between January and August 2024. Patients were categorized by severity using the Revised Atlanta Classification into moderately severe or severe groups. Laboratory data, clinical characteristics, and imaging findings were compared. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis with Youden’s Index evaluated the CRP/albumin ratio predictive performance and logistic regression identified independent predictors of SAP.
Results: The CRP/albumin ratio was significantly higher in SAP patients (median 5.0 [IQR 0.93–12.62]) compared to non-SAP (1.58 [IQR 0.28–8.6], p = 0.0187). ROC analysis showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.809 for the CRP/albumin ratio, superior to CRP alone (AUC 0.479) and comparable to the Ranson score (AUC 0.88). An optimal cut-off value of 4.22 provided 76.9% sensitivity and 85.2% specificity. Multivariable logistic regression identified absence of intestinal transit (p = 0.033) and splenic vein thrombosis (p = 0.026) as independent predictors of SAP. The CRP/albumin ratio correlated significantly with both these complications.
Conclusions: The CRP/albumin ratio is a valuable, non-invasive, and readily available prognostic marker for early identification of severe acute pancreatitis. Its predictive accuracy is comparable to established scoring systems and may aid in triage and clinical decision-making.